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Spanish La Liga

Atletico Madrid vs Deportivo prediction, tips and odds

  • league
  • Atletico Madrid: high
  • Deportivo: normal
Kick-off
your local time
Competition
Spanish La Liga

Our prediction

Atletico Madrid
2nd · 22 pts
FormD, W, W, W, W

Koke (out), Cristian Romero (out)

Deportivo
9th · 11 pts
FormD, L, D, L, D

Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang (out), Marc Casado (out), Zakaria Eddahchouri (out), Bright Ede (out), Noe Carrillo (doubtful)

Our prediction
2–02.8 goals projected
ATL 72%Draw 18%DEP 10%
goals per meeting
1.2goals per meeting
with both teams scoring
1/5with both teams scoring
over 2.5 goals
0/5over 2.5 goals
likeliest half-time score
0–0likeliest half-time score

Our picks

Rating hidden until revealed
  • Atletico Madrid come throughOur pickAtletico Madrid
    1.30
  • Goals stay downOur pickUnder 5.5 Goals
    Price hidden until revealed

Implied by the bookmakers’ own prices, with the margin removed. The engine has not published a read on this match.

Unlock all tips · 1 coin

How the model sees it

Result probability
ATL 72%Draw 18%DEP 10%
Likeliest scorelines
  • 2–014%
  • 1–013%
  • 3–010%
Projected goals
2.8
Likeliest at half time
0–029%
Projected stats
Projected match statistics for Atletico Madrid against Deportivo
StatATLDEPTotal
Goals2.110.642.8

Per ninety minutes. Goals use the fitted goals model. Other stats combine each side’s rate with what its opponent allows, pulled toward the competition’s own average where the sample is thin; cards are anchored to the referee.

Form, head-to-head and trends

Last five
Atletico MadridD, W, W, W, W
DeportivoD, L, D, L, D
How each side’s recent matches have gone
TrendATLDEP
Over 2.5 goals2/51/5
Both teams scored3/54/5
Clean sheets2/50/5
Failed to score0/51/5
Head-to-head · last 5
4
ATL wins
1
Draws
0
DEP wins
  • WDeportivo La Coruna 0–1 Atletico Madrid2026-01-13 · Copa del Rey1 gls
  • WAtletico Madrid 1–0 Deportivo La Coruna2018-04-01 · La Liga1 gls
  • WDeportivo La Coruna 0–1 Atletico Madrid2017-11-04 · La Liga1 gls
  • DDeportivo La Coruna 1–1 Atletico Madrid2017-03-02 · La Liga2 gls
  • WAtletico Madrid 1–0 Deportivo La Coruna2016-09-25 · La Liga1 gls
1.2goals per meeting1/5with both teams scoring0/5over 2.5 goals

Match context

  • Forecast partly cloudy, ~13-15C, dry, light wind (oddstrader/predictlix); nothing flagged as material.
Form
Atletico W-W-W-W-D (1-0 at Espanyol, 2-1 v Real Madrid, 2-1 at Alaves, 2-0 v Man Utd, 1-1 at Stuttgart), tight and low-scoring; Deportivo D-L-D-L-D (1-1 v Levante, 2-3 at Real Sociedad, 1-1 v Betis, 0-1 v Sevilla, 1-1 at Getafe), drawing but winless in five.
History
No top-flight meeting since April 2018 — the only recent clash is a Jan 2026 Copa del Rey tie, which carries limited weight for a league read. Verified recent head-to-heads: Deportivo 0-1 Atlético (Copa del Rey, 13 Jan 2026, HT 0-0); Atlético 1-0 Deportivo (La Liga, 1 Apr 2018); Deportivo 0-1 Atlético (La Liga, 4 Nov 2017, HT 0-0); Deportivo 1-1 Atlético (La Liga, 2 Mar 2017, HT 1-0). Every meeting since 2016-17 has been tight and low-scoring — four matches, five goals, one draw, no Deportivo w…
The competition
Spanish La Liga 2026-27, Spain's top flight (20 teams), matchweek 10. Atletico Madrid are 2nd on 22 pts from 9 (7W-1D-1L, 19 GF, 8 GA), two behind leaders Barcelona, chasing a sixth straight league win in the title race. Deportivo A Coruña, newly promoted and back in La Liga for the first time since 2017-18, are 9th on 11 pts (2W-5D-2L) — winless in five but drawing plenty — and are playing to consolidate a top-half start. Ordinary league round, not a cup tie.

Team news

Atletico Madrid
  • Koke — out (mid)
  • Cristian Romero — out (def)
Deportivo
  • Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang — out (fwd)
  • Marc Casado — out (mid)
  • Zakaria Eddahchouri — out (fwd)
  • Bright Ede — out (unknown)
  • Noe Carrillo — doubtful (def)

Spanish La Liga table and leaders

Spanish La Liga standings
#ClubPLGDPts
1Barcelona9—27
2Atletico Madrid9—22
3Real Madrid9—21
4Real Betis9—19
5Real Sociedad9—16
6Sevilla9—14

Top 6 shown · as read when this competition was last scouted.

  1. 1RaphinhaBarcelona12 goals
  2. 2Kylian MbappeReal Madrid9 goals
  3. 3Lamine YamalBarcelona8 goals
  4. 4Sergio CamelloRayo Vallecano7 goals
  5. 5Pierre-Emerick AubameyangDeportivo5 goals

NBC Sports / ESPN / SoccerNews boards, as of 18-22 Oct 2026

More tips this week

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Model output is a projection, not a guarantee. Prices move; the one shown was available when this page was last built.

Frequently asked questions

What is our Atletico Madrid vs Deportivo prediction?

We project 2–0. Our model gives Atletico Madrid 72%, the draw 18% and Deportivo 10%.

What is the best bet for Atletico Madrid vs Deportivo?

Our tip is Full time result · Atletico Madrid at 1.30. This one is implied by the bookmakers' prices rather than published by our engine.

What time does Atletico Madrid vs Deportivo kick off?

Atletico Madrid vs Deportivo kicks off at Sat 19:00 in the Spanish La Liga.

Who is out for Atletico Madrid vs Deportivo?

Reported absences: Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang (out), Marc Casado (out), Zakaria Eddahchouri (out), Bright Ede (out), Noe Carrillo (doubtful), Koke (out), Cristian Romero (out).

What happened the last time Atletico Madrid vs Deportivo met?

Deportivo La Coruna 0–1 Atletico Madrid (2026-01-13 · Copa del Rey). Over their last 5 meetings it is 4 wins for Atletico Madrid, 1 draw and 0 for Deportivo.

Are these tips free?

The prediction, the match data and our lead tip are free on every match page. The confidence behind each call — our probability, the edge and the engine's own read — is where a coin is spent.