Anderlecht vs Red Bull Salzburg prediction, tips and odds
- goals fest
- high ceiling
- even match
- high stakes
- weakened side
- league
- Anderlecht: high
- Red Bull Salzburg: high
- Kick-off
- your local time
- Competition
- UEFA Europa League
Our prediction
Marten Winkler (doubtful), Kilian Sardella (out), Ilay Camara (out), Lucas Hey (out)
Nikolas Veratschnig (out), Dominik Schmid (out), Justin Omoregie (out), Enrique Aguilar (out), Sota Kitano (out), Jesper Lindstrom (doubtful)
De-vigged from the bookmakers — not our model.
- goals per meeting
- 4.4goals per meeting
- with both teams scoring
- 3/5with both teams scoring
- over 2.5 goals
- 3/5over 2.5 goals
- likeliest half-time score
- 0–0likeliest half-time score
Our picks
- Anderlecht come throughOur pickAnderlecht2.08
- Goals keep comingOur pickOver 1.5 GoalsPrice hidden until revealed
Implied by the bookmakers’ own prices, with the margin removed. The engine has not published a read on this match.
How the model sees it
- 2–19%
- 1–19%
- 2–07%
- Projected goals
- 3.4
- Likeliest at half time
- 0–021%
- Competition goals a game
- 2.71
- Competition matches over 2.5
- 53%
| Stat | AND | RED | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| GoalsLeague 1.35 | 2.06 | 1.37 | 3.4 |
| Expected goals (xG)League 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 2.8 |
| Shots | 14.3 | 14.1 | 28.5 |
| CornersLeague 4.6 | 4.83 | 4.23 | 9.1 |
| Fouls | 11.7 | 10.8 | 22.4 |
Per ninety minutes. Goals use the fitted goals model. Other stats combine each side’s rate with what its opponent allows, pulled toward the competition’s own average where the sample is thin; cards are anchored to the referee.
Form, head-to-head and trends
| Trend | AND | RED |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 4/5 | 5/5 |
| Both teams scored | 2/5 | 4/5 |
| Clean sheets | 1/5 | 0/5 |
| Failed to score | 2/5 | 1/5 |
- LRed Bull Salzburg 4–1 Anderlecht2017-07-07 · Club friendly5 gls
- LRed Bull Salzburg 2–0 Anderlecht2012-07-08 · Club friendly2 gls
- LRed Bull Salzburg 2–0 Anderlecht2006-07-13 · Club friendly2 gls
- WAnderlecht 4–2 Red Bull Salzburg1997-09-30 · UEFA Cup 1997/986 gls
- LRed Bull Salzburg 4–3 Anderlecht1997-09-16 · UEFA Cup 1997/987 gls
Match context
- Dry, cold, clear in Brussels (approx 9-11C, low rain chance) per forecasts — no conditions source flags as disruptive
- Form
- Anderlecht WWLLW-ish last five: 4-1 H win v Westerlo, 0-4 L at Gent, 3-0 EL win at Jagiellonia, 1-2 cup exit at Beerschot, 0-1 at Dinamo Zagreb. Salzburg unbeaten in five: 5-1 v Lustenau, 3-2 cup win at Bregenz, 3-1 at LASK, 2-2 at Celje, 0-4 home loss to Milan.
- History
- Very thin history. The only meetings are a 2017 friendly in Salzburg (Salzburg 4-1 Anderlecht, HT 3-0) and, per worldfootball, two 1997/98 UEFA Cup ties (Salzburg 4-3 Anderlecht in Salzburg on 16.09.1997; Anderlecht 4-2 Salzburg on 30.09.1997). Worldfootball also lists older friendlies (2012 and 2006, both 2-0 Salzburg at home). No recent competitive league-phase meetings — the last competitive ties are 29 years old, so history is essentially non-informative; Goal's "last 2 matches" panel (Salz…
- The competition
- UEFA Europa League 2026-27, league phase (single-table, 36 teams), matchday 4. Anderlecht sit 22nd in the on-file table (P8, 3 pts, GF4/GA3) after MD3 — they lost MD1 1-2 at home to Lyon, lost 0-1 at Dinamo Zagreb, then won 3-0 at Jagiellonia. Salzburg are 4th-from-bottom group at 21st? — on file Salzburg are not listed in the top-24 snapshot; at MD3 they had 4 pts (GF3/GA6): won 1-0 at Levski, lost 0-4 at home to Milan, drew 2-2 at Celje. With only the top 24 advancing, both sides are chasing…
Team news
- Marten Winkler — doubtful (fwd)
- Kilian Sardella — out (def)
- Ilay Camara — out (def)
- Lucas Hey — out (def)
- Nikolas Veratschnig — out (def)
- Dominik Schmid — out (def)
- Justin Omoregie — out (mid)
- Enrique Aguilar — out (mid)
- Sota Kitano — out (fwd)
- Jesper Lindstrom — doubtful (fwd)
UEFA Europa League table and leaders
| # | Club | PL | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lyon | 8 | — | 21 |
| 2 | Aston Villa | 8 | — | 21 |
| 3 | FC Midtjylland | 8 | — | 19 |
| 4 | Real Betis | 8 | — | 17 |
| 5 | FC Porto | 8 | — | 17 |
| 6 | Braga | 8 | — | 17 |
Top 6 shown · as read when this competition was last scouted.
- 1Igor JesusNottingham Forest7 goals
- 2Petar StanićLudogorets7 goals
- 3AntonyReal Betis6 goals
- 4Kerem AktürkoğluFenerbahçe6 goals
- 5Vincenzo GrifoSC Freiburg5 goals
- 1Deniz UndavVfB Stuttgart6 assists
- 2Emiliano BuendíaAston Villa6 assists
- 3Morgan RogersAston Villa5 assists
- 4Ricardo HortaBraga5 assists
- 5Andrija ŽivkovićPAOK5 assists
- 1Aston Villa9 clean sheets
- 2Nottingham Forest7 clean sheets
- 3Braga7 clean sheets
- 4FC Midtjylland5 clean sheets
- 5Viktoria Plzeň5 clean sheets
UEFA.com 2025/26 stats: 512 goals / 189 matches = 2.71; over-2.5 52.8% (GoalStatsLab); table stat32/Tribuna; leaders UEFA.com, ESPN, Statz
More UEFA Europa League tips this weekend
- AC Milan vs Ferencvaros · Full time result · AC Milan1.38
- NEC Nijmegen vs Omonia · Full time · Over 1.5 Goals1.20
- Crystal Palace vs Hoffenheim · Full time · Under 5.5 Goals1.11
- Sparta Prague vs Bournemouth · Full time result · Bournemouth1.55
- Real Sociedad vs Lyon · Full time result · Real Sociedad1.73
- PFC Levski Sofia vs Jagiellonia Bialystock · Full time · Under 4.5 Goals1.16
Frequently asked questions
What is our Anderlecht vs Red Bull Salzburg prediction?
We project 2–1. The bookmakers' own prices imply Anderlecht 48%, the draw 26% and Red Bull Salzburg 26%.
What is the best bet for Anderlecht vs Red Bull Salzburg?
Our tip is Full time result · Anderlecht at 2.08. This one is implied by the bookmakers' prices rather than published by our engine.
What time does Anderlecht vs Red Bull Salzburg kick off?
Anderlecht vs Red Bull Salzburg kicks off at Thu 17:45 in the UEFA Europa League.
Who is out for Anderlecht vs Red Bull Salzburg?
Reported absences: Marten Winkler (doubtful), Kilian Sardella (out), Ilay Camara (out), Lucas Hey (out), Nikolas Veratschnig (out), Dominik Schmid (out), Justin Omoregie (out), Enrique Aguilar (out), Sota Kitano (out), Jesper Lindstrom (doubtful).
What happened the last time Anderlecht vs Red Bull Salzburg met?
Red Bull Salzburg 4–1 Anderlecht (2017-07-07 · Club friendly). Over their last 5 meetings it is 1 wins for Anderlecht, 0 draws and 4 for Red Bull Salzburg.
Are these tips free?
The prediction, the match data and our lead tip are free on every match page. The confidence behind each call — our probability, the edge and the engine's own read — is where a coin is spent.