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Mexican Liga de Ascenso

Venados FC vs Club Atletico Morelia prediction, tips and odds

Morelia have scored and conceded in all five recent games and visit a Venados side unbeaten in five, with third place and 26 points against sixth and 25 on the line.
  • both score
  • high stakes
  • high ceiling
  • league
Kick-off
your local time
Competition
Mexican Liga de Ascenso

Our prediction

Venados FC
6th · 25 pts
FormD, W, D, D, W
Club Atletico Morelia
3rd · 26 pts
FormL, W, L, D, D
Our prediction
1–13.0 goals projected
VEN 44%Draw 25%CLU 31%

De-vigged from the bookmakers — not our model.

likeliest half-time score
0–0likeliest half-time score

Our picks

Rating hidden until revealed
  • Venados FC come throughOur pickVenados FC
    2.20
  • Venados FC avoid defeatOur pickVenados FC starts 1 goal ahead
    Price hidden until revealed

Implied by the bookmakers’ own prices, with the margin removed. The engine has not published a read on this match.

Unlock all tips · 1 coin

How the model sees it

The market's readNot our model
VEN 44%Draw 25%CLU 31%
Likeliest scorelines
  • 1–110%
  • 2–110%
  • 1–010%
Projected goals
3.0
Likeliest at half time
0–026%
Competition goals a game
3.27
Competition matches over 2.5
63%
Projected stats
Projected match statistics for Venados FC against Club Atletico Morelia
StatVENCLUTotal
Goals1.921.073.0

Per ninety minutes. Goals use the fitted goals model. Other stats combine each side’s rate with what its opponent allows, pulled toward the competition’s own average where the sample is thin; cards are anchored to the referee.

Form, head-to-head and trends

Last five
Venados FCD, W, D, D, W
Club Atletico MoreliaL, W, L, D, D
How each side’s recent matches have gone
TrendVENCLU
Over 2.5 goals2/53/5
Both teams scored4/55/5
Clean sheets1/50/5
Failed to score1/50/5

Match context

Form
Venados: D W D D W (last five, 7 scored / 5 conceded, BTTS in 4 of 5, over 2.5 in 2 of 5). Morelia: L W L D D (6 scored / 8 conceded, BTTS in all five, over 2.5 in 3 of 5).
The competition
Mexican second tier (Liga de Expansión MX / Ascenso MX), 2026-27 Apertura; mid/late-season round (both sides have played 15) with Venados 6th and Morelia 3rd on 25/26 points, so table position and a playoff chase are at stake. Goal.com lists this and the 7 Nov reverse fixture as a two-legged "Quarter Finals" tie, while other listings show it as a plain league round.

Team news

Venados FC

No absences reported.

Club Atletico Morelia

No absences reported.

Mexican Liga de Ascenso table

Mexican Liga de Ascenso standings
#ClubPLGDPts
3Club Atletico Morelia15—26
6Venados FC15—25

as read when this competition was last scouted.

More tips this week

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Model output is a projection, not a guarantee. Prices move; the one shown was available when this page was last built.

Frequently asked questions

What is our Venados FC vs Club Atletico Morelia prediction?

We project 1–1. The bookmakers' own prices imply Venados FC 44%, the draw 25% and Club Atletico Morelia 31%.

What is the best bet for Venados FC vs Club Atletico Morelia?

Our tip is Full time result · Venados FC at 2.20. This one is implied by the bookmakers' prices rather than published by our engine.

What time does Venados FC vs Club Atletico Morelia kick off?

Venados FC vs Club Atletico Morelia kicks off at Wed 23:00 in the Mexican Liga de Ascenso.

Are these tips free?

The prediction, the match data and our lead tip are free on every match page. The confidence behind each call — our probability, the edge and the engine's own read — is where a coin is spent.