Chapecoense vs Mirassol prediction, tips and odds
- low scoring
- slow start
- one sided
- high stakes
- league
- Chapecoense: low
- Mirassol: high
- Kick-off
- your local time
- Competition
- Brazilian Serie A
Our prediction
Robert Santos (out), Heitor (doubtful), Rafael Thyere (doubtful), Mauricio Garcez (doubtful), Victor Caetano (doubtful)
De-vigged from the bookmakers — not our model.
- goals per meeting
- 1.2goals per meeting
- with both teams scoring
- 1/5with both teams scoring
- over 2.5 goals
- 0/5over 2.5 goals
- likeliest half-time score
- 0–0likeliest half-time score
Our picks
- Goals stay downOur pickUnder 4.5 Goals1.15
- A quiet first halfOur pickUnder 2.5 GoalsPrice hidden until revealed
How the model sees it
- 0–114%
- 1–113%
- 0–010%
- Projected goals
- 2.3
- Likeliest at half time
- 0–035%
- Competition goals a game
- 2.52
| Stat | CHA | MIR | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| GoalsLeague 1.26 | 0.94 | 1.39 | 2.3 |
| Expected goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.52 | 2.9 |
| ShotsLeague 14.0 | 13.7 | 14.9 | 28.6 |
| Shots on target | 3.97 | 5.25 | 9.2 |
| CornersLeague 5.21 | 5.6 | 5.04 | 10.6 |
| FoulsLeague 13.0 | 12.2 | 11.5 | 23.7 |
Per ninety minutes. Goals use the fitted goals model. Other stats combine each side’s rate with what its opponent allows, pulled toward the competition’s own average where the sample is thin; cards are anchored to the referee.
Form, head-to-head and trends
| Trend | CHA | MIR |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 4/5 | 0/5 |
| Both teams scored | 2/5 | 2/5 |
| Clean sheets | 0/5 | 1/5 |
| Failed to score | 3/5 | 2/5 |
- DMirassol 1–1 Chapecoense2026-05-10 · Brazilian Série A2 gls
- LMirassol 1–0 Chapecoense2024-11-24 · Brazilian Série B1 gls
- LChapecoense 0–1 Mirassol2024-08-05 · Brazilian Série B1 gls
- LChapecoense 0–1 Mirassol2023-07-29 · Brazilian Série B1 gls
- LMirassol 1–0 Chapecoense2023-04-15 · Brazilian Série B1 gls
Match context
- Form
- Chapecoense LLLDW (0-3 at Bragantino, 2-1 v Fluminense, 0-1 at Botafogo, 1-4 v Athletico-PR, 0-4 at Vitória): leaky and bottom. Mirassol DLLDW (0-2 at Corinthians, 1-1 v São Paulo, 2-0 v Internacional, 0-1 at Bahia, 1-1 at Bragantino): low-scoring, hard to beat.
- History
- Short, one-sided recent history: five meetings, all in the Brazilian league. Série B 2023–24 produced four straight Mirassol 1-0 wins (15 Apr 2023 at Mirassol, 29 Jul 2023 and 5 Aug 2024 at Chapecoense, 24 Nov 2024 at Mirassol — the latter clinched Mirassol's promotion), before the 10 May 2026 Série A meeting in Mirassol ended 1-1 (HT 0-0). Chapecoense have never beaten Mirassol and scored just one goal in five meetings; every game has gone under 2.5 and BTTS landed only once. Stature: Mirassol…
- The competition
- Brazilian Serie A (Campeonato Brasileiro), 20 clubs, national top flight — round 34 of 38 (the round at the start of November 2026; Chapecoense have played 32, Mirassol 33). This is a relegation six-pointer: Chapecoense are bottom (20th) on 21 points, 34 goals conceded margin, already effectively doomed and needing a miracle to survive. Mirassol are 16th on 37 points, the first side above the drop zone, so every point matters in a tight Z4 fight with Corinthians (36), Grêmio, Internacional and…
Team news
- Robert Santos — out (mid)
- Heitor — doubtful (def)
- Rafael Thyere — doubtful (def)
- Mauricio Garcez — doubtful (fwd)
- Victor Caetano — doubtful (unknown)
- Bruno Santos — out (fwd)
- Edson Carioca — out (fwd)
- Negueba — out (unknown)
Brazilian Serie A table and leaders
| # | Club | PL | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 38 | — | 79 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 38 | — | 76 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 38 | — | 70 |
| 4 | Mirassol | 38 | — | 67 |
| 5 | Fluminense | 38 | — | 64 |
| 6 | Botafogo | 38 | — | 63 |
Top 6 shown · as read when this competition was last scouted.
- 1Kaio JorgeCruzeiro21 goals
- 2Giorgian de ArrascaetaFlamengo18 goals
- 3Vitor RoquePalmeiras16 goals
- 4RayanVasco14 goals
- 5Pablo VegettiVasco14 goals
- 6ReinaldoMirassol13 goals
- 1Giorgian de ArrascaetaFlamengo14 assists
- 2Kaio JorgeCruzeiro8 assists
- 3Paulo HenriqueVasco8 assists
- 4Matheus PereiraCruzeiro7 assists
- 5Alan PatrickInternacional7 assists
- 6Jhon JhonRB Bragantino7 assists
- 7Lucas PitonVasco7 assists
- 1Agustín RossiFlamengo18 clean sheets
- 2CássioCruzeiro15 clean sheets
- 3RafaelSão Paulo12 clean sheets
- 4EversonAtlético-MG12 clean sheets
- 5WalterMirassol11 clean sheets
- 6Gabriel BrazãoSantos10 clean sheets
- 7CleitonRB Bragantino9 clean sheets
Final tables: Veja/API Futebol/Sporting News/Itatiaia. Avg 2.52 stated by Itatiaia & CBF (959 goals/380 games). Boards: ge.globo, CNN/Itatiaia
More tips this week
- Toyama vs Sendai · Full time · Under 5.5 Goals1.09
- Kanazawa vs Nagano Parceiro · Full time result · Kanazawa1.39
- Nara Club vs Thespakusatsu Gunma · Nara Club · Draw no bet1.41
- Renofa Yamaguchi vs Kagoshima Utd · Full time · Under 3.5 Goals1.36
- Yokohama FC vs Blaublitz Akita · Full time result · Yokohama FC1.70
- Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Tochigi Uva FC · Full time result · Tegevajaro Miyazaki1.75
Frequently asked questions
What is our Chapecoense vs Mirassol prediction?
We project 0–1. The bookmakers' own prices imply Chapecoense 27%, the draw 27% and Mirassol 46%.
What is the best bet for Chapecoense vs Mirassol?
Our tip is Full time · Under 4.5 Goals at 1.15.
What time does Chapecoense vs Mirassol kick off?
Chapecoense vs Mirassol kicks off at Tue 22:30 in the Brazilian Serie A.
Who is out for Chapecoense vs Mirassol?
Reported absences: Bruno Santos (out), Edson Carioca (out), Negueba (out), Robert Santos (out), Heitor (doubtful), Rafael Thyere (doubtful), Mauricio Garcez (doubtful), Victor Caetano (doubtful).
What happened the last time Chapecoense vs Mirassol met?
Mirassol 1–1 Chapecoense (2026-05-10 · Brazilian Série A). Over their last 5 meetings it is 0 wins for Chapecoense, 1 draw and 4 for Mirassol.
Are these tips free?
The prediction, the match data and our lead tip are free on every match page. The confidence behind each call — our probability, the edge and the engine's own read — is where a coin is spent.