Newcastle vs Everton prediction, tips and odds
- even match
- weakened side
- no strong shape
- league
- Newcastle: normal
- Everton: normal
- Kick-off
- your local time
- Competition
- English Premier League
- Referee
- John Brooks
- 5.0 cards a game
Our prediction
Ewen Jaouen (out), Tino Livramento (out), William Osula (out), Lewis Miley (doubtful), Matias Fernandez-Pardo (doubtful), Anthony Elanga (doubtful), Jacob Ramsey (doubtful)
Jarrad Branthwaite (doubtful), Jack Grealish (doubtful), Vitalii Mykolenko (doubtful)
De-vigged from the bookmakers — not our model.
- goals per meeting
- 2.8goals per meeting
- with both teams scoring
- 4/6with both teams scoring
- over 2.5 goals
- 3/6over 2.5 goals
- likeliest half-time score
- 0–0likeliest half-time score
Our picks
- Goals keep comingOur pickOver 2.5 Goals1.78
- Everton come throughOur pickDraw or AwayPrice hidden until revealed
Implied by the bookmakers’ own prices, with the margin removed. The engine has not published a read on this match.
How the model sees it
- 1–111%
- 2–19%
- 1–08%
- Projected goals
- 3.0
- Likeliest at half time
- 0–026%
- Competition goals a game
- 2.75
| Stat | NEW | EVE | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| GoalsLeague 1.38 | 1.64 | 1.34 | 3.0 |
| Expected goals (xG) | 1.47 | 1.66 | 3.1 |
| Shots | 13.3 | 14.9 | 28.2 |
Per ninety minutes. Goals use the fitted goals model. Other stats combine each side’s rate with what its opponent allows, pulled toward the competition’s own average where the sample is thin; cards are anchored to the referee.
Form, head-to-head and trends
| Trend | NEW | EVE |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 3/5 | 2/5 |
| Both teams scored | 3/5 | 2/5 |
| Clean sheets | 1/5 | 1/5 |
| Failed to score | 1/5 | 2/5 |
- LEverton 3–1 Newcastle United2026-10-29 · League Cup (EFL Cup, fourth round)4 gls
- LNewcastle United 2–3 Everton2026-02-28 · Premier League5 gls
- WEverton 1–4 Newcastle United2025-11-29 · Premier League5 gls
- LNewcastle United 0–1 Everton2025-05-25 · Premier League1 gls
- DEverton 0–0 Newcastle United2024-10-05 · Premier League0 gls
Match context
- Form
- Newcastle WWLLW-ish: 2-0 win at Palace then 1-3 cup loss at Everton, but 0-1 home loss to Villa and 1-4 at Coventry before; Everton LLDDW: two straight PL defeats (0-2 Chelsea, 0-2 Arsenal) before the 3-1 cup win over Newcastle. Both sides low-scoring, Everton's league games not…
- History
- Familiar, closely-matched Premier League pair, but recent league form swings wildly. Latest league meetings: Newcastle 2-3 Everton (Feb 2026), Everton 1-4 Newcastle (Nov 2025), Newcastle 0-1 Everton (May 2025), Everton 0-0 Newcastle (Oct 2024). Everton also won Aug 2026 friendly 3-1 at St James' Park and the Carabao Cup fourth round 3-1 at home on 29 Oct 2026 (2-0 HT) — not league. Newcastle sit 8th, Everton 14th; club stature is similar, Everton's form is poor. Last four league derbies produce…
- The competition
- English Premier League, 2025/26 was a completed season (Newcastle 12th on 49 pts, GF53/GA55; Everton 13th on 49 pts, GF47/GA50 — level on points, split only on goal difference). This is an ordinary Premier League round fixture (matchday ~10 of the 2026/27 campaign) at St James' Park on Mon 2 Nov 2026. In the current 2026/27 table Newcastle sit 8th (11 pts from 8) and Everton 11th (10 pts from 8), so it is a mid-table meeting of two sides separated by a single point, both with European places in…
- Referee cards
- 5.0a game
- Newcastle cards
- 2.8a game
- Everton cards
- 1.7a game
Team news
- Ewen Jaouen — out (gk)
- Tino Livramento — out (def)
- William Osula — out (fwd)
- Lewis Miley — doubtful (mid)
- Matias Fernandez-Pardo — doubtful (mid)
- Anthony Elanga — doubtful (fwd)
- Jacob Ramsey — doubtful (mid)
- Jarrad Branthwaite — doubtful (def)
- Jack Grealish — doubtful (fwd)
- Vitalii Mykolenko — doubtful (def)
English Premier League table and leaders
| # | Club | PL | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 38 | — | 85 |
| 2 | Manchester City | 38 | — | 78 |
| 3 | Manchester United | 38 | — | 71 |
| 4 | Aston Villa | 38 | — | 65 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 38 | — | 60 |
| 6 | AFC Bournemouth | 38 | — | 57 |
Top 6 shown · as read when this competition was last scouted.
- 1Erling HaalandManchester City27 goals
- 2Igor ThiagoBrentford22 goals
- 3Antoine SemenyoManchester City17 goals
- 4Ollie WatkinsAston Villa16 goals
- 5João PedroChelsea15 goals
- 6Morgan Gibbs-WhiteNottingham Forest15 goals
- 1Bruno FernandesManchester United21 assists
- 2Rayan CherkiManchester City12 assists
- 3Jarrod BowenWest Ham United11 assists
- 4Erling HaalandManchester City8 assists
- 1David RayaArsenal19 clean sheets
- 2Gianluigi DonnarummaManchester City15 clean sheets
- 3Jordan PickfordEverton11 clean sheets
- 4Dean HendersonCrystal Palace11 clean sheets
- 5Djordje PetrovićAFC Bournemouth11 clean sheets
Final 2025/26 tables: premierleague.com all-matchweeks, Wikipedia, TNT Sports; leaders: premierleague.com, ESPN, SI/Squawka; clean sheets FotMob.
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Frequently asked questions
What is our Newcastle vs Everton prediction?
We project 1–1. The bookmakers' own prices imply Newcastle 42%, the draw 27% and Everton 31%.
What is the best bet for Newcastle vs Everton?
Our tip is Full time · Over 2.5 Goals at 1.78. This one is implied by the bookmakers' prices rather than published by our engine.
What time does Newcastle vs Everton kick off?
Newcastle vs Everton kicks off at Mon 20:00 in the English Premier League.
Who is out for Newcastle vs Everton?
Reported absences: Ewen Jaouen (out), Tino Livramento (out), William Osula (out), Lewis Miley (doubtful), Matias Fernandez-Pardo (doubtful), Anthony Elanga (doubtful), Jacob Ramsey (doubtful), Jarrad Branthwaite (doubtful), Jack Grealish (doubtful), Vitalii Mykolenko (doubtful).
What happened the last time Newcastle vs Everton met?
Everton 3–1 Newcastle United (2026-10-29 · League Cup (EFL Cup, fourth round)). Over their last 6 meetings it is 1 wins for Newcastle, 2 draws and 3 for Everton.
Are these tips free?
The prediction, the match data and our lead tip are free on every match page. The confidence behind each call — our probability, the edge and the engine's own read — is where a coin is spent.