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Portuguese Segunda Liga

Farense vs Penafiel prediction, tips and odds

  • league
Kick-off
your local time
Competition
Portuguese Segunda Liga

Our prediction

Farense
3rd · 14 pts
FormW, W
Penafiel
4th · 13 pts
FormL, L, W, W, W
Our prediction
1–02.5 goals projected
FAR 56%Draw 24%PEN 20%
likeliest half-time score
0–0likeliest half-time score

Our picks

Rating hidden until revealed
  • Farense come throughOur pickHome or Draw
    Price hidden until revealed
  • Farense avoid defeatOur pickFarense starts 1.5 goals ahead
    Price hidden until revealed

Implied by the bookmakers’ own prices, with the margin removed. The engine has not published a read on this match.

How the model sees it

Result probability
FAR 56%Draw 24%PEN 20%
Likeliest scorelines
  • 1–013%
  • 1–111%
  • 2–011%
Projected goals
2.5
Likeliest at half time
0–032%
Projected stats
Projected match statistics for Farense against Penafiel
StatFARPENTotal
Goals1.670.882.5

Per ninety minutes. Goals use the fitted goals model. Other stats combine each side’s rate with what its opponent allows, pulled toward the competition’s own average where the sample is thin; cards are anchored to the referee.

Form, head-to-head and trends

Last five
FarenseW, W
PenafielL, L, W, W, W
How each side’s recent matches have gone
TrendFARPEN
Over 2.5 goals2/24/5
Both teams scored1/24/5
Clean sheets1/20/5
Failed to score0/21/5

Match context

Form
Farense: 2-1 v Feirense (11/10) and 4-0 v Chaves (04/10), both home. Penafiel: lost 0-1 at Leca (cup, 17/10) and 1-2 home to AVS (09/10) after three straight wins (2-1 at Oliveirense cup, 2-1 at Felgueiras, 4-1 v Academica).
The competition
Portuguese Liga Portugal 2 (Segunda Liga, "Meu Super") — the country's second tier, round 8 of the 2026/27 season (a league round, no second leg). FC Penafiel's own site lists Farense v Penafiel as Jornada 8, 24 Oct 2026, 18:00. Farense sat 3rd (14 pts from 7) and Penafiel 4th (13 pts from 7) before the round; no page stated stakes beyond the table position.

Team news

Farense

No absences reported.

Penafiel

No absences reported.

Portuguese Segunda Liga table

Portuguese Segunda Liga standings
#ClubPLGDPts
3Farense7—14
4Penafiel7—13

as read when this competition was last scouted.

18+Bet what you can afford to lose.

Model output is a projection, not a guarantee. Prices move; the one shown was available when this page was last built.

Frequently asked questions

What is our Farense vs Penafiel prediction?

We project 1–0. Our model gives Farense 56%, the draw 24% and Penafiel 20%.

What is the best bet for Farense vs Penafiel?

Our tip is Full time result · Farense at 2.00. This one is implied by the bookmakers' prices rather than published by our engine.

What time does Farense vs Penafiel kick off?

Farense vs Penafiel kicks off at Sat 17:00 in the Portuguese Segunda Liga.

Are these tips free?

The prediction, the match data and our lead tip are free on every match page. The confidence behind each call — our probability, the edge and the engine's own read — is where a coin is spent.