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Portuguese Primeira Liga

Estoril Praia vs Moreirense prediction, tips and odds

  • league
  • Estoril Praia: high
  • Moreirense: normal
Kick-off
your local time
Competition
Portuguese Primeira Liga

Our prediction

Estoril Praia
18th · 2 pts
FormD, L, L, L, D
Moreirense
12th · 8 pts
FormL, L, D, W, L
Our prediction
1–02.3 goals projected
EST 49%Draw 27%MOR 24%
likeliest half-time score
0–0likeliest half-time score

Our picks

Rating hidden until revealed
  • Estoril Praia come throughOur pickEstoril Praia
    1.99
  • Goals stay downOur pickUnder 4.5 Goals
    Price hidden until revealed

Implied by the bookmakers’ own prices, with the margin removed. The engine has not published a read on this match.

How the model sees it

Result probability
EST 49%Draw 27%MOR 24%
Likeliest scorelines
  • 1–014%
  • 1–113%
  • 0–010%
Projected goals
2.3
Likeliest at half time
0–036%
Competition goals a game
2.75
Competition matches over 2.5
55%
Projected stats
Projected match statistics for Estoril Praia against Moreirense
StatESTMORTotal
Goals1.390.892.3

Per ninety minutes. Goals use the fitted goals model. Other stats combine each side’s rate with what its opponent allows, pulled toward the competition’s own average where the sample is thin; cards are anchored to the referee.

Form, head-to-head and trends

Last five
Estoril PraiaD, L, L, L, D
MoreirenseL, L, D, W, L
How each side’s recent matches have gone
TrendESTMOR
Over 2.5 goals2/52/5
Both teams scored3/52/5
Clean sheets1/50/5
Failed to score2/53/5

Match context

Form
Estoril winless in five (0-0 Arouca, 0-1 Braga, 1-2 Casa Pia, 1-2 Ac. Viseu, 1-1 Salgueiros in the cup); Moreirense beat Marítimo 3-1 but lost to Benfica 0-4, Gil Vicente 0-1 and AVS 0-1 in the cup, drawing 1-1 at Guimarães.
The competition
Primeira Liga 2026/27, Matchweek 9 league round (single fixture, no leg). 18th-placed Estoril (P8, 2 pts, GF4/GA12, still winless) host 12th-placed Moreirense (P8, 8 pts, GF8/GA15) — a bottom-half/relegation-zone six-pointer early in the season, with Estoril already needing points badly. Stakes normal-to-high for both; table positions from the record on file.

Team news

Estoril Praia

No absences reported.

Moreirense

No absences reported.

Portuguese Primeira Liga table and leaders

Portuguese Primeira Liga standings
#ClubPLGDPts
1Porto8—24
2Benfica8—19
3Sporting CP8—18
4Santa Clara8—18
5Arouca8—14
6Académico de Viseu8—14

Top 6 shown · as read when this competition was last scouted.

  1. 1Vangelis PavlidisBenfica8 goals
  2. 2Luis SuárezSporting CP7 goals
  3. 3Gianluca PrestianniBenfica5 goals
  4. 4BarberoArouca5 goals
  5. 5Gonçalo PaciênciaSanta Clara5 goals

Table, avg goals and over-2.5 from SoccerBet Tips/Soccer News (MD8, Oct 2026); leaders cross-checked with soccernews.com and FOX Sports (18 Oct 2026).

18+Bet what you can afford to lose.

Model output is a projection, not a guarantee. Prices move; the one shown was available when this page was last built.

Frequently asked questions

What is our Estoril Praia vs Moreirense prediction?

We project 1–0. Our model gives Estoril Praia 49%, the draw 27% and Moreirense 24%.

What is the best bet for Estoril Praia vs Moreirense?

Our tip is Full time result · Estoril Praia at 1.99. This one is implied by the bookmakers' prices rather than published by our engine.

What time does Estoril Praia vs Moreirense kick off?

Estoril Praia vs Moreirense kicks off at Sun 15:30 in the Portuguese Primeira Liga.

Are these tips free?

The prediction, the match data and our lead tip are free on every match page. The confidence behind each call — our probability, the edge and the engine's own read — is where a coin is spent.