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English National League

Carlisle vs Harrogate Town prediction, tips and odds

Carlisle, unbeaten in five but drawing three, host a Harrogate side second in the National League and chasing the top
  • no strong shape
  • high stakes
  • league
Kick-off
your local time
Competition
English National League

Our prediction

Carlisle
3rd · 95 pts
FormW, W, D, D, D
FormW, L, W
Our prediction
1–02.2 goals projected
CAR 41%Draw 29%HAR 30%
likeliest half-time score
0–0likeliest half-time score

Our picks

Rating hidden until revealed
  • Goals stay downOur pickUnder 5.5 Goals
    1.10
  • Harrogate Town keep it closeOur pickHarrogate Town starts 2 goals ahead
    Price hidden until revealed

How the model sees it

Result probability
CAR 41%Draw 29%HAR 30%
Likeliest scorelines
  • 1–013%
  • 1–113%
  • 0–011%
Projected goals
2.2
Likeliest at half time
0–037%
Competition goals a game
2.92
Projected stats
Projected match statistics for Carlisle against Harrogate Town
StatCARHARTotal
GoalsLeague 1.461.220.992.2

Per ninety minutes. Goals use the fitted goals model. Other stats combine each side’s rate with what its opponent allows, pulled toward the competition’s own average where the sample is thin; cards are anchored to the referee.

Form, head-to-head and trends

Last five
CarlisleW, W, D, D, D
Harrogate TownW, L, W
How each side’s recent matches have gone
TrendCARHAR
Over 2.5 goals3/52/3
Both teams scored3/51/3
Clean sheets2/51/3
Failed to score2/51/3

Match context

Form
Carlisle: W2-1 at Solihull Moors, W2-1 v Tamworth, D0-0 v Kidderminster, D0-0 at Fylde, D2-2 v Southend (unbeaten in five, three draws). Harrogate: W3-1 v Sutton, L0-1 at Woking, W3-0 v Hornchurch (only three NL results surfaced).
The competition
English National League (fifth tier) regular-season league round, game week 15, single leg, at Brunton Park on Wed 28 Oct 2026. Per the record on file both were 2025/26 play-off season sides (Carlisle 3rd, Harrogate not shown); the current 2026/27 table (as of 12 Oct) had Harrogate 2nd on 28 pts from 13 and Carlisle 14th on 17 pts from 13 — so this is a midweek league fixture with Harrogate chasing the top and Carlisle trying to climb out of mid-table, not a dead rubber.

Team news

Carlisle

No absences reported.

Harrogate Town

No absences reported.

English National League table and leaders

English National League standings
#ClubPLGDPts
1York City46—108
2Rochdale46—106
3Carlisle United46—95
4Boreham Wood46—90
5Scunthorpe United46—82
6Southend United46—81

Top 6 shown · as read when this competition was last scouted.

  1. 1Ollie PearceYork City34 goals
  2. 2Emmanuel DieseruvweRochdale26 goals
  3. 3Matt RushBoreham Wood26 goals
  4. 4Will HarrisFC Halifax Town22 goals
  5. 5Regan LinneyCarlisle United19 goals

BBC Sport top scorers (2025–26 final), FBref 2025–26 league page, statz.ai 2025–26 player stats; boards partial where snippets cut off

18+Bet what you can afford to lose.

Model output is a projection, not a guarantee. Prices move; the one shown was available when this page was last built.

Frequently asked questions

What is our Carlisle vs Harrogate Town prediction?

We project 1–0. Our model gives Carlisle 41%, the draw 29% and Harrogate Town 30%.

What is the best bet for Carlisle vs Harrogate Town?

Our tip is Full time · Under 5.5 Goals at 1.10.

What time does Carlisle vs Harrogate Town kick off?

Carlisle vs Harrogate Town kicks off at Wed 19:45 in the English National League.

Are these tips free?

The prediction, the match data and our lead tip are free on every match page. The confidence behind each call — our probability, the edge and the engine's own read — is where a coin is spent.