Lazio vs Parma prediction, tips and odds
- league
- Lazio: high
- Parma: high
- Kick-off
- your local time
- Competition
- Italian Serie A
Our prediction
Adam Marusic (out), Nicolò Rovella (out), Albert Gudmundsson (out), Adam Marusic (doubtful)
Nicolussi Caviglia (out), Pontus Almqvist (out), Elphege (out), Lautaro Valenti (out)
- goals per meeting
- 2.5goals per meeting
- with both teams scoring
- 4/6with both teams scoring
- over 2.5 goals
- 3/6over 2.5 goals
- likeliest half-time score
- 0–0likeliest half-time score
Our picks
- Lazio come throughOur pickLazio1.45
- Parma keep it closeOur pickParma starts 3 goals aheadPrice hidden until revealed
Implied by the bookmakers’ own prices, with the margin removed. The engine has not published a read on this match.
How the model sees it
- 1–013%
- 2–013%
- 1–110%
- Projected goals
- 2.7
- Likeliest at half time
- 0–030%
- Competition goals a game
- 2.96
- Competition matches over 2.5
- 56%
| Stat | LAZ | PAR | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.93 | 0.74 | 2.7 |
| Expected goals (xG) | 1.53 | 1.25 | 2.8 |
| Shots | 14.3 | 12.3 | 26.6 |
| Shots on target | 4.57 | 4.19 | 8.8 |
| Corners | 4.91 | 4.36 | 9.3 |
| Fouls | 11.7 | 12.9 | 24.6 |
Per ninety minutes. Goals use the fitted goals model. Other stats combine each side’s rate with what its opponent allows, pulled toward the competition’s own average where the sample is thin; cards are anchored to the referee.
Form, head-to-head and trends
| Trend | LAZ | PAR |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 5/5 | 4/5 |
| Both teams scored | 4/5 | 3/5 |
| Clean sheets | 1/5 | 0/5 |
| Failed to score | 0/5 | 2/5 |
- DLazio 1–1 Parma2026-04-04 · Serie A2 gls
- WParma 0–1 Lazio2025-12-13 · Serie A1 gls
- DLazio 2–2 Parma2025-04-28 · Serie A4 gls
- LParma 3–1 Lazio2024-12-01 · Serie A4 gls
- WLazio 1–0 Parma2021-05-12 · Serie A1 gls
Match context
- Form
- Lazio unbeaten and top-two: WWWDW, four clean sheets in seven, 0-3 at Juventus and 3-1 v Monza recently; Parma 19th: LDLWL, 0-3 to Torino and 0-3 at Inter, one win in seven and only 4 goals scored.
- History
- These are four straight Serie A meetings (all in the last two seasons) and they are split: Lazio 1-1 Parma (Apr 2026, HT 0-1), Parma 0-1 Lazio (Dec 2025, HT 0-0), Lazio 2-2 Parma (Apr 2025, HT 0-1) and Parma 3-1 Lazio (Dec 2024, HT 1-0) — Lazio won 1 of 4, Parma 1, two draws, so the fixture has been level, not dominated; earlier Lazio 1-0 (May 2021 Serie A) and 2-1 (Jan 2021 Coppa Italia). Long-run H2H is lopsided toward Lazio (AiScore: ~22 Lazio wins, 9 draws, 5 Parma wins all-time); a betting…
- The competition
- Italian Serie A 2026/27 (Italy's top flight, 20 clubs), ordinary league round — Matchweek 8. Lazio sit 2nd on 19 pts from 7 (6W 1D 0L, 14:4), level on points with Inter and unbeaten; Parma are 19th on 4 pts (1W 1D 5L, 4:13), one point above bottom side Venezia, deep in the relegation fight and having just changed coach (Gilardino's home bow ended 0-3 v Torino). Lazio are chasing the title/Champions League places; Parma are playing for survival. Both sides had a full week's rest.
Team news
- Adam Marusic — out (def)
- Nicolò Rovella — out (mid)
- Albert Gudmundsson — out (fwd)
- Adam Marusic — doubtful (def)
- Nicolussi Caviglia — out (mid)
- Pontus Almqvist — out (fwd)
- Elphege — out (fwd)
- Lautaro Valenti — out (def)
Italian Serie A table and leaders
| # | Club | PL | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter | 7 | — | 19 |
| 2 | Lazio | 7 | — | 19 |
| 3 | Roma | 7 | — | 17 |
| 4 | AC Milan | 7 | — | 15 |
| 5 | Como | 7 | — | 14 |
| 6 | Frosinone | 7 | — | 13 |
Top 6 shown · as read when this competition was last scouted.
- 1Antonio RaimondoFrosinone7 goals
- 1Adrien RabiotAC Milan3 assists
- 1AS Roma5 clean sheets
soccernews.com Serie A top scorers/assists 2026/27 (22 Oct); soccerstats.com clean-sheet table (club-based, Roma 5 of 7).
More tips this week
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- Cagliari vs Bologna · Full time result · Bologna2.72
- Napoli vs Roma · Full time · Under 4.5 Goals1.15
- Tigre vs Atl Tucuman · Full time result · Tigre2.02
- Western Sydney (W) vs Brisbane Roar FC (W)
- Newcastle Jets vs Macarthur FC · Half time · Under 2.5 Goals1.23
Frequently asked questions
What is our Lazio vs Parma prediction?
We project 1–0. Our model gives Lazio 66%, the draw 21% and Parma 13%.
What is the best bet for Lazio vs Parma?
Our tip is Full time result · Lazio at 1.45. This one is implied by the bookmakers' prices rather than published by our engine.
What time does Lazio vs Parma kick off?
Lazio vs Parma kicks off at Sat 18:45 in the Italian Serie A.
Who is out for Lazio vs Parma?
Reported absences: Adam Marusic (out), Nicolò Rovella (out), Albert Gudmundsson (out), Adam Marusic (doubtful), Nicolussi Caviglia (out), Pontus Almqvist (out), Elphege (out), Lautaro Valenti (out).
What happened the last time Lazio vs Parma met?
Lazio 1–1 Parma (2026-04-04 · Serie A). Over their last 6 meetings it is 3 wins for Lazio, 2 draws and 1 for Parma.
Are these tips free?
The prediction, the match data and our lead tip are free on every match page. The confidence behind each call — our probability, the edge and the engine's own read — is where a coin is spent.