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Spanish Copa del Rey

Arosa FC vs Pontevedra CF prediction, tips and odds

Third-tier Pontevedra, unbeaten in five against Arosa, visit A Lomba for a derby cup night Arosa's coach calls the biggest of their season
  • one sided
  • high stakes
  • rotation risk
  • Derby
  • cup
  • Leg single
  • Arosa FC: high
  • Pontevedra CF: high
Kick-off
your local time
Competition
Spanish Copa del Rey

Our prediction

Arosa FC
14th · 7 pts
FormL, W, D, D, L
Pontevedra CF
6th · 14 pts
FormW, W, D
Our prediction
1–12.6 goals projected
ARO 26%Draw 26%PON 48%
goals per meeting
2.0goals per meeting
with both teams scoring
3/5with both teams scoring
over 2.5 goals
2/5over 2.5 goals
likeliest half-time score
0–0likeliest half-time score

Our picks

Rating hidden until revealed
  • Pontevedra CF come throughOur pickPontevedra CF
    1.77
  • Arosa FC keep it closeOur pickArosa FC starts 2 goals ahead
    Price hidden until revealed

Implied by the bookmakers’ own prices, with the margin removed. The engine has not published a read on this match.

Unlock all tips · 1 coin

How the model sees it

Result probability
ARO 26%Draw 26%PON 48%
Likeliest scorelines
  • 1–112%
  • 0–112%
  • 1–29%
Projected goals
2.6
Likeliest at half time
0–032%
Projected stats
Projected match statistics for Arosa FC against Pontevedra CF
StatAROPONTotal
Goals1.041.512.5
Expected goals (xG)1.41.362.8
Corners5.23.819.0

Per ninety minutes. Goals use the fitted goals model. Other stats combine each side’s rate with what its opponent allows, pulled toward the competition’s own average where the sample is thin; cards are anchored to the referee.

Form, head-to-head and trends

Last five
Arosa FCL, W, D, D, L
Pontevedra CFW, W, D
How each side’s recent matches have gone
TrendAROPON
Over 2.5 goals3/51/3
Both teams scored3/52/3
Clean sheets1/51/3
Failed to score2/50/3
Head-to-head · last 5
0
ARO wins
1
Draws
4
PON wins
  • DArosa SC 1–1 Pontevedra CF2022-04-17 · Segunda Federación (Segunda División RFEF) Group 12 gls
  • LPontevedra CF 1–0 Arosa SC2021-11-28 · Segunda Federación (Segunda División RFEF) Group 11 gls
  • LArosa SC 1–2 Pontevedra CF2015-04-12 · Segunda División B Group 13 gls
  • LPontevedra CF 2–1 Arosa SC2014-11-23 · Segunda División B Group 13 gls
  • LPontevedra CF 1–0 Arosa SC2014-02-02 · Segunda División B Group 11 gls
2.0goals per meeting3/5with both teams scoring2/5over 2.5 goals

Match context

Form
Arosa (4th tier) L-W-D-D-L: only win 4-1 v Llanera, otherwise blunt and leaky (0-0, 0-1 loss, 2-5 to Alavés B). Pontevedra (3rd tier) W-W-D: 2-1 at Cultural Leonesa, 1-0 v Cacereño, 1-1 v Ponferradina — tight, low-scoring.
History
Recent league meetings (Segunda RFEF/Federación, Group 1) have been tight and Pontevedra-dominated: PON 1-0 Arosa (28 Nov 2021, HT 0-0), Arosa 1-1 PON (17 Apr 2022, HT 1-0) — Pontevedra won that group with 65 pts, Arosa finished 17th and was relegated. Older Segunda B meetings: PON 2-1 Arosa (23 Nov 2014), Arosa 1-2 PON (12 Apr 2015), PON 1-0 Arosa (2 Feb 2014). Goal.com's last-5 H2H tally reads 0 Arosa wins, 1 draw, 4 Pontevedra wins. Stature is clearly split now: Pontevedra are a Primera Fede…
The competition
Spanish Copa del Rey 2026/27, FIRST ROUND (primera eliminatoria) — single-leg knockout at A Lomba, 21:00, winner through to round two. Third-tier Pontevedra (Primera Federación G1) visit fourth-tier Arosa (Segunda Federación G1). Standings: Pontevedra 6th of 20 (9 games, 14 pts, 12-11); Arosa 14th of 18 (8 games, 7 pts, 12-17). Both are mid/lower-table in their own leagues; the cup is a real prize — Arosa's coach framed it as a chance to bring professional football to their ground, so a strong…

Team news

Arosa FC

No absences reported.

Pontevedra CF

No absences reported.

Spanish Copa del Rey table

Spanish Copa del Rey standings
#ClubPLGDPts
6Pontevedra CF (Primera Federación G1)9—14
14Arosa FC (Segunda Federación G1)8—7
1Sestao River (Segunda Federación G1)8—19
2Deportivo Alavés B (Segunda Federación G1)8—17
3Bergantiños (Segunda Federación G1)8—17
10SD Gernika (Segunda Federación G1)8—10

Top 6 shown · as read when this competition was last scouted.

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Model output is a projection, not a guarantee. Prices move; the one shown was available when this page was last built.

Frequently asked questions

What is our Arosa FC vs Pontevedra CF prediction?

We project 1–1. Our model gives Arosa FC 26%, the draw 26% and Pontevedra CF 48%.

What is the best bet for Arosa FC vs Pontevedra CF?

Our tip is Full time result · Pontevedra CF at 1.77. This one is implied by the bookmakers' prices rather than published by our engine.

What time does Arosa FC vs Pontevedra CF kick off?

Arosa FC vs Pontevedra CF kicks off at Tue 20:00 in the Spanish Copa del Rey.

What happened the last time Arosa FC vs Pontevedra CF met?

Arosa SC 1–1 Pontevedra CF (2022-04-17 · Segunda Federación (Segunda División RFEF) Group 1). Over their last 5 meetings it is 0 wins for Arosa FC, 1 draw and 4 for Pontevedra CF.

Are these tips free?

The prediction, the match data and our lead tip are free on every match page. The confidence behind each call — our probability, the edge and the engine's own read — is where a coin is spent.