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German Cup

Paderborn vs Stuttgart prediction, tips and odds

Cup stakes high in Paderborn as Stuttgart chase a third straight final with Vagnoman out and a rotated keeper
  • both score
  • high stakes
  • weakened side
  • open game
  • rotation risk
  • cup
  • Leg single
  • Paderborn: high
  • Stuttgart: high
Kick-off
your local time
Competition
German Cup

Our prediction

Paderborn
13th · 8 pts
FormW, D, L, W

Oliver Batista Meier (out), Sebastian Klaas (out), Marcel Hoffmeier (out), Timur Gayret (out), Nyamekye Awortwie-Grant (doubtful)

Stuttgart
15th · 6 pts
FormL, D, L, D, W

Josha Vagnoman (out), Nikolas Nartey (out), Tiago Tomás (out), Justin Diehl (out), Dan-Axel Zagadou (out)

Our prediction
1–13.0 goals projected
PAD 24%Draw 23%STU 53%
goals per meeting
3.3goals per meeting
with both teams scoring
5/6with both teams scoring
over 2.5 goals
4/6over 2.5 goals
likeliest half-time score
0–0likeliest half-time score

Our picks

Rating hidden until revealed
  • Stuttgart come throughOur pickStuttgart
    1.62
  • Paderborn keep it closeOur pickPaderborn starts 3.5 goals ahead
    Price hidden until revealed

Implied by the bookmakers’ own prices, with the margin removed. The engine has not published a read on this match.

Unlock all tips · 1 coin

How the model sees it

Result probability
PAD 24%Draw 23%STU 53%
Likeliest scorelines
  • 1–111%
  • 1–210%
  • 0–19%
Projected goals
3.0
Likeliest at half time
0–025%
Projected stats
Projected match statistics for Paderborn against Stuttgart
StatPADSTUTotal
Goals1.191.863.0
Expected goals (xG)1.871.923.8
Corners5.385.9511.3

Per ninety minutes. Goals use the fitted goals model. Other stats combine each side’s rate with what its opponent allows, pulled toward the competition’s own average where the sample is thin; cards are anchored to the referee.

Form, head-to-head and trends

Last five
PaderbornW, D, L, W
StuttgartL, D, L, D, W
How each side’s recent matches have gone
TrendPADSTU
Over 2.5 goals2/41/5
Both teams scored2/42/5
Clean sheets1/42/5
Failed to score1/42/5
Head-to-head · last 6
0
PAD wins
1
Draws
5
STU wins
  • LSC Paderborn 07 0–2 VfB Stuttgart2026-10-10 · Bundesliga2 gls
  • LSC Paderborn 07 1–2 VfB Stuttgart2023-01-31 · DFB-Pokal (Round of 16)3 gls
  • LSC Paderborn 07 1–2 VfB Stuttgart2015-05-23 · Bundesliga3 gls
  • DVfB Stuttgart 1–1 SC Paderborn 072014-12-20 · Bundesliga2 gls
  • LVfB Stuttgart 3–2 SC Paderborn 072007-10-31 · DFB-Pokal (2nd round, after extra time)5 gls
3.3goals per meeting5/6with both teams scoring4/6over 2.5 goals

Match context

Form
Stuttgart LWL: 1-0 loss at HSV, 2-3 home loss to Gladbach, 2-0 win at Paderborn, CL 3-1 win v Viking and 1-1 at Atlético — scoring but leaking. Paderborn WDLDW-ish: 1-0 v HSV, 2-2 at Bremen, 0-2 v Stuttgart, 3-1 v Hoffenheim; low-scoring, tight games.
History
Stuttgart have dominated this fixture: Paderborn have never beaten them. Recent league meetings: Paderborn 0-2 Stuttgart (10 Oct 2026, Bundesliga, HT 0-1) and, in the 2022-23 DFB-Pokal R16, Paderborn 1-2 Stuttgart (HT 1-0). Before that, a 1-1 draw in Stuttgart on 20 Dec 2014 and Paderborn 1-2 Stuttgart on 23 May 2015 (HT 1-1) in the Bundesliga, plus cup wins for Stuttgart in 2007 (3-2 aet) and 2002 (4-1). Stuttgart are the far bigger club (5-time German champions, 4-time cup winners) but are ha…
The competition
DFB-Pokal 2026/27, 2nd round (single-leg knockout, 27–28 Oct 2026) — a Bundesliga-Bundesliga tie, both sides in the top flight. Paderborn (13th, 8 pts after 7 games, 6:9) are newly promoted and mid-table; Stuttgart are struggling in 15th on 6 pts (10:13, W-D-L 2-0-5) but won the league meeting at Paderborn 2-0 on 10 Oct and reached the 2026 final. No replays: 90 min then extra time and penalties, winner goes into the last 16 (1–2 Dec) — hence the to-qualify market. Stuttgart also play Champions…

Team news

Paderborn
  • Oliver Batista Meier — out (mid)
  • Sebastian Klaas — out (mid)
  • Marcel Hoffmeier — out (def)
  • Timur Gayret — out (mid)
  • Nyamekye Awortwie-Grant — doubtful (unknown)
Stuttgart
  • Josha Vagnoman — out (def)
  • Nikolas Nartey — out (mid)
  • Tiago Tomás — out (fwd)
  • Justin Diehl — out (fwd)
  • Dan-Axel Zagadou — out (def)

German Cup table and leaders

German Cup standings
#ClubPLGDPts
1FC Bayern München7—17
2Borussia Dortmund7—17
3SC Freiburg7—13
4Bayer 04 Leverkusen7—13
5RB Leipzig7—12
6Werder Bremen7—12

Top 6 shown · as read when this competition was last scouted.

  1. 1Niclas FüllkrugWerder Bremen8 goals
  2. 2Michael OliseBayern München5 goals

ESPN Bundesliga scoring stats 2026-27 (partial page capture); no assists or clean-sheet table surfaced.

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Model output is a projection, not a guarantee. Prices move; the one shown was available when this page was last built.

Frequently asked questions

What is our Paderborn vs Stuttgart prediction?

We project 1–1. Our model gives Paderborn 24%, the draw 23% and Stuttgart 53%.

What is the best bet for Paderborn vs Stuttgart?

Our tip is Full time result · Stuttgart at 1.62. This one is implied by the bookmakers' prices rather than published by our engine.

What time does Paderborn vs Stuttgart kick off?

Paderborn vs Stuttgart kicks off at Wed 17:00 in the German Cup.

Who is out for Paderborn vs Stuttgart?

Reported absences: Josha Vagnoman (out), Nikolas Nartey (out), Tiago Tomás (out), Justin Diehl (out), Dan-Axel Zagadou (out), Oliver Batista Meier (out), Sebastian Klaas (out), Marcel Hoffmeier (out), Timur Gayret (out), Nyamekye Awortwie-Grant (doubtful).

What happened the last time Paderborn vs Stuttgart met?

SC Paderborn 07 0–2 VfB Stuttgart (2026-10-10 · Bundesliga). Over their last 6 meetings it is 0 wins for Paderborn, 1 draw and 5 for Stuttgart.

Are these tips free?

The prediction, the match data and our lead tip are free on every match page. The confidence behind each call — our probability, the edge and the engine's own read — is where a coin is spent.