NEC Nijmegen vs Omonia prediction, tips and odds
- goals fest
- high ceiling
- both score
- high stakes
- weakened side
- league
- NEC Nijmegen: high
- Omonia: high
- Kick-off
- your local time
- Competition
- UEFA Europa League
Our prediction
Dušan Tadić (out), Philippe Sandler (out), Bram Nuytinck (out), Emre Mor (out), Dennis Geiger (out), Mitchel Bakker (out)
Loïc Nego (doubtful), Senou Coulibaly (out), Fotis Kitsos (out), Carel Eiting (out)
De-vigged from the bookmakers — not our model.
- likeliest half-time score
- 0–0likeliest half-time score
Our picks
- NEC Nijmegen come throughOur pickNEC Nijmegen1.84
- Omonia keep it closeOur pickOmonia starts 3.5 goals aheadPrice hidden until revealed
Implied by the bookmakers’ own prices, with the margin removed. The engine has not published a read on this match.
How the model sees it
- 1–112%
- 1–010%
- 2–19%
- Projected goals
- 2.8
- Likeliest at half time
- 0–028%
- Competition goals a game
- 2.71
- Competition matches over 2.5
- 53%
| Stat | NEC | OMO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| GoalsLeague 1.35 | 1.64 | 1.19 | 2.8 |
| Expected goals (xG)League 1.4 | 1.5 | 1.54 | 3.0 |
| Shots | 15.6 | 12.3 | 27.9 |
| Shots on target | 4.7 | 4.47 | 9.2 |
| CornersLeague 4.6 | 5.46 | 4.11 | 9.6 |
Per ninety minutes. Goals use the fitted goals model. Other stats combine each side’s rate with what its opponent allows, pulled toward the competition’s own average where the sample is thin; cards are anchored to the referee.
Form, head-to-head and trends
| Trend | NEC | OMO |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 3/5 | 3/5 |
| Both teams scored | 4/5 | 2/5 |
| Clean sheets | 0/5 | 2/5 |
| Failed to score | 1/5 | 1/5 |
Match context
- Dry and sunny, ~10C high, minimal rain chance, moderate ENE wind; nothing flagged as match-affecting.
- Form
- NEC LDWDD (one win in five, 9 scored/8 conceded, no clean sheets — they concede in every game); Omonia WLDWD (8 scored/8 conceded, no clean sheet in the last five, losses to AEK Larnaca and Benfica).
- History
- No meaningful head-to-head history: NEC Nijmegen and Omonia Nicosia have never met before this Europa League league-phase fixture (confirmed by statarea "No matches found" and SportScore "No previous meetings between these teams"). Stature: NEC are the bigger club from a stronger league — Eredivisie side who finished 3rd last season and reached this Europa League after losing a Champions League play-off to Bodø/Glimt — but they are having a poor domestic season (13th in the Eredivisie, 1 win in…
- The competition
- UEFA Europa League 2026/27 league phase, matchday 4 of 8 — a single-table round of 36, no second leg. NEC Nijmegen are 20th after three games (W1 D1 L1, 4 pts: 5-0 loss at Juventus, 1-1 v Levski, 4-2 win at Dinamo Zagreb) and need points to climb into the top-24 knockout places; Omonia sit 11th on 6 pts (2-0-1, GF5/GA4: beat Celta 1-0, won 3-0 at Celje, lost 1-4 at home to Benfica). No dead rubber — matchday four of a long league phase with both sides still short of safety. NEC arrive on a run…
Team news
- Dušan Tadić — out (mid)
- Philippe Sandler — out (def)
- Bram Nuytinck — out (def)
- Emre Mor — out (fwd)
- Dennis Geiger — out (mid)
- Mitchel Bakker — out (def)
- Loïc Nego — doubtful (def)
- Senou Coulibaly — out (def)
- Fotis Kitsos — out (def)
- Carel Eiting — out (mid)
UEFA Europa League table and leaders
| # | Club | PL | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lyon | 8 | — | 21 |
| 2 | Aston Villa | 8 | — | 21 |
| 3 | FC Midtjylland | 8 | — | 19 |
| 4 | Real Betis | 8 | — | 17 |
| 5 | FC Porto | 8 | — | 17 |
| 6 | Braga | 8 | — | 17 |
Top 6 shown · as read when this competition was last scouted.
- 1Igor JesusNottingham Forest7 goals
- 2Petar StanićLudogorets7 goals
- 3AntonyReal Betis6 goals
- 4Kerem AktürkoğluFenerbahçe6 goals
- 5Vincenzo GrifoSC Freiburg5 goals
- 1Deniz UndavVfB Stuttgart6 assists
- 2Emiliano BuendíaAston Villa6 assists
- 3Morgan RogersAston Villa5 assists
- 4Ricardo HortaBraga5 assists
- 5Andrija ŽivkovićPAOK5 assists
- 1Aston Villa9 clean sheets
- 2Nottingham Forest7 clean sheets
- 3Braga7 clean sheets
- 4FC Midtjylland5 clean sheets
- 5Viktoria Plzeň5 clean sheets
UEFA.com 2025/26 stats: 512 goals / 189 matches = 2.71; over-2.5 52.8% (GoalStatsLab); table stat32/Tribuna; leaders UEFA.com, ESPN, Statz
More UEFA Europa League tips this weekend
- Anderlecht vs Red Bull Salzburg · Full time · Over 1.5 Goals1.21
- AC Milan vs Ferencvaros · Full time result · AC Milan1.38
- Crystal Palace vs Hoffenheim · Full time · Under 5.5 Goals1.11
- Sparta Prague vs Bournemouth · Full time result · Bournemouth1.55
- Real Sociedad vs Lyon · Full time result · Real Sociedad1.73
- PFC Levski Sofia vs Jagiellonia Bialystock · Full time · Under 4.5 Goals1.16
Frequently asked questions
What is our NEC Nijmegen vs Omonia prediction?
We project 1–1. The bookmakers' own prices imply NEC Nijmegen 54%, the draw 23% and Omonia 23%.
What is the best bet for NEC Nijmegen vs Omonia?
Our tip is Full time result · NEC Nijmegen at 1.84. This one is implied by the bookmakers' prices rather than published by our engine.
What time does NEC Nijmegen vs Omonia kick off?
NEC Nijmegen vs Omonia kicks off at Thu 17:45 in the UEFA Europa League.
Who is out for NEC Nijmegen vs Omonia?
Reported absences: Dušan Tadić (out), Philippe Sandler (out), Bram Nuytinck (out), Emre Mor (out), Dennis Geiger (out), Mitchel Bakker (out), Loïc Nego (doubtful), Senou Coulibaly (out), Fotis Kitsos (out), Carel Eiting (out).
Are these tips free?
The prediction, the match data and our lead tip are free on every match page. The confidence behind each call — our probability, the edge and the engine's own read — is where a coin is spent.