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Brazilian Serie A

Santos vs Bahia prediction, tips and odds

Santos have scored exactly twice in each of their last five, conceding in all five, and host a Bahia side chasing the same Libertadores places
  • both score
  • high ceiling
  • high stakes
  • no strong shape
  • league
Kick-off
your local time
Competition
Brazilian Serie A

Our prediction

Santos
12th · 47 pts
FormW, L, D, W, W
Bahia
7th · 60 pts
FormL, W, L, L, W
Our prediction
1–12.7 goals projected
SAN 53%Draw 24%BAH 23%
likeliest half-time score
0–0likeliest half-time score

Our picks

Rating hidden until revealed
  • Santos come throughOur pickSantos
    1.96
  • Goals stay downOur pickUnder 5.5 Goals
    Price hidden until revealed

Implied by the bookmakers’ own prices, with the margin removed. The engine has not published a read on this match.

Unlock all tips · 1 coin

How the model sees it

Result probability
SAN 53%Draw 24%BAH 23%
Likeliest scorelines
  • 1–111%
  • 1–011%
  • 2–110%
Projected goals
2.7
Likeliest at half time
0–029%
Competition goals a game
2.52
Competition matches over 2.5
46%
Projected stats
Projected match statistics for Santos against Bahia
StatSANBAHTotal
GoalsLeague 1.341.691.042.7

Per ninety minutes. Goals use the fitted goals model. Other stats combine each side’s rate with what its opponent allows, pulled toward the competition’s own average where the sample is thin; cards are anchored to the referee.

Form, head-to-head and trends

Last five
SantosW, L, D, W, W
BahiaL, W, L, L, W
How each side’s recent matches have gone
TrendSANBAH
Over 2.5 goals5/53/5
Both teams scored5/52/5
Clean sheets0/51/5
Failed to score0/52/5

Match context

Form
Santos unbeaten in four (W over Fluminense 2-1 away, W over São Paulo 2-1, D 2-2 with Flamengo, L 1-2 at Atlético-MG). Bahia mixed: 0-3 home loss to Flamengo, 1-0 win over Mirassol, 0-1 loss at Palmeiras, 1-2 loss at Athletico-PR.
The competition
Brazilian Serie A 2026, single round-robin league phase, Round 32 (both sides played Round 31 on 18 Oct). Santos sit 8th (45 pts from 31 before the weekend's round) and Bahia 7th (49 pts) — table numbers above are the prior season's final 38-game table on file. Both are mid-table with Bahia chasing Libertadores places and Santos chasing the same G-6/continental spots, so neither side is in a dead rubber.

Team news

Santos

No absences reported.

Bahia

No absences reported.

Brazilian Serie A table and leaders

Brazilian Serie A standings
#ClubPLGDPts
1Flamengo38—79
2Palmeiras38—76
3Cruzeiro38—70
4Mirassol38—67
5Fluminense38—64
6Botafogo38—63

Top 6 shown · as read when this competition was last scouted.

  1. 1Kaio JorgeCruzeiro21 goals
  2. 2Giorgian de ArrascaetaFlamengo18 goals
  3. 3Vitor RoquePalmeiras16 goals
  4. 4RayanVasco da Gama14 goals
  5. 5Pablo VegettiVasco da Gama14 goals
  6. 6ReinaldoMirassol13 goals

Table from Wikipedia/FBref/VEJA (final 2025 table); avg goals 959/380=2.52 per CBF & Itatiaia; over-2.5 share 46% from ogol.com.br edition stats

More tips this week

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Model output is a projection, not a guarantee. Prices move; the one shown was available when this page was last built.

Frequently asked questions

What is our Santos vs Bahia prediction?

We project 1–1. Our model gives Santos 53%, the draw 24% and Bahia 23%.

What is the best bet for Santos vs Bahia?

Our tip is Full time result · Santos at 1.96. This one is implied by the bookmakers' prices rather than published by our engine.

What time does Santos vs Bahia kick off?

Santos vs Bahia kicks off at Sun 00:00 in the Brazilian Serie A.

Are these tips free?

The prediction, the match data and our lead tip are free on every match page. The confidence behind each call — our probability, the edge and the engine's own read — is where a coin is spent.