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Peruvian Primera Division

Alianza Atletico vs Deportivo Garcilaso prediction, tips and odds

Garcilaso, third in the Clausura and chasing the title, visit an Alianza Atletico side that has conceded seven in two straight defeats
  • goals fest
  • high stakes
  • no strong shape
  • league
Kick-off
your local time
Competition
Peruvian Primera Division

Our prediction

Alianza Atletico
6th · 25 pts
FormL, L, W, D
Deportivo Garcilaso
3rd · 25 pts
FormW, L, L, D, W
Our prediction
1–13.0 goals projected
ALI 46%Draw 24%DEP 30%
likeliest half-time score
0–0likeliest half-time score

Our picks

Rating hidden until revealed
  • Alianza Atletico come throughOur pickAlianza Atletico · Draw no bet
    1.84
  • Deportivo Garcilaso keep it closeOur pickDeportivo Garcilaso starts 1.5 goals ahead
    Price hidden until revealed

Implied by the bookmakers’ own prices, with the margin removed. The engine has not published a read on this match.

How the model sees it

Result probability
ALI 46%Draw 24%DEP 30%
Likeliest scorelines
  • 1–111%
  • 2–19%
  • 1–08%
Projected goals
3.0
Likeliest at half time
0–026%
Projected stats
Projected match statistics for Alianza Atletico against Deportivo Garcilaso
StatALIDEPTotal
Goals1.691.313.0

Per ninety minutes. Goals use the fitted goals model. Other stats combine each side’s rate with what its opponent allows, pulled toward the competition’s own average where the sample is thin; cards are anchored to the referee.

Form, head-to-head and trends

Last five
Alianza AtleticoL, L, W, D
Deportivo GarcilasoW, L, L, D, W
How each side’s recent matches have gone
TrendALIDEP
Over 2.5 goals3/43/5
Both teams scored3/44/5
Clean sheets1/40/5
Failed to score1/41/5

Match context

Form
Alianza Atlético have lost two straight in the Clausura (1-4 at Sport Huancayo, 1-3 at Sport Boys); Deportivo Garcilaso won 4-1 at home on 25/10 but lost 2-4 at Melgar and 0-1 at home to Huancayo before that.
The competition
Peruvian Liga 1 (top division), 2026 season Torneo Clausura, round 14 — a league round, single match. Deportivo Garcilaso sit 3rd in the Clausura at 13 games and are chasing the title/continental places; Alianza Atlético are 8th on 22 pts and lost 4-1 at leaders Sport Huancayo on 24/10.

Team news

Alianza Atletico

No absences reported.

Deportivo Garcilaso

No absences reported.

Peruvian Primera Division table

Peruvian Primera Division standings
#ClubPLGDPts
1Sport Huancayo13—28
2Universitario13—27
3Deportivo Garcilaso13—25
4Sporting Cristal13—25
5Melgar13—25
6Alianza Lima13—25

Top 6 shown · as read when this competition was last scouted.

18+Bet what you can afford to lose.

Model output is a projection, not a guarantee. Prices move; the one shown was available when this page was last built.

Frequently asked questions

What is our Alianza Atletico vs Deportivo Garcilaso prediction?

We project 1–1. Our model gives Alianza Atletico 46%, the draw 24% and Deportivo Garcilaso 30%.

What is the best bet for Alianza Atletico vs Deportivo Garcilaso?

Our tip is Full time result · Alianza Atletico at 1.84. This one is implied by the bookmakers' prices rather than published by our engine.

What time does Alianza Atletico vs Deportivo Garcilaso kick off?

Alianza Atletico vs Deportivo Garcilaso kicks off at Wed 20:30 in the Peruvian Primera Division.

Are these tips free?

The prediction, the match data and our lead tip are free on every match page. The confidence behind each call — our probability, the edge and the engine's own read — is where a coin is spent.