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Peruvian Primera Division

Sporting Cristal vs Alianza Lima prediction, tips and odds

  • league
Kick-off
your local time
Competition
Peruvian Primera Division

Our prediction

FormL, W, W, W, L
Alianza Lima
1st · 65 pts
FormW
Our prediction
1–12.9 goals projected
SPO 38%Draw 25%ALI 37%
likeliest half-time score
0–0likeliest half-time score

Our picks

Rating hidden until revealed
  • Goals keep comingOur pickOver 1.5 Goals
    1.32
  • Goals stay downOur pickUnder 2.5 Goals
    Price hidden until revealed

How the model sees it

Result probability
SPO 38%Draw 25%ALI 37%
Likeliest scorelines
  • 1–111%
  • 2–18%
  • 1–28%
Projected goals
2.9
Likeliest at half time
0–027%
Competition goals a game
2.80
Competition matches over 2.5
54%
Projected stats
Projected match statistics for Sporting Cristal against Alianza Lima
StatSPOALITotal
GoalsLeague 1.321.471.462.9

Per ninety minutes. Goals use the fitted goals model. Other stats combine each side’s rate with what its opponent allows, pulled toward the competition’s own average where the sample is thin; cards are anchored to the referee.

Form, head-to-head and trends

Last five
Sporting CristalL, W, W, W, L
Alianza LimaW
How each side’s recent matches have gone
TrendSPOALI
Over 2.5 goals4/51/1
Both teams scored3/51/1
Clean sheets1/50/1
Failed to score1/50/1

Match context

Form
Cristal: W-W-W-L-L (5-0 Chankas, 2-1 at Moquegua, 4-2 v Comerciantes, then 3-1 loss at Cusco). Alianza: unbeaten recent, 3-1 v Grau (17 Oct) and 0-0 at Cusco; Moquegua result unfound.
The competition
Peru's top flight, Torneo Clausura 2026, round 14 (a league round — fecha 13 was completed on 25 Oct). On the fecha-13 Clausura table both sides are level on 25 points (Cristal 4th, Alianza 6th/7th) chasing Sport Huancayo and Universitario, so this is a direct six-pointer in the Clausura title race; Cristal lost top spot by falling 3-1 at Cusco. Alianza top the season-long acumulado table on file (P30, 65 pts).

Team news

Sporting Cristal

No absences reported.

Alianza Lima

No absences reported.

Peruvian Primera Division table and leaders

Peruvian Primera Division standings
#ClubPLGDPts
1Alianza Lima30—65
2Universitario30—56
3Melgar30—53
4Deportivo Garcilaso30—51
5Cusco FC30—48
6Cienciano30—47

Top 6 shown · as read when this competition was last scouted.

  1. 1Eryc CastilloAlianza Lima18 goals
  2. 2Alex ValeraUniversitario17 goals
  3. 3Facundo CallejoCusco FC16 goals
  4. 4Bernardo CuestaMelgar15 goals
  5. 5Carlos GarcésCienciano15 goals

Scorers: TyC Sports 2026 table; clean sheets: FBref (Melián 11); assist table not surfaced

18+Bet what you can afford to lose.

Model output is a projection, not a guarantee. Prices move; the one shown was available when this page was last built.

Frequently asked questions

What is our Sporting Cristal vs Alianza Lima prediction?

We project 1–1. Our model gives Sporting Cristal 38%, the draw 25% and Alianza Lima 37%.

What is the best bet for Sporting Cristal vs Alianza Lima?

Our tip is Full time · Over 1.5 Goals at 1.32.

What time does Sporting Cristal vs Alianza Lima kick off?

Sporting Cristal vs Alianza Lima kicks off at Thu 20:30 in the Peruvian Primera Division.

Are these tips free?

The prediction, the match data and our lead tip are free on every match page. The confidence behind each call — our probability, the edge and the engine's own read — is where a coin is spent.