Fenerbahce vs Liverpool prediction, tips and odds
- weakened side
- goals fest
- high stakes
- one sided
- league
- Fenerbahce: high
- Liverpool: high
- Kick-off
- your local time
- Competition
- UEFA Champions League
- Referee
- Clément Turpin
- 3.4 cards a game
Our prediction
Nathan Aké (out), Kojo Peprah Oppong (out), Marco Asensio (out), Jayden Oosterwolde (out), Mason Greenwood (doubtful)
Ryan Gravenberch (out), Hugo Ekitike (out), Jeremie Frimpong (out), Conor Bradley (out), Giovanni Leoni (out)
De-vigged from the bookmakers — not our model.
- likeliest half-time score
- 0–1likeliest half-time score
Our picks
- Liverpool come throughOur pickLiverpool · Draw no bet1.53
- Liverpool avoid defeatOur pickLiverpool starts 1.5 goals aheadPrice hidden until revealed
Implied by the bookmakers’ own prices, with the margin removed. The engine has not published a read on this match.
How the model sees it
- 0–210%
- 1–29%
- 0–39%
- Projected goals
- 3.4
- Likeliest at half time
- 0–124%
- Competition goals a game
- 3.47
| Stat | FEN | LIV | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| GoalsLeague 1.74 | 0.9 | 2.5 | 3.4 |
| Expected goals (xG)League 1.61 | 1.69 | 1.61 | 3.3 |
| CornersLeague 4.9 | 4.55 | 4.93 | 9.5 |
Per ninety minutes. Goals use the fitted goals model. Other stats combine each side’s rate with what its opponent allows, pulled toward the competition’s own average where the sample is thin; cards are anchored to the referee.
Form, head-to-head and trends
| Trend | FEN | LIV |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 5/5 | 2/5 |
| Both teams scored | 3/5 | 3/5 |
| Clean sheets | 1/5 | 1/5 |
| Failed to score | 1/5 | 1/5 |
Match context
- Form
- Liverpool W W W W D L (all comps, most recent first): 0-1 v Arsenal, 1-1 Chelsea (pens), 2-0 Brighton, 4-3 Villarreal, 1-2 at Brentford, 6-3 at LASK — scoring heavily, no UCL clean sheet. Fenerbahçe L L D W L: 1-2 v Göztepe, 1-2 at Galatasaray, 2-2 Slavia, 3-0 Alanyaspor, 0-6 at…
- History
- First-ever meeting: UEFA ("This is the teams' first meeting"), Liverpool FC and Squawka/tips.gg all confirm Fenerbahce and Liverpool have never played a competitive match, so there is no h2h record — no meetings to list, no half-time history. Stature gap is large: Liverpool are Champions League winners and league-phase leaders (won all 3, 12 goals scored), while Fenerbahce are a big Turkish club but first UCL proper appearance since 2008-09, winless in this league phase (D Roma 1-1, L 0-6 at As…
- The competition
- UEFA Champions League 2026/27 league phase, Matchday 4 (36-team single table; top 8 straight to the last 16, 9-24 to the play-offs, 25-36 out). Liverpool have started 3/3 — 2-1 v Atlético, 3-6 at LASK, 4-3 v Villarreal — and are one of the sides on 9 points chasing a top-8 bye; a win in Istanbul keeps them on track for a direct last-16 place. Fenerbahçe have 2 points from three (1-1 Roma, 0-6 at Aston Villa, 2-2 Slavia) and sit in the elimination zone, so for them this is close to must-win to k…
- Referee cards
- 3.4a game
- Fenerbahce cards
- 2.5a game
- Liverpool cards
- 1.8a game
Team news
- Nathan Aké — out (def)
- Kojo Peprah Oppong — out (def)
- Marco Asensio — out (mid)
- Jayden Oosterwolde — out (def)
- Mason Greenwood — doubtful (fwd)
- Ryan Gravenberch — out (mid)
- Hugo Ekitike — out (fwd)
- Jeremie Frimpong — out (def)
- Conor Bradley — out (def)
- Giovanni Leoni — out (def)
UEFA Champions League table and leaders
| # | Club | PL | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 8 | — | 24 |
| 2 | Bayern München | 8 | — | 21 |
| 3 | Liverpool | 8 | — | 18 |
| 4 | Tottenham Hotspur | 8 | — | 17 |
| 5 | Barcelona | 8 | — | 16 |
| 6 | Chelsea | 8 | — | 16 |
Top 6 shown · as read when this competition was last scouted.
- 1Kylian MbappéReal Madrid15 goals
- 2Harry KaneBayern München14 goals
- 3Khvicha KvaratskheliaParis Saint-Germain10 goals
- 4Julián ÁlvarezAtlético Madrid10 goals
- 5Anthony GordonNewcastle United10 goals
- 1Michael OliseBayern München6 assists
- 2Achraf HakimiParis Saint-Germain6 assists
- 3Khvicha KvaratskheliaParis Saint-Germain6 assists
- 4Vinícius JúniorReal Madrid5 assists
- 5Serge GnabryBayern München5 assists
- 1David RayaArsenal9 clean sheets
- 2Guglielmo VicarioTottenham Hotspur6 clean sheets
- 3AlissonLiverpool4 clean sheets
- 4Nick PopeNewcastle United4 clean sheets
- 5Thibaut CourtoisReal Madrid4 clean sheets
Top scorers/assists: UEFA.com season stats, ESPN, StatMuse and BeSoccer (whole 2025/26 campaign). Clean sheets: StatMuse keeper table, season end.
More UEFA Champions League tips this weekend
- AEK Athens vs Real Madrid · Full time result · Real Madrid1.22
- Slavia Prague vs Arsenal · Full time result · Arsenal1.26
- Dortmund vs Betis · Full time result · Dortmund1.78
- Lens vs Como · Full time · Under 5.5 Goals1.10
- PSV vs Club Brugge · PSV starts 1 goal ahead1.20
- Viking vs FC Sabah · Full time result · Viking1.45
Frequently asked questions
What is our Fenerbahce vs Liverpool prediction?
We project 0–2. The bookmakers' own prices imply Fenerbahce 16%, the draw 19% and Liverpool 65%.
What is the best bet for Fenerbahce vs Liverpool?
Our tip is Full time result · Liverpool at 1.53. This one is implied by the bookmakers' prices rather than published by our engine.
What time does Fenerbahce vs Liverpool kick off?
Fenerbahce vs Liverpool kicks off at Wed 17:45 in the UEFA Champions League.
Who is out for Fenerbahce vs Liverpool?
Reported absences: Ryan Gravenberch (out), Hugo Ekitike (out), Jeremie Frimpong (out), Conor Bradley (out), Giovanni Leoni (out), Nathan Aké (out), Kojo Peprah Oppong (out), Marco Asensio (out), Jayden Oosterwolde (out), Mason Greenwood (doubtful).
Are these tips free?
The prediction, the match data and our lead tip are free on every match page. The confidence behind each call — our probability, the edge and the engine's own read — is where a coin is spent.