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Norwegian Eliteserien

Sarpsborg vs Aalesunds prediction, tips and odds

Sarpsborg and Aalesund meet 11 days after a 2-4 five-goal game, with Aalesund's 51 goals conceded the leakiest defence in a 3.21-goal league
  • goals fest
  • both score
  • high ceiling
  • no strong shape
  • league
Kick-off
your local time
Competition
Norwegian Eliteserien

Our prediction

Sarpsborg
9th · 28 pts
FormL, W, W, L, D
Aalesunds
14th · 24 pts
FormW, L, W, W, L
Our prediction
1–13.6 goals projected
SAR 44%Draw 22%AAL 34%
likeliest half-time score
0–0likeliest half-time score

Our picks

Rating hidden until revealed
  • Sarpsborg come throughOur pickSarpsborg
    1.92
  • Aalesunds keep it closeOur pickAalesunds starts 2 goals ahead
    Price hidden until revealed

Implied by the bookmakers’ own prices, with the margin removed. The engine has not published a read on this match.

Unlock all tips · 1 coin

How the model sees it

Result probability
SAR 44%Draw 22%AAL 34%
Likeliest scorelines
  • 1–19%
  • 2–19%
  • 1–27%
Projected goals
3.6
Likeliest at half time
0–020%
Competition goals a game
3.21
Competition matches over 2.5
62%
Projected stats
Projected match statistics for Sarpsborg against Aalesunds
StatSARAALTotal
Goals1.941.663.6

Per ninety minutes. Goals use the fitted goals model. Other stats combine each side’s rate with what its opponent allows, pulled toward the competition’s own average where the sample is thin; cards are anchored to the referee.

Form, head-to-head and trends

Last five
SarpsborgL, W, W, L, D
AalesundsW, L, W, W, L
How each side’s recent matches have gone
TrendSARAAL
Over 2.5 goals3/55/5
Both teams scored3/55/5
Clean sheets1/50/5
Failed to score1/50/5

Match context

Form
Sarpsborg: L 0-3 Rosenborg (h), W 4-2 at Aalesund, W 2-0 at Follo (cup), L 1-3 KFUM (h), D 1-1 at Fredrikstad. Aalesund: W 4-1 at Kristiansund, L 2-4 v Sarpsborg (h), W 2-1 at Molde, W 4-3 at Førde (cup), L 1-2 at KFUM.
The competition
Norwegian Eliteserien (top flight, tier 1 in Norway) — 2026 league season, round 24/25 stage; Sarpsborg 08 mid-table (7W-7D-9L, 28 pts, 9th after #24) and Aalesund in the relegation picture (5W-9D-9L, 24 pts, 14th). The sides met eleven days earlier: Aalesund 2-4 Sarpsborg 08 (11 Oct).

Team news

Sarpsborg

No absences reported.

Aalesunds

No absences reported.

Norwegian Eliteserien table

Norwegian Eliteserien standings
#ClubPLGDPts
9Sarpsborg23—28
14Aalesunds23—24

as read when this competition was last scouted.

More tips this week

18+Bet what you can afford to lose.

Model output is a projection, not a guarantee. Prices move; the one shown was available when this page was last built.

Frequently asked questions

What is our Sarpsborg vs Aalesunds prediction?

We project 1–1. Our model gives Sarpsborg 44%, the draw 22% and Aalesunds 34%.

What is the best bet for Sarpsborg vs Aalesunds?

Our tip is Full time result · Sarpsborg at 1.92. This one is implied by the bookmakers' prices rather than published by our engine.

What time does Sarpsborg vs Aalesunds kick off?

Sarpsborg vs Aalesunds kicks off at Sun 16:00 in the Norwegian Eliteserien.

Are these tips free?

The prediction, the match data and our lead tip are free on every match page. The confidence behind each call — our probability, the edge and the engine's own read — is where a coin is spent.