Atletico Baleares vs Eldense prediction, tips and odds
Two divisions apart, one night to settle it: second-tier Eldense travel to fourth-tier Atletico Baleares in a single-leg Copa del Rey first round.
- high stakes
- no strong shape
- cup
- Leg single
- Atletico Baleares: high
- Eldense: high
- Kick-off
- your local time
- Competition
- Spanish Copa del Rey
Our prediction
Atletico Baleares
8th · 10 pts
FormW, D, D, W, D
Eldense
12th · 14 pts
FormL, W, W, W, L
Our prediction
1–12.6 goals projected
ATL 35%Draw 26%ELD 39%
- goals per meeting
- 3.3goals per meeting
- with both teams scoring
- 2/4with both teams scoring
- over 2.5 goals
- 3/4over 2.5 goals
- likeliest half-time score
- 0–0likeliest half-time score
Our picks
Rating hidden until revealed
- Atletico Baleares keep it closeOur pickAtletico Baleares starts 2 goals ahead1.13
- Goals stay downOur pickUnder 2.5 GoalsPrice hidden until revealed
How the model sees it
Result probability
ATL 35%Draw 26%ELD 39%
Likeliest scorelines
- 1–112%
- 0–110%
- 1–09%
- Projected goals
- 2.6
- Likeliest at half time
- 0–031%
Projected stats
| Stat | ATL | ELD | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.27 | 1.36 | 2.6 |
| Corners | 5.03 | 4.64 | 9.7 |
Per ninety minutes. Goals use the fitted goals model. Other stats combine each side’s rate with what its opponent allows, pulled toward the competition’s own average where the sample is thin; cards are anchored to the referee.
Form, head-to-head and trends
Last five
Atletico BalearesW, D, D, W, D
EldenseL, W, W, W, L
| Trend | ATL | ELD |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 3/5 | 3/5 |
| Both teams scored | 4/5 | 3/5 |
| Clean sheets | 1/5 | 0/5 |
| Failed to score | 0/5 | 2/5 |
Head-to-head · last 4
2
ATL wins
0
Draws
2
ELD wins
- LEldense 2–1 Atlético Baleares2023-02-05 · Primera Federación (Grupo 2)3 gls
- WAtlético Baleares 3–1 Eldense2022-10-23 · Primera Federación (Grupo 2)4 gls
- WAtlético Baleares 5–0 Eldense2017-03-05 · Segunda División B5 gls
- LEldense 1–0 Atlético Baleares2016-01-17 · Segunda División B1 gls
3.3goals per meeting2/4with both teams scoring3/4over 2.5 goals
Match context
- Form
- Baleares W-D-D-W-D in the league (2-0 Alcoyano, 2-2 Lorca, 2-2 Mallorca B, 2-1 Poblense, 1-1 Cieza) — tight, often level at the break; Eldense W-W-W then 0-1 Burgos and 0-2 Albacete, but scoring freely at home (4-1 Oviedo, 3-2 at Valladolid) with goals bunched late.
- History
- All recent meetings (Primera RFEF / Segunda B, 2016-2023) are in Spain's third tier; Eldense have since moved up to Segunda División (12th, LaLiga 2 in 2026-27) while Atlético Baleares now play in Segunda RFEF (4th tier), so the clubs have diverged. In the last five head-to-heads Baleares lead 3-2 with no draws, though Eldense won the two most recent (2-1 home in Feb 2023 after 3-1 defeat in Oct 2022). All meetings pre-date 2023 and none is a cup tie, so weight it lightly.
- The competition
- Copa del Rey 2026-27, first round (single-leg knockout, 56 ties, 112 clubs; drawn 5 Oct 2026). No second leg, no replay — decided on the night. Atlético Baleares (Segunda Federación Group 3 = Spanish fourth tier) host Eldense (LaLiga Hypermotion = second tier) at Estadio Balear; per draw rules the lower-division club hosts. Eldense sit 12th in LaLiga 2 (11 pd, 14 pts, 4W-2D-5L, 13GF-15GA) after a 2-0 loss at Albacete; Baleares are 8th in Group 3 (8 pd, 2W-4D-2L, 12GF-13GA, 10 pts). Both are in…
Team news
Atletico Baleares
No absences reported.
Eldense
No absences reported.
Spanish Copa del Rey table
| # | Club | PL | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | CD Atlético Baleares (Segunda Federación Group 3) | 8 | — | 10 |
| 12 | Eldense (LaLiga Hypermotion) | 11 | — | 14 |
as read when this competition was last scouted.
More Spanish Copa del Rey tips this weekend
- Numancia vs Oviedo · Full time · Under 3.5 Goals1.29
- Pena Sport vs Huesca · Full time result · Huesca1.75
- Coruxo vs Zamora · Full time · Under 3.5 Goals1.26
- UD Poblense vs AD Ceuta FC · UD Poblense starts 2 goals ahead1.25
- Lebrijana vs Getafe · Full time result · Getafe1.04
- Atletico Calatayud vs Osasuna · Full time result · Osasuna1.04
Frequently asked questions
What is our Atletico Baleares vs Eldense prediction?
We project 1–1. Our model gives Atletico Baleares 35%, the draw 26% and Eldense 39%.
What is the best bet for Atletico Baleares vs Eldense?
Our tip is Atletico Baleares starts 2 goals ahead at 1.13.
What time does Atletico Baleares vs Eldense kick off?
Atletico Baleares vs Eldense kicks off at Thu 18:00 in the Spanish Copa del Rey.
What happened the last time Atletico Baleares vs Eldense met?
Eldense 2–1 Atlético Baleares (2023-02-05 · Primera Federación (Grupo 2)). Over their last 4 meetings it is 2 wins for Atletico Baleares, 0 draws and 2 for Eldense.
Are these tips free?
The prediction, the match data and our lead tip are free on every match page. The confidence behind each call — our probability, the edge and the engine's own read — is where a coin is spent.