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Argentinian Primera Division

Defensa y Justicia vs CA Independiente prediction, tips and odds

Defensa y Justicia carry a four-game unbeaten run and three clean sheets in five into a meeting with an Independiente side winless in four and scoring four in five.
  • low scoring
  • slow start
  • one sided
  • league
Kick-off
your local time
Competition
Argentinian Primera Division

Our prediction

Defensa y Justicia
FormW, L, W, W, D
CA Independiente
FormL, D, D, L, W
Our prediction
1–02.1 goals projected
DEF 43%Draw 30%CA 27%

De-vigged from the bookmakers — not our model.

likeliest half-time score
0–0likeliest half-time score

Our picks

Rating hidden until revealed
  • Goals stay downOur pickUnder 4.5 Goals
    1.10
  • CA Independiente come throughOur pickDraw or Away
    Price hidden until revealed
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How the model sees it

The market's readNot our model
DEF 43%Draw 30%CA 27%
Likeliest scorelines
  • 1–015%
  • 1–113%
  • 0–012%
Projected goals
2.1
Likeliest at half time
0–038%
Projected stats
Projected match statistics for Defensa y Justicia against CA Independiente
StatDEFCA Total
GoalsLeague 1.081.250.92.1

Per ninety minutes. Goals use the fitted goals model. Other stats combine each side’s rate with what its opponent allows, pulled toward the competition’s own average where the sample is thin; cards are anchored to the referee.

Form, head-to-head and trends

Last five
Defensa y JusticiaW, L, W, W, D
CA IndependienteL, D, D, L, W
How each side’s recent matches have gone
TrendDEFCA
Over 2.5 goals3/52/5
Both teams scored2/53/5
Clean sheets2/51/5
Failed to score1/52/5

Match context

Form
Defensa y Justicia: W-L-W-W-D (9 goals for, 3 against in the last five), winning 2-1 at Talleres last out. Independiente: L-D-D-L-W (4 scored, 7 conceded), winless in four going into this round.
The competition
Argentinian Primera División (Liga Profesional), 2026 Clausura — Game Week 15, a single league round with no knockout leg. Independiente sit mid-table (ESPN: 5-4-5, 19 pts in the Clausura) after a winless run, so this is a normal league fixture with little cushion either way; Defensa y Justicia are chasing the upper part of the table (reported 3rd in Zona A with 24 pts from 13).

Team news

Defensa y Justicia

No absences reported.

CA Independiente

No absences reported.

Argentinian Primera Division table and leaders

Argentinian Primera Division standings
#ClubPLGDPts
1Rosario Central32—66
29Sarmiento (Junín)32—28
30San Martín (San Juan)32—28
4Deportivo Riestra32—52
7San Lorenzo32—51

as read when this competition was last scouted.

  1. 1Gabriel ÁvalosIndependiente12 goals

FBref 2025 Liga Profesional Argentina stats page (most goals/assists/clean sheets); 2025 season, full-year totals

More tips this week

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Model output is a projection, not a guarantee. Prices move; the one shown was available when this page was last built.

Frequently asked questions

What is our Defensa y Justicia vs CA Independiente prediction?

We project 1–0. The bookmakers' own prices imply Defensa y Justicia 43%, the draw 30% and CA Independiente 27%.

What is the best bet for Defensa y Justicia vs CA Independiente?

Our tip is Full time · Under 4.5 Goals at 1.10.

What time does Defensa y Justicia vs CA Independiente kick off?

Defensa y Justicia vs CA Independiente kicks off at Mon 22:00 in the Argentinian Primera Division.

Are these tips free?

The prediction, the match data and our lead tip are free on every match page. The confidence behind each call — our probability, the edge and the engine's own read — is where a coin is spent.