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Brazilian Serie A

Flamengo vs Atletico MG prediction, tips and odds

Title-chasing Flamengo, unbeaten in five, host a mid-table Atlético Mineiro side squeezed between Sudamericana semi-final legs and a 21 November final.
  • high stakes
  • rotation risk
  • one sided
  • slow start
  • no strong shape
  • league
  • Flamengo: high
  • Atletico MG: normal
Kick-off
your local time
Competition
Brazilian Serie A

Our prediction

Flamengo
1st · 79 pts
FormD, W, D, W, D
Atletico MG
11th · 48 pts
FormL, W, W, W, D
Our prediction
1–02.6 goals projected
FLA 66%Draw 21%ATL 13%
likeliest half-time score
0–0likeliest half-time score

Our picks

Rating hidden until revealed
  • Flamengo come throughOur pickFlamengo
    1.33
  • Atletico MG keep it closeOur pickAtletico MG starts 4 goals ahead
    Price hidden until revealed

Implied by the bookmakers’ own prices, with the margin removed. The engine has not published a read on this match.

Unlock all tips · 1 coin

How the model sees it

Result probability
FLA 66%Draw 21%ATL 13%
Likeliest scorelines
  • 1–015%
  • 2–014%
  • 1–110%
Projected goals
2.6
Likeliest at half time
0–032%
Competition goals a game
2.52
Competition matches over 2.5
46%
Projected stats
Projected match statistics for Flamengo against Atletico MG
StatFLAATLTotal
GoalsLeague 1.341.890.672.6

Per ninety minutes. Goals use the fitted goals model. Other stats combine each side’s rate with what its opponent allows, pulled toward the competition’s own average where the sample is thin; cards are anchored to the referee.

Form, head-to-head and trends

Last five
FlamengoD, W, D, W, D
Atletico MGL, W, W, W, D
How each side’s recent matches have gone
TrendFLAATL
Over 2.5 goals2/53/5
Both teams scored1/52/5
Clean sheets4/52/5
Failed to score2/51/5

Match context

Form
Flamengo unbeaten in five with the two 0-0s against Estudiantes going to penalties; Atlético MG won three home games before a 0-2 second-leg loss at Torque that still sent them to the Sudamericana final.
The competition
Brazilian Serie A, standard league round (~round 32 by the club's own fixture list) — single match, no legs. On the on-file table Flamengo lead on 79 pts (1st, GF78/GA27) and Atlético Mineiro sit 11th on 48; Atlético's own site reported 50 pts and 5th after round 31, so the table snapshot is stale relative to late October. Flamengo are chasing the title; Atlético are a mid-table side with a Sudamericana final (v Boca, 21 Nov) already booked, so league stakes for them are modest and rotation/fat…

Team news

Flamengo

No absences reported.

Atletico MG

No absences reported.

Brazilian Serie A table and leaders

Brazilian Serie A standings
#ClubPLGDPts
1Flamengo38—79
2Palmeiras38—76
3Cruzeiro38—70
4Mirassol38—67
5Fluminense38—64
6Botafogo38—63

Top 6 shown · as read when this competition was last scouted.

  1. 1Kaio JorgeCruzeiro21 goals
  2. 2Giorgian de ArrascaetaFlamengo18 goals
  3. 3Vitor RoquePalmeiras16 goals
  4. 4RayanVasco da Gama14 goals
  5. 5Pablo VegettiVasco da Gama14 goals
  6. 6ReinaldoMirassol13 goals

Table from Wikipedia/FBref/VEJA (final 2025 table); avg goals 959/380=2.52 per CBF & Itatiaia; over-2.5 share 46% from ogol.com.br edition stats

More tips this week

18+Bet what you can afford to lose.

Model output is a projection, not a guarantee. Prices move; the one shown was available when this page was last built.

Frequently asked questions

What is our Flamengo vs Atletico MG prediction?

We project 1–0. Our model gives Flamengo 66%, the draw 21% and Atletico MG 13%.

What is the best bet for Flamengo vs Atletico MG?

Our tip is Full time result · Flamengo at 1.33. This one is implied by the bookmakers' prices rather than published by our engine.

What time does Flamengo vs Atletico MG kick off?

Flamengo vs Atletico MG kicks off at Mon 23:00 in the Brazilian Serie A.

Are these tips free?

The prediction, the match data and our lead tip are free on every match page. The confidence behind each call — our probability, the edge and the engine's own read — is where a coin is spent.