Alverca vs Arouca prediction, tips and odds
- league
- Kick-off
- your local time
- Competition
- Portuguese Primeira Liga
Our prediction
- likeliest half-time score
- 0–0likeliest half-time score
Our picks
- Goals keep comingOur pickOver 1.5 Goals1.29
- Arouca come throughOur pickDraw or AwayPrice hidden until revealed
How the model sees it
- 1–111%
- 2–19%
- 1–09%
- Projected goals
- 2.9
- Likeliest at half time
- 0–027%
- Competition goals a game
- 2.75
- Competition matches over 2.5
- 55%
| Stat | ALV | ARO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.61 | 1.31 | 2.9 |
Per ninety minutes. Goals use the fitted goals model. Other stats combine each side’s rate with what its opponent allows, pulled toward the competition’s own average where the sample is thin; cards are anchored to the referee.
Form, head-to-head and trends
| Trend | ALV | ARO |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 3/5 | 3/5 |
| Both teams scored | 3/5 | 3/5 |
| Clean sheets | 1/5 | 2/5 |
| Failed to score | 1/5 | 1/5 |
Match context
- Form
- Alverca: W3-1 Nacional (a), L1-2 Braga (h), W1-0 Rio Ave (h), W4-1 Famalicão (a), cup exit 0-2 aet at Tondela; Arouca: D0-0 Estoril (a), L1-2 Santa Clara (h), D2-2 Sporting (a), W1-0 Estrela (h), cup 4-3 aet win at Belenenses.
- The competition
- Portuguese Primeira Liga 2026/27, matchday 9, a single league round at Alverca's Complexo Desportivo FC Alverca. Table on file: Arouca sit 5th on 14 pts from 8 (GF11/GA7), Alverca 8th on 11 pts from 8 (GF13/GA12) — a mid-table six-pointer with Arouca chasing the European places and Alverca trying to stay in the top half. Cup tie wins/losses in midweek do not affect the league table.
Team news
No absences reported.
No absences reported.
Portuguese Primeira Liga table and leaders
| # | Club | PL | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Porto | 8 | — | 24 |
| 2 | Benfica | 8 | — | 19 |
| 3 | Sporting CP | 8 | — | 18 |
| 4 | Santa Clara | 8 | — | 18 |
| 5 | Arouca | 8 | — | 14 |
| 6 | Académico de Viseu | 8 | — | 14 |
Top 6 shown · as read when this competition was last scouted.
- 1Vangelis PavlidisBenfica8 goals
- 2Luis SuárezSporting CP7 goals
- 3Gianluca PrestianniBenfica5 goals
- 4BarberoArouca5 goals
- 5Gonçalo PaciênciaSanta Clara5 goals
- 1Naïs DjouahraArouca5 assists
- 2Cihan KahramanAcadémico de Viseu4 assists
- 3Geny CatamoSporting CP4 assists
- 4PepêPorto4 assists
- 5Vangelis PavlidisBenfica3 assists
- 1Lucas FrançaSanta Clara5 clean sheets
- 2Diogo CostaPorto4 clean sheets
- 3Samuel SoaresBenfica4 clean sheets
- 4LucãoGil Vicente4 clean sheets
- 5Ignacio de ArruabarrenaArouca4 clean sheets
Table, avg goals and over-2.5 from SoccerBet Tips/Soccer News (MD8, Oct 2026); leaders cross-checked with soccernews.com and FOX Sports (18 Oct 2026).
More tips this week
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Frequently asked questions
What is our Alverca vs Arouca prediction?
We project 1–1. Our model gives Alverca 45%, the draw 24% and Arouca 31%.
What is the best bet for Alverca vs Arouca?
Our tip is Full time · Over 1.5 Goals at 1.29.
What time does Alverca vs Arouca kick off?
Alverca vs Arouca kicks off at Sat 17:00 in the Portuguese Primeira Liga.
Are these tips free?
The prediction, the match data and our lead tip are free on every match page. The confidence behind each call — our probability, the edge and the engine's own read — is where a coin is spent.