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Dutch Eerste Divisie

Jong Ajax Amsterdam vs Vitesse Arnhem prediction, tips and odds

Jong Ajax, 29 conceded in 12 games, host a Vitesse side that has shipped goals without scoring freely, in a division averaging 3.59 goals a match.
  • goals fest
  • high ceiling
  • even match
  • open game
  • league
Kick-off
your local time
Competition
Dutch Eerste Divisie

Our prediction

Jong Ajax Amsterdam
16th · 12 pts
FormD, W, L, D, L
Vitesse Arnhem
8th · 17 pts
FormW, L, W, L, D
Our prediction
1–13.1 goals projected
JON 32%Draw 23%VIT 45%

De-vigged from the bookmakers — not our model.

likeliest half-time score
0–0likeliest half-time score

Our picks

Rating hidden until revealed
  • Jong Ajax Amsterdam keep it closeOur pickJong Ajax Amsterdam starts 3 goals ahead
    1.06
  • A quiet first halfOur pickUnder 2.5 Goals
    Price hidden until revealed
Unlock all tips · 1 coin

How the model sees it

The market's readNot our model
JON 32%Draw 23%VIT 45%
Likeliest scorelines
  • 1–111%
  • 1–29%
  • 0–18%
Projected goals
3.1
Likeliest at half time
0–025%
Competition goals a game
3.59
Competition matches over 2.5
67%
Projected stats
Projected match statistics for Jong Ajax Amsterdam against Vitesse Arnhem
StatJONVITTotal
Goals1.361.713.1

Per ninety minutes. Goals use the fitted goals model. Other stats combine each side’s rate with what its opponent allows, pulled toward the competition’s own average where the sample is thin; cards are anchored to the referee.

Form, head-to-head and trends

Last five
Jong Ajax AmsterdamD, W, L, D, L
Vitesse ArnhemW, L, W, L, D
How each side’s recent matches have gone
TrendJONVIT
Over 2.5 goals4/51/5
Both teams scored3/51/5
Clean sheets1/52/5
Failed to score2/52/5

Match context

Form
Jong Ajax: D-W-L-D-L, 6 scored and 13 conceded in last 5 (two heavy defeats); Vitesse: W-L-W-L-D, 5 scored and 6 conceded in last 5 — low-scoring, few clean games either way.
The competition
Dutch second tier (Keuken Kampioen Divisie / Eerste Divisie), 2026/27 season, league round (gameweek 13) — a single league match, not a cup tie. Jong Ajax sit lower mid-table with a leaky defence; Vitesse are mid-table and in the play-off mix.

Team news

Jong Ajax Amsterdam

No absences reported.

Vitesse Arnhem

No absences reported.

Dutch Eerste Divisie table

Dutch Eerste Divisie standings
#ClubPLGDPts
16Jong Ajax Amsterdam12—12
8Vitesse Arnhem12—17

as read when this competition was last scouted.

More tips this week

18+Bet what you can afford to lose.

Model output is a projection, not a guarantee. Prices move; the one shown was available when this page was last built.

Frequently asked questions

What is our Jong Ajax Amsterdam vs Vitesse Arnhem prediction?

We project 1–1. The bookmakers' own prices imply Jong Ajax Amsterdam 32%, the draw 23% and Vitesse Arnhem 45%.

What is the best bet for Jong Ajax Amsterdam vs Vitesse Arnhem?

Our tip is Jong Ajax Amsterdam starts 3 goals ahead at 1.06.

What time does Jong Ajax Amsterdam vs Vitesse Arnhem kick off?

Jong Ajax Amsterdam vs Vitesse Arnhem kicks off at Mon 19:00 in the Dutch Eerste Divisie.

Are these tips free?

The prediction, the match data and our lead tip are free on every match page. The confidence behind each call — our probability, the edge and the engine's own read — is where a coin is spent.