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Peruvian Primera Division

UTC Cajamarca vs Deportivo Garcilaso prediction, tips and odds

Garcilaso, scoring and leaking in every one of their last five, visit a UTC side that has lost three of four and sits 16th in the relegation fight.
  • both score
  • high stakes
  • no strong shape
  • league
Kick-off
your local time
Competition
Peruvian Primera Division

Our prediction

UTC Cajamarca
16th · 32 pts
FormW, L, L, L
Deportivo Garcilaso
7th · 52 pts
FormL, W, L, L, W
Our prediction
1–12.9 goals projected
UTC 32%Draw 26%DEP 42%

De-vigged from the bookmakers — not our model.

likeliest half-time score
0–0likeliest half-time score

Our picks

Rating hidden until revealed
  • Goals keep comingOur pickOver 1.5 Goals
    1.27
  • UTC Cajamarca come throughOur pickHome or Draw
    Price hidden until revealed
Unlock all tips · 1 coin

How the model sees it

The market's readNot our model
UTC 32%Draw 26%DEP 42%
Likeliest scorelines
  • 1–112%
  • 1–29%
  • 0–19%
Projected goals
2.9
Likeliest at half time
0–027%
Competition goals a game
2.60
Projected stats
Projected match statistics for UTC Cajamarca against Deportivo Garcilaso
StatUTCDEPTotal
GoalsLeague 1.391.351.552.9

Per ninety minutes. Goals use the fitted goals model. Other stats combine each side’s rate with what its opponent allows, pulled toward the competition’s own average where the sample is thin; cards are anchored to the referee.

Form, head-to-head and trends

Last five
UTC CajamarcaW, L, L, L
Deportivo GarcilasoL, W, L, L, W
How each side’s recent matches have gone
TrendUTCDEP
Over 2.5 goals2/44/5
Both teams scored2/44/5
Clean sheets0/40/5
Failed to score2/41/5

Match context

Form
UTC are bottom-half and sinking (1W-0D-3L in the four verified: 3-1 win at Cajamarca, then 1-2 v Melgar, 0-1 at Cienciano, 0-1 v Cristal); Garcilaso mixed (4-1 H v Chankas, 2-4 at Melgar, 3-2 at Alianza Atl, 0-1 H v Huancayo, 3-1 at Grau), scoring freely but leaking.
The competition
Peru's top flight (Liga 1), Torneo Clausura regular round (matchday 14), one-off league fixture — no cup legs. Deportivo Garcilaso sit 7th in the accumulated table (P35, 52 pts) but have drifted from the top group and are playing for a playoff-level finish; UTC are 16th (P35, 32 pts, reportedly after a 10-point deduction for debts) and rooted in the relegation fight, so both sides still have something to play for rather than a dead rubber.

Team news

UTC Cajamarca

No absences reported.

Deportivo Garcilaso

No absences reported.

Peruvian Primera Division table and leaders

Peruvian Primera Division standings
#ClubPLGDPts
1Universitario35—79
2Cusco FC35—70
3Alianza Lima35—68
4Sporting Cristal35—63
5Alianza Atlético35—57
6FBC Melgar35—56

Top 6 shown · as read when this competition was last scouted.

  1. 1Facundo CallejoCusco FC25 goals

Scorers from Wikipedia 2025 Liga 1 page; clean sheets from FBref 2025 Liga 1 (Britos). Assists board not reached.

More tips this week

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Model output is a projection, not a guarantee. Prices move; the one shown was available when this page was last built.

Frequently asked questions

What is our UTC Cajamarca vs Deportivo Garcilaso prediction?

We project 1–1. The bookmakers' own prices imply UTC Cajamarca 32%, the draw 26% and Deportivo Garcilaso 42%.

What is the best bet for UTC Cajamarca vs Deportivo Garcilaso?

Our tip is Full time · Over 1.5 Goals at 1.27.

What time does UTC Cajamarca vs Deportivo Garcilaso kick off?

UTC Cajamarca vs Deportivo Garcilaso kicks off at Mon 18:15 in the Peruvian Primera Division.

Are these tips free?

The prediction, the match data and our lead tip are free on every match page. The confidence behind each call — our probability, the edge and the engine's own read — is where a coin is spent.