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UEFA Europa League

Lech Poznan vs Sunderland prediction, tips and odds

  • league
  • Lech Poznan: high
  • Sunderland: high
Kick-off
your local time
Competition
UEFA Europa League

Our prediction

Lech Poznan
36th · 0 pts
FormW, L, W, W, L

Wojciech Monka (doubtful), Allahyar Sayyadmanesh (out), Ali Gholizadeh (out), Alex Douglas (out)

Sunderland
9th · 6 pts
FormL, W, L, D

Brian Brobbey (out), Wilson Isidor (doubtful), Romaine Mundle (out), Dan Ballard (out), Thomas Meunier (out), Habib Diarra (doubtful)

Our prediction
1–12.7 goals projected
LEC 34%Draw 26%SUN 40%
likeliest half-time score
0–0likeliest half-time score

Our picks

Rating hidden until revealed
  • Lech Poznan keep it closeOur pickLech Poznan starts 2 goals ahead
    1.16
  • Goals stay downOur pickUnder 4.5 Goals
    Price hidden until revealed
Unlock all tips · 1 coin

How the model sees it

Result probability
LEC 34%Draw 26%SUN 40%
Likeliest scorelines
  • 1–112%
  • 0–110%
  • 1–09%
Projected goals
2.7
Likeliest at half time
0–030%
Projected stats
Projected match statistics for Lech Poznan against Sunderland
StatLECSUNTotal
Goals1.271.412.7
Expected goals (xG)1.621.353.0
Shots13.213.927.1
Corners5.074.689.8

Per ninety minutes. Goals use the fitted goals model. Other stats combine each side’s rate with what its opponent allows, pulled toward the competition’s own average where the sample is thin; cards are anchored to the referee.

Form, head-to-head and trends

Last five
Lech PoznanW, L, W, W, L
SunderlandL, W, L, D
How each side’s recent matches have gone
TrendLECSUN
Over 2.5 goals5/51/4
Both teams scored3/52/4
Clean sheets0/50/4
Failed to score2/52/4

Match context

  • Poznan 22 Oct forecast: rain, 13-14C, wet-pitch risk (sources disagree on intensity)
Form
Lech Poznań score freely domestically (6-1 Korona, 4-1 at Śląsk, 5-1 Radomiak) but have lost 0-4 twice in Europe; Sunderland are WLDL, blanked 0-2 by Bournemouth and 0-2 at home by Brighton, but won 2-1 at Torreense.
History
No meaningful history: Lech Poznan and Sunderland have never met competitively (WhoScored preview: "These clubs have never met before"), so there is no head-to-head record to weigh for goals, result or BTTS. On stature, Sunderland are the Premier League side — historically much the bigger club and Europa League leaders with two wins from two — but they arrive in poor domestic form (four straight league defeats). Lech are reigning Polish champions, sitting 2nd in the Ekstraklasa with a strong ho…
The competition
UEFA Europa League 2026/27, league phase (36 clubs, 8 matchdays) — Matchday 3 of 8. Not a knockout: every side plays 8 different opponents; top 8 go straight to the R16, 9–24 to knockout play-offs, 25–36 out. Sunderland are 2-0-0 (6 pts, 9th) after 1-0 v AZ Alkmaar and 2-1 at Torreense and are chasing a top-8 bye. Lech Poznań are 0-0-2 (0 pts, 36th of 36), beaten 4-0 by Crystal Palace and 4-0 at home by Leverkusen, still to score, and already under pressure to reach the play-off places. Both ar…

Team news

Lech Poznan
  • Wojciech Monka — doubtful (def)
  • Allahyar Sayyadmanesh — out (fwd)
  • Ali Gholizadeh — out (fwd)
  • Alex Douglas — out (def)
Sunderland
  • Brian Brobbey — out (fwd)
  • Wilson Isidor — doubtful (fwd)
  • Romaine Mundle — out (fwd)
  • Dan Ballard — out (def)
  • Thomas Meunier — out (def)
  • Habib Diarra — doubtful (mid)

UEFA Europa League table

UEFA Europa League standings
#ClubPLGDPts
9Sunderland2—6
36Lech Poznan2—0

as read when this competition was last scouted.

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Model output is a projection, not a guarantee. Prices move; the one shown was available when this page was last built.

Frequently asked questions

What is our Lech Poznan vs Sunderland prediction?

We project 1–1. Our model gives Lech Poznan 34%, the draw 26% and Sunderland 40%.

What is the best bet for Lech Poznan vs Sunderland?

Our tip is Lech Poznan starts 2 goals ahead at 1.16.

What time does Lech Poznan vs Sunderland kick off?

Lech Poznan vs Sunderland kicks off at Thu 16:45 in the UEFA Europa League.

Who is out for Lech Poznan vs Sunderland?

Reported absences: Brian Brobbey (out), Wilson Isidor (doubtful), Romaine Mundle (out), Dan Ballard (out), Thomas Meunier (out), Habib Diarra (doubtful), Wojciech Monka (doubtful), Allahyar Sayyadmanesh (out), Ali Gholizadeh (out), Alex Douglas (out).

Are these tips free?

The prediction, the match data and our lead tip are free on every match page. The confidence behind each call — our probability, the edge and the engine's own read — is where a coin is spent.