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Swiss Super League

Thun vs Lugano prediction, tips and odds

Unbeaten league leaders Lugano, 31 goals in 10, visit a Thun side beaten four times in five and just three days off a 0-1 home loss to Hajduk Split
  • goals fest
  • one sided
  • both score
  • high ceiling
  • league
Kick-off
your local time
Competition
Swiss Super League

Our prediction

Thun
9th · 10 pts
FormL, L, W, L, L
Lugano
1st · 28 pts
FormW, W, W, W, D
Our prediction
1–23.4 goals projected
THU 22%Draw 21%LUG 57%
likeliest half-time score
0–0likeliest half-time score

Our picks

Rating hidden until revealed
  • Lugano come throughOur pickLugano
    1.87
  • Lugano avoid defeatOur pickLugano starts 1.5 goals ahead
    Price hidden until revealed

Implied by the bookmakers’ own prices, with the margin removed. The engine has not published a read on this match.

Unlock all tips · 1 coin

How the model sees it

Result probability
THU 22%Draw 21%LUG 57%
Likeliest scorelines
  • 1–210%
  • 1–19%
  • 0–28%
Projected goals
3.4
Likeliest at half time
0–022%
Competition goals a game
3.80
Projected stats
Projected match statistics for Thun against Lugano
StatTHULUGTotal
Goals1.262.113.4

Per ninety minutes. Goals use the fitted goals model. Other stats combine each side’s rate with what its opponent allows, pulled toward the competition’s own average where the sample is thin; cards are anchored to the referee.

Form, head-to-head and trends

Last five
ThunL, L, W, L, L
LuganoW, W, W, W, D
How each side’s recent matches have gone
TrendTHULUG
Over 2.5 goals3/53/5
Both teams scored3/52/5
Clean sheets0/53/5
Failed to score2/50/5

Match context

Form
Thun have lost four of their last five (L L W L L, incl. 0-1 home to Hajduk in the Conference League on 22 Oct); Lugano are unbeaten in the league (9W-1D, 31 goals in 10) with four straight wins before the break, most recently 4-0 v Luzern.
The competition
Swiss Super League (2026/27), a regular league round (matchday 11) — the first fixture after the October international break. Lugano are unbeaten league leaders (9W-1D) and Thun sit 9th after heavy defeats; Thun played a Conference League home game on 22 Oct while Lugano's last match was a Conference League trip to Getafe on the same date. Both sides also feature in the Conference League league phase this autumn.

Team news

Thun

No absences reported.

Lugano

No absences reported.

Swiss Super League table

Swiss Super League standings
#ClubPLGDPts
1Lugano10—28
9Thun10—10

as read when this competition was last scouted.

More tips this week

18+Bet what you can afford to lose.

Model output is a projection, not a guarantee. Prices move; the one shown was available when this page was last built.

Frequently asked questions

What is our Thun vs Lugano prediction?

We project 1–2. Our model gives Thun 22%, the draw 21% and Lugano 57%.

What is the best bet for Thun vs Lugano?

Our tip is Full time result · Lugano at 1.87. This one is implied by the bookmakers' prices rather than published by our engine.

What time does Thun vs Lugano kick off?

Thun vs Lugano kicks off at Sun 13:00 in the Swiss Super League.

Are these tips free?

The prediction, the match data and our lead tip are free on every match page. The confidence behind each call — our probability, the edge and the engine's own read — is where a coin is spent.