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Spanish La Liga

Deportivo vs Osasuna prediction, tips and odds

Aubameyang still sidelined as draw-heavy Deportivo host an Osasuna side leaking 3.75 goals a game on the road
  • even match
  • weakened side
  • no strong shape
  • league
  • Deportivo: normal
  • Osasuna: normal
Kick-off
your local time
Competition
Spanish La Liga

Our prediction

Deportivo
11th · 11 pts
FormL, D, L, D, L

Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang (doubtful), Marc Casadó (out), Zakaria Eddahchouri (doubtful), Bright Ede (out)

Osasuna
12th · 11 pts
FormL, W, L, D, L

Jorge Herrando (out), Aimar Oroz (out), Romain Del Castillo (doubtful)

Our prediction
1–12.3 goals projected
DEP 44%Draw 30%OSA 26%

De-vigged from the bookmakers — not our model.

goals per meeting
2.8goals per meeting
with both teams scoring
4/6with both teams scoring
over 2.5 goals
4/6over 2.5 goals
likeliest half-time score
0–0likeliest half-time score

Our picks

Rating hidden until revealed
  • Goals stay downOur pickUnder 3.5 Goals
    1.27
  • Deportivo come throughOur pickHome or Draw
    Price hidden until revealed

How the model sees it

The market's readNot our model
DEP 44%Draw 30%OSA 26%
Likeliest scorelines
  • 1–113%
  • 1–013%
  • 0–110%
Projected goals
2.3
Likeliest at half time
0–035%
Projected stats
Projected match statistics for Deportivo against Osasuna
StatDEPOSATotal
GoalsLeague 1.51.31.022.3
Expected goals (xG)1.471.342.8
ShotsLeague 13.312.812.425.2
Shots on target3.944.18.0
CornersLeague 4.855.024.379.4
FoulsLeague 12.312.112.624.7

Per ninety minutes. Goals use the fitted goals model. Other stats combine each side’s rate with what its opponent allows, pulled toward the competition’s own average where the sample is thin; cards are anchored to the referee.

Form, head-to-head and trends

Last five
DeportivoL, D, L, D, L
OsasunaL, W, L, D, L
How each side’s recent matches have gone
TrendDEPOSA
Over 2.5 goals1/52/5
Both teams scored3/52/5
Clean sheets0/51/5
Failed to score2/52/5
Head-to-head · last 6
2
DEP wins
1
Draws
3
OSA wins
  • LDeportivo La Coruña 1–2 Osasuna2021-12-16 · Copa del Rey (second round)3 gls
  • LOsasuna 2–1 Deportivo La Coruña2019-04-13 · Segunda División3 gls
  • WDeportivo La Coruña 2–0 Osasuna2018-11-24 · Segunda División2 gls
  • DOsasuna 2–2 Deportivo La Coruña2017-04-30 · La Liga4 gls
  • WDeportivo La Coruña 2–0 Osasuna2016-12-18 · La Liga2 gls
2.8goals per meeting4/6with both teams scoring4/6over 2.5 goals

Match context

Form
Deportivo LLD LD L (last 5: 0-1 Atletico, 1-1 Levante, 2-3 Sociedad, 1-1 Betis, 0-1 Sevilla) — one win in nine, goals drying up; Osasuna WLLDW before a 0-2 Sevilla loss, conceding heavily away (17 in 5 road games).
History
Deportivo and Osasuna are historical near-equals with 13 recent meetings (4 Depor wins, 5 draws, 4 Osasuna wins) but almost no recent top-flight history: Depor spent years in the lower tiers and only returned to LaLiga this season. Most recent meetings: Osasuna 2-1 at home to Depor in a Dec 2021 Copa del Rey second round; Segunda 2018-19 pair: Depor 2-0 at the Riazor (Nov 2018) and Osasuna 2-1 (Apr 2019); last top-flight league meetings in 2016-17: Depor 2-0 (Dec 2016) and 2-2 at El Sadar (Apr…
The competition
La Liga (Spain's top flight, tier 1). Matchday 11, ordinary league round. Deportivo sit 11th on 11 pts (2W-5D-3L, 13/13) after 10 games; Osasuna 12th on 11 pts from 9 games (3W-2D-5L, 10/18, GD -10) — level on points, both mid-table and only a few points off the European places, with no relegation emergency yet. Both are playing for a foothold in the top half; nothing is a dead rubber. Deportivo are at home at Riazor, where their form has been draw-heavy.
Osasuna cards
2.7a game

Team news

Deportivo
  • Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang — doubtful (fwd)
  • Marc Casadó — out (mid)
  • Zakaria Eddahchouri — doubtful (fwd)
  • Bright Ede — out (def)
Osasuna
  • Jorge Herrando — out (def)
  • Aimar Oroz — out (mid)
  • Romain Del Castillo — doubtful (mid)

Spanish La Liga table and leaders

Spanish La Liga standings
#ClubPLGDPts
1Barcelona10—27
2Atletico Madrid10—25
3Real Madrid10—24
4Real Betis10—20
5Real Sociedad10—19
6Sevilla9—14

Top 6 shown · as read when this competition was last scouted.

  1. 1RaphinhaBarcelona13 goals
  2. 2Kylian MbappeReal Madrid11 goals
  3. 3Lamine YamalBarcelona8 goals
  4. 4Yassir ZabiriRacing Santander8 goals
  5. 5Sergio CamelloRayo Vallecano7 goals

Goals/assists: topscorersfootball.com, statorium.com, 25 Oct 2026. Clean sheets: FBref (leader only). Table: ESPN/BBC/Goal, matchday 10.

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Model output is a projection, not a guarantee. Prices move; the one shown was available when this page was last built.

Frequently asked questions

What is our Deportivo vs Osasuna prediction?

We project 1–1. The bookmakers' own prices imply Deportivo 44%, the draw 30% and Osasuna 26%.

What is the best bet for Deportivo vs Osasuna?

Our tip is Full time · Under 3.5 Goals at 1.27.

What time does Deportivo vs Osasuna kick off?

Deportivo vs Osasuna kicks off at Mon 20:00 in the Spanish La Liga.

Who is out for Deportivo vs Osasuna?

Reported absences: Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang (doubtful), Marc Casadó (out), Zakaria Eddahchouri (doubtful), Bright Ede (out), Jorge Herrando (out), Aimar Oroz (out), Romain Del Castillo (doubtful).

What happened the last time Deportivo vs Osasuna met?

Deportivo La Coruña 1–2 Osasuna (2021-12-16 · Copa del Rey (second round)). Over their last 6 meetings it is 2 wins for Deportivo, 1 draw and 3 for Osasuna.

Are these tips free?

The prediction, the match data and our lead tip are free on every match page. The confidence behind each call — our probability, the edge and the engine's own read — is where a coin is spent.