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Spanish La Liga

Athletic Bilbao vs Getafe prediction, tips and odds

Athletic, without injured Guruzeta, Sancet and suspended Laporte, host a Getafe side that has scored twice in four away games
  • low scoring
  • slow start
  • weakened side
  • cagey
  • high stakes
  • league
  • Athletic Bilbao: high
  • Getafe: high
Kick-off
your local time
Competition
Spanish La Liga

Our prediction

Athletic Bilbao
13th · 9 pts
FormL, D, D, D, W

Gorka Guruzeta (out), Oihan Sancet (out), Aymeric Laporte (out), Unai Egiluz (out), Álvaro Djaló (out)

Getafe
15th · 9 pts
FormD, L, W, D

Djené Dakonam (out), Orel Mangala (out), Zaid Romero (out), Christantus Uche (out)

Our prediction
1–02.0 goals projected
ATH 50%Draw 29%GET 21%
goals per meeting
2.2goals per meeting
with both teams scoring
2/6with both teams scoring
over 2.5 goals
1/6over 2.5 goals
likeliest half-time score
0–0likeliest half-time score

Our picks

Rating hidden until revealed
  • Athletic Bilbao come throughOur pickAthletic Bilbao
    1.61
  • Getafe keep it closeOur pickGetafe starts 2 goals ahead
    Price hidden until revealed

Implied by the bookmakers’ own prices, with the margin removed. The engine has not published a read on this match.

How the model sees it

Result probability
ATH 50%Draw 29%GET 21%
Likeliest scorelines
  • 1–017%
  • 0–014%
  • 1–112%
Projected goals
2.0
Likeliest at half time
0–041%
Projected stats
Projected match statistics for Athletic Bilbao against Getafe
StatATHGETTotal
Goals1.270.722.0
Expected goals (xG)1.491.022.5
Shots on target4.43.928.3
Corners4.94.299.2
Fouls12.413.225.6

Per ninety minutes. Goals use the fitted goals model. Other stats combine each side’s rate with what its opponent allows, pulled toward the competition’s own average where the sample is thin; cards are anchored to the referee.

Form, head-to-head and trends

Last five
Athletic BilbaoL, D, D, D, W
GetafeD, L, W, D
How each side’s recent matches have gone
TrendATHGET
Over 2.5 goals2/51/4
Both teams scored2/51/4
Clean sheets3/52/4
Failed to score2/52/4
Head-to-head · last 6
2
ATH wins
2
Draws
2
GET wins
  • LGetafe 2–0 Athletic Bilbao2026-04-05 · La Liga2 gls
  • LAthletic Bilbao 0–1 Getafe2025-10-25 · La Liga1 gls
  • WGetafe 0–2 Athletic Bilbao2025-05-15 · La Liga2 gls
  • DAthletic Bilbao 1–1 Getafe2024-08-15 · La Liga2 gls
  • WGetafe 0–2 Athletic Bilbao2024-05-03 · La Liga2 gls
2.2goals per meeting2/6with both teams scoring1/6over 2.5 goals

Match context

Form
Athletic DWDWL misfiring: 3-0 win over Atletico, then 1-1 Elche (HT 0-0), 0-0 Alaves (HT 0-0), 0-0 Valencia, 3-1 loss at Levante. Getafe goalless-prone: 1-1 v Rayo (HT 0-1), 0-3 at Barca, 1-0 v Malaga, 0-0 at Osasuna; ~0.6 goals/game.
History
All recent league meetings are tight and low-scoring. Most recent: Getafe 2-0 Athletic (Apr 2026), Athletic 0-1 Getafe at San Mamés (Oct 2025), Getafe 0-2 Athletic (May 2025), Athletic 1-1 Getafe (Aug 2024), Getafe 0-2 Athletic (May 2024). Before that Athletic 2-2 Getafe (Sep 2023), Getafe 2-2 Athletic (Oct 2022) and 0-0 at San Mamés (Apr 2023). Getafe have won only two of the last 12 head-to-heads (7 draws, 3 Athletic wins), and five straight meetings have gone under 2.5 goals. Stature: Athlet…
The competition
Spanish La Liga 2026/27 (Spain's national top flight), ordinary league round — Matchweek 10. Athletic Club sit 13th (8-9 played, 9 pts, 8 GF / 9 GA) after a 3-1 loss at Levante on 21 Oct, scoring only 9 league goals all season — a modest start. Getafe are 15th on 9 pts from 9 (2W 3D 4L, 5 GF / 11 GA), the bluntest attack in the division, so their fight is to stay clear of the bottom three; Barcelona lead on 27 pts. Nothing beyond ordinary league points at stake.

Team news

Athletic Bilbao
  • Gorka Guruzeta — out (fwd)
  • Oihan Sancet — out (mid)
  • Aymeric Laporte — out (def)
  • Unai Egiluz — out (def)
  • Álvaro Djaló — out (fwd)
Getafe
  • Djené Dakonam — out (def)
  • Orel Mangala — out (mid)
  • Zaid Romero — out (def)
  • Christantus Uche — out (fwd)

Spanish La Liga table

Spanish La Liga standings
#ClubPLGDPts
1Barcelona9—27
2Atletico Madrid9—22
13Athletic Bilbao8—9
14Rayo Vallecano9—9
15Getafe9—9
16Espanyol9—8

Top 6 shown · as read when this competition was last scouted.

18+Bet what you can afford to lose.

Model output is a projection, not a guarantee. Prices move; the one shown was available when this page was last built.

Frequently asked questions

What is our Athletic Bilbao vs Getafe prediction?

We project 1–0. Our model gives Athletic Bilbao 50%, the draw 29% and Getafe 21%.

What is the best bet for Athletic Bilbao vs Getafe?

Our tip is Full time result · Athletic Bilbao at 1.61. This one is implied by the bookmakers' prices rather than published by our engine.

What time does Athletic Bilbao vs Getafe kick off?

Athletic Bilbao vs Getafe kicks off at Sun 13:00 in the Spanish La Liga.

Who is out for Athletic Bilbao vs Getafe?

Reported absences: Gorka Guruzeta (out), Oihan Sancet (out), Aymeric Laporte (out), Unai Egiluz (out), Álvaro Djaló (out), Djené Dakonam (out), Orel Mangala (out), Zaid Romero (out), Christantus Uche (out).

What happened the last time Athletic Bilbao vs Getafe met?

Getafe 2–0 Athletic Bilbao (2026-04-05 · La Liga). Over their last 6 meetings it is 2 wins for Athletic Bilbao, 2 draws and 2 for Getafe.

Are these tips free?

The prediction, the match data and our lead tip are free on every match page. The confidence behind each call — our probability, the edge and the engine's own read — is where a coin is spent.