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EFL Trophy

Rochdale vs Doncaster prediction, tips and odds

Rochdale have shipped five in each of their last two while Doncaster have conceded six and three on the road, and both still need a win to stay in the group hunt.
  • goals fest
  • both score
  • open game
  • high ceiling
  • cup
Kick-off
your local time
Competition
EFL Trophy

Our prediction

Rochdale
4th · 1 pts
FormL, D, L, W
Doncaster
2nd · 3 pts
FormL, L, W, L, L
Our prediction
1–13.4 goals projected
ROC 25%Draw 24%DON 51%

De-vigged from the bookmakers — not our model.

likeliest half-time score
0–0likeliest half-time score

Our picks

Rating hidden until revealed
  • Rochdale keep it closeOur pickRochdale starts 2 goals ahead
    1.19
  • Goals keep comingOur pickOver 1.5 Goals
    Price hidden until revealed

How the model sees it

The market's readNot our model
ROC 25%Draw 24%DON 51%
Likeliest scorelines
  • 1–110%
  • 2–18%
  • 1–28%
Projected goals
3.4
Likeliest at half time
0–022%
Projected stats
Projected match statistics for Rochdale against Doncaster
StatROCDONTotal
Goals1.711.673.4

Per ninety minutes. Goals use the fitted goals model. Other stats combine each side’s rate with what its opponent allows, pulled toward the competition’s own average where the sample is thin; cards are anchored to the referee.

Form, head-to-head and trends

Last five
RochdaleL, D, L, W
DoncasterL, L, W, L, L
How each side’s recent matches have gone
TrendROCDON
Over 2.5 goals2/43/5
Both teams scored1/43/5
Clean sheets1/41/5
Failed to score2/41/5

Match context

Form
Rochdale: L (0-5 Accrington), D (1-1 Tranmere), L (0-5 Huddersfield, Trophy), W (1-0 Swindon) — very leaky. Doncaster: L (1-6 MK Dons), L (1-3 Luton), W (2-0 Sheff Wed), L (0-2 Stockport), L (1-2 Leicester).
The competition
EFL Trophy (Jersey Mikes Trophy) 2026/27, Northern Group H, third group match. Rochdale are League Two; Doncaster Rovers are League One (bottom half). Both are chasing a top-two group finish behind Huddersfield (6 pts); Doncaster have 3 pts, Rochdale 1 pt and need a win to stay alive.

Team news

Rochdale

No absences reported.

Doncaster

No absences reported.

EFL Trophy table

EFL Trophy standings
#ClubPLGDPts
2Doncaster2—3
4Rochdale2—1

as read when this competition was last scouted.

18+Bet what you can afford to lose.

Model output is a projection, not a guarantee. Prices move; the one shown was available when this page was last built.

Frequently asked questions

What is our Rochdale vs Doncaster prediction?

We project 1–1. The bookmakers' own prices imply Rochdale 25%, the draw 24% and Doncaster 51%.

What is the best bet for Rochdale vs Doncaster?

Our tip is Rochdale starts 2 goals ahead at 1.19.

What time does Rochdale vs Doncaster kick off?

Rochdale vs Doncaster kicks off at Tue 19:00 in the EFL Trophy.

Are these tips free?

The prediction, the match data and our lead tip are free on every match page. The confidence behind each call — our probability, the edge and the engine's own read — is where a coin is spent.