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Spanish Copa del Rey

Recreativo Huelva vs Rayo Vallecano prediction, tips and odds

Fourth-tier Recreativo, unbeaten in ten and 5-0 winners last time out, host a winless-for-six-weeks Rayo whose forwards could be rested before a Celta league game four days later.
  • high stakes
  • rotation risk
  • both score
  • one sided
  • cup
  • Leg single
  • Recreativo Huelva: high
  • Rayo Vallecano: normal
Kick-off
your local time
Competition
Spanish Copa del Rey

Our prediction

Recreativo Huelva
FormW, D, D, W, W
Rayo Vallecano
FormL, D, D, W, L

Andrei Rațiu (out), Sergio Camello (doubtful), Jorge de Frutos (doubtful), Randy Nteka (out), Luiz Felipe (out), Augusto Batalla (out), Dani Cárdenas (doubtful)

Our prediction
1–12.8 goals projected
REC 29%Draw 25%RAY 46%
goals per meeting
2.0goals per meeting
with both teams scoring
1/4with both teams scoring
over 2.5 goals
1/4over 2.5 goals
likeliest half-time score
0–0likeliest half-time score

Our picks

Rating hidden until revealed
  • Rayo Vallecano come throughOur pickRayo Vallecano
    1.57
  • Recreativo Huelva keep it closeOur pickRecreativo Huelva starts 3 goals ahead
    Price hidden until revealed

Implied by the bookmakers’ own prices, with the margin removed. The engine has not published a read on this match.

Unlock all tips · 1 coin

How the model sees it

Result probability
REC 29%Draw 25%RAY 46%
Likeliest scorelines
  • 1–112%
  • 0–110%
  • 1–29%
Projected goals
2.8
Likeliest at half time
0–029%
Projected stats
Projected match statistics for Recreativo Huelva against Rayo Vallecano
StatRECRAYTotal
Goals1.181.582.8

Per ninety minutes. Goals use the fitted goals model. Other stats combine each side’s rate with what its opponent allows, pulled toward the competition’s own average where the sample is thin; cards are anchored to the referee.

Form, head-to-head and trends

Last five
Recreativo HuelvaW, D, D, W, W
Rayo VallecanoL, D, D, W, L
How each side’s recent matches have gone
TrendRECRAY
Over 2.5 goals3/53/5
Both teams scored1/53/5
Clean sheets4/51/5
Failed to score1/52/5
Head-to-head · last 4
1
REC wins
2
Draws
1
RAY wins
  • DRecreativo Huelva 1–1 Rayo Vallecano2011-03-19 · Segunda División (Jornada 30)2 gls
  • DRayo Vallecano 0–0 Recreativo Huelva2010-10-23 · Segunda División (Jornada 9)0 gls
  • LRayo Vallecano 4–0 Recreativo Huelva2010-06-19 · Segunda División (Jornada 42)4 gls
  • WRecreativo Huelva 2–0 Rayo Vallecano2010-01-24 · Segunda División (Jornada 21)2 gls
2.0goals per meeting1/4with both teams scoring1/4over 2.5 goals

Match context

Form
Recreativo WWW at home in the league (5-0 Antoniano, 4-0 Las Palmas B, 1-0 Xerez) around away draws at Sanluqueño (3-3) and Linares (0-0), top of Group 4; Rayo DDLWL — 0-3 home loss to Elche, 1-1s at Getafe and v Athletic, 2-1 win over Espanyol, 1-4 at Real Madrid, scoring 4 and…
History
All recent meetings come from Segunda División (2009-10, 2010-11); they have not met since 19 Mar 2011, ~15 years before this Copa del Rey Round-of-128 tie, and never before in a cup. Six league meetings since 2004: Recreativo 2 wins, Rayo 1 win, 3 draws (aggregate roughly 5-6). The last three were low-scoring (0-0, 1-1, 0-0 at HT in two of them); Rayo's only win was a 4-0 in June 2010. Stature has flipped since: Rayo are now a settled LaLiga side (finished 2nd in Segunda 2010-11, promoted), wh…
The competition
Copa del Rey 2026-27, primera eliminatoria (round 1, single leg, no second leg) — 112 teams enter at this stage, drawn over 27-29 Oct 2026 per RFEF. Recreativo Huelva host at Nuevo Colombino as a Segunda Federación (Group 4, 4th tier) side, currently top of that group; Rayo Vallecano are a La Liga club sitting 16th after 9-10 rounds (9 pts). Knockout, one-off tie — but with a first-half-goals board the relevant read is that Rayo are away to a much lower-division side with heavy rotation likely…

Team news

Recreativo Huelva

No absences reported.

Rayo Vallecano
  • Andrei Rațiu — out (def)
  • Sergio Camello — doubtful (fwd)
  • Jorge de Frutos — doubtful (fwd)
  • Randy Nteka — out (fwd)
  • Luiz Felipe — out (def)
  • Augusto Batalla — out (gk)
  • Dani Cárdenas — doubtful (gk)

More Spanish Copa del Rey tips this weekend

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Model output is a projection, not a guarantee. Prices move; the one shown was available when this page was last built.

Frequently asked questions

What is our Recreativo Huelva vs Rayo Vallecano prediction?

We project 1–1. Our model gives Recreativo Huelva 29%, the draw 25% and Rayo Vallecano 46%.

What is the best bet for Recreativo Huelva vs Rayo Vallecano?

Our tip is Full time result · Rayo Vallecano at 1.57. This one is implied by the bookmakers' prices rather than published by our engine.

What time does Recreativo Huelva vs Rayo Vallecano kick off?

Recreativo Huelva vs Rayo Vallecano kicks off at Tue 20:00 in the Spanish Copa del Rey.

Who is out for Recreativo Huelva vs Rayo Vallecano?

Reported absences: Andrei Rațiu (out), Sergio Camello (doubtful), Jorge de Frutos (doubtful), Randy Nteka (out), Luiz Felipe (out), Augusto Batalla (out), Dani Cárdenas (doubtful).

What happened the last time Recreativo Huelva vs Rayo Vallecano met?

Recreativo Huelva 1–1 Rayo Vallecano (2011-03-19 · Segunda División (Jornada 30)). Over their last 4 meetings it is 1 wins for Recreativo Huelva, 2 draws and 1 for Rayo Vallecano.

Are these tips free?

The prediction, the match data and our lead tip are free on every match page. The confidence behind each call — our probability, the edge and the engine's own read — is where a coin is spent.