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Colombian Primera A

Tolima vs Deportivo Pasto prediction, tips and odds

Winless Tolima, with three blanks in four, host a bottom-of-the-table Pasto who have scored once in five league games
  • low scoring
  • one sided
  • slow start
  • league
Kick-off
your local time
Competition
Colombian Primera A

Our prediction

Tolima
10th · 20 pts
FormL, L, D, D, W
Deportivo Pasto
3rd · 29 pts
FormL, D, L, W, W
Our prediction
1–02.3 goals projected
TOL 57%Draw 26%DEP 17%
likeliest half-time score
0–0likeliest half-time score

Our picks

Rating hidden until revealed
  • Tolima come throughOur pickTolima
    1.44
  • Deportivo Pasto keep it closeOur pickDeportivo Pasto starts 3 goals ahead
    Price hidden until revealed

Implied by the bookmakers’ own prices, with the margin removed. The engine has not published a read on this match.

Unlock all tips · 1 coin

How the model sees it

Result probability
TOL 57%Draw 26%DEP 17%
Likeliest scorelines
  • 1–016%
  • 2–012%
  • 1–112%
Projected goals
2.3
Likeliest at half time
0–036%
Competition goals a game
2.62
Projected stats
Projected match statistics for Tolima against Deportivo Pasto
StatTOLDEPTotal
GoalsLeague 1.271.550.722.3

Per ninety minutes. Goals use the fitted goals model. Other stats combine each side’s rate with what its opponent allows, pulled toward the competition’s own average where the sample is thin; cards are anchored to the referee.

Form, head-to-head and trends

Last five
TolimaL, L, D, D, W
Deportivo PastoL, D, L, W, W
How each side’s recent matches have gone
TrendTOLDEP
Over 2.5 goals3/51/5
Both teams scored3/50/5
Clean sheets2/53/5
Failed to score2/53/5

Match context

Form
Tolima winless in four (0-0 x3, then two away defeats — 3-2 at Jaguares, 2-1 at Águilas) after beating Pasto-like opposition at home in round 1 in July; Pasto lost 4 of last 5, scoring once, including 0-1 home to Alianza and 0-3 at Chicó.
The competition
Colombian Primera A (Liga BetPlay) Clausura league round, single match at Tolima's Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro. On the table provided Tolima sit 10th (P15, 20 pts, 18/18) and Pasto last (20th, P14, 9 pts, 9/19) — Tolima mid-table with a push for the eight-team group phase, Pasto bottom and far adrift; no cup/leg context, so a normal league fixture.

Team news

Tolima

No absences reported.

Deportivo Pasto

No absences reported.

Colombian Primera A table and leaders

Colombian Primera A standings
#ClubPLGDPts
1América de Cali15—31
2Atlético Nacional14—29
3Deportivo Cali15—29
4Millonarios16—26
5Atlético Bucaramanga14—25
6Independiente Santa Fe14—25

Top 6 shown · as read when this competition was last scouted.

  1. 1Yeison GuzmánAmérica de Cali8 goals
  2. 2Emerson BatallaAtlético Bucaramanga7 goals
  3. 3Nahuel BustosSanta Fe7 goals
  4. 4Andrés SarmientoAtlético Nacional6 goals
  5. 5Andrey EstupiñánMillonarios6 goals

ClaroSports scorers table (24/10/2026) plus ESPN/ClaroSports mentions; only these figures stated — no assists or clean-sheet table surfaced.

More tips this week

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Model output is a projection, not a guarantee. Prices move; the one shown was available when this page was last built.

Frequently asked questions

What is our Tolima vs Deportivo Pasto prediction?

We project 1–0. Our model gives Tolima 57%, the draw 26% and Deportivo Pasto 17%.

What is the best bet for Tolima vs Deportivo Pasto?

Our tip is Full time result · Tolima at 1.44. This one is implied by the bookmakers' prices rather than published by our engine.

What time does Tolima vs Deportivo Pasto kick off?

Tolima vs Deportivo Pasto kicks off at Mon 01:15 in the Colombian Primera A.

Are these tips free?

The prediction, the match data and our lead tip are free on every match page. The confidence behind each call — our probability, the edge and the engine's own read — is where a coin is spent.