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Kenyan Premier League

Police FC vs Ulinzi Stars prediction, tips and odds

Two winless sides with three goals between them over six matches meet at Police Sacco Grounds, with Police still chasing a first home goal threat
  • no strong shape
  • league
  • Police FC: normal
  • Ulinzi Stars: normal
Kick-off
your local time
Competition
Kenyan Premier League

Our prediction

Police FC
3rd · 55 pts
FormD, L, D
Ulinzi Stars
13th · 41 pts
FormD, D, L
Our prediction
1–12.6 goals projected
POL 49%Draw 25%ULI 26%
likeliest half-time score
0–0likeliest half-time score

Our picks

Rating hidden until revealed
  • Goals keep comingOur pickOver 0.5 Goals
    1.12
  • Ulinzi Stars come throughOur pickDraw or Away
    Price hidden until revealed
Unlock all tips · 1 coin

How the model sees it

Result probability
POL 49%Draw 25%ULI 26%
Likeliest scorelines
  • 1–112%
  • 1–011%
  • 2–19%
Projected goals
2.6
Likeliest at half time
0–031%
Competition goals a game
2.15
Projected stats
Projected match statistics for Police FC against Ulinzi Stars
StatPOLULITotal
GoalsLeague 1.081.561.052.6

Per ninety minutes. Goals use the fitted goals model. Other stats combine each side’s rate with what its opponent allows, pulled toward the competition’s own average where the sample is thin; cards are anchored to the referee.

Form, head-to-head and trends

Last five
Police FCD, L, D
Ulinzi StarsD, D, L
How each side’s recent matches have gone
TrendPOLULI
Over 2.5 goals1/30/3
Both teams scored2/31/3
Clean sheets1/31/3
Failed to score1/32/3

Match context

Form
Both sides winless after 3 rounds: Police D-L-D (1-1 Migori a, 1-2 Leopards h, 0-0 Mombasa Utd a); Ulinzi D-D-L (0-2 Tusker h, 1-1 Homeboyz a, 0-0 Mara Sugar h) — 2 and 1 goals scored respectively.
The competition
Kenyan top flight (2026/27 SportPesa/FKF Premier League), Round 4 (Game Week 4) of a 34-game league season — early stage, no knockout leg. Both sides are unbeaten-but-winless and near the bottom: Police D-L-D (2 pts, 2 GF/3 GA), Ulinzi D-D-L (2 pts, 1 GF/3 GA) after three games, so both are chasing a first win of the campaign and a first goal threat rather than any relegation or title issue yet. Police are the more fancied side after last season's 3rd place; Ulinzi finished 13th last term.

Team news

Police FC

No absences reported.

Ulinzi Stars

No absences reported.

Kenyan Premier League table and leaders

Kenyan Premier League standings
#ClubPLGDPts
1Gor Mahia34—69
2AFC Leopards34—64
3Kenya Police34—55
4Nairobi United34—53
5Shabana34—52
6Kakamega Homeboyz34—49

Top 6 shown · as read when this competition was last scouted.

  1. 1Joe Waithira (Joseph Irungu Waithira)Murang'a Seal19 goals

Wikipedia 2025–26 KPL infobox and Daily Nation, 19 goals. Only the leader surfaced; full top-five tables unreachable.

More tips this week

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Model output is a projection, not a guarantee. Prices move; the one shown was available when this page was last built.

Frequently asked questions

What is our Police FC vs Ulinzi Stars prediction?

We project 1–1. Our model gives Police FC 49%, the draw 25% and Ulinzi Stars 26%.

What is the best bet for Police FC vs Ulinzi Stars?

Our tip is Full time · Over 0.5 Goals at 1.12.

What time does Police FC vs Ulinzi Stars kick off?

Police FC vs Ulinzi Stars kicks off at Thu 13:15 in the Kenyan Premier League.

Are these tips free?

The prediction, the match data and our lead tip are free on every match page. The confidence behind each call — our probability, the edge and the engine's own read — is where a coin is spent.