Valencia vs Villarreal prediction, tips and odds
- Derby
- league
- Valencia: high
- Villarreal: normal
- Kick-off
- your local time
- Competition
- Spanish La Liga
Our prediction
Umar Sadiq (out), Diego López (out), Sergi Canós (out), José Copete (doubtful), Dimitri Foulquier (doubtful)
Carlos Romero (out), Nathan Saliba (doubtful), Nicolas Pépé (out)
- goals per meeting
- 2.7goals per meeting
- with both teams scoring
- 5/6with both teams scoring
- over 2.5 goals
- 3/6over 2.5 goals
- likeliest half-time score
- 0–0likeliest half-time score
Our picks
- Goals stay downOur pickUnder 5.5 Goals1.07
- Villarreal avoid defeatOur pickVillarreal starts 1.5 goals aheadPrice hidden until revealed
How the model sees it
- 1–112%
- 0–110%
- 1–29%
- Projected goals
- 2.8
- Likeliest at half time
- 0–029%
| Stat | VAL | VIL | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.17 | 1.6 | 2.8 |
Per ninety minutes. Goals use the fitted goals model. Other stats combine each side’s rate with what its opponent allows, pulled toward the competition’s own average where the sample is thin; cards are anchored to the referee.
Form, head-to-head and trends
- LVillarreal 2–1 Valencia2026-02-22 · La Liga3 gls
- LValencia 0–2 Villarreal2025-10-25 · La Liga2 gls
- DVillarreal 1–1 Valencia2025-02-15 · La Liga2 gls
- DValencia 1–1 Villarreal2024-08-31 · La Liga2 gls
- LVillarreal 2–1 Valencia2024-02-18 · La Liga3 gls
Match context
- History
- Valencian derby, both long-time La Liga sides. Recent league meetings are close to even and low-scoring. Most recent: Villarreal 2-1 Valencia (22 Feb 2026) and Villarreal 1-1 Valencia (15 Feb 2025, HT 1-0); Valencia 0-2 Villarreal (25 Oct 2025, HT 0-1); Valencia 1-0 Villarreal (26 Oct 2024) and 1-1 (31 Aug 2024, per FBref; some listings show nil-nil-ish/other data — unresolved, so omitted); Valencia 2-1 Villarreal (18 Feb 2024) and Valencia 3-1 Villarreal (2 Jan 2024, HT 2-0). Stature: Villarre…
Team news
- Umar Sadiq — out (fwd)
- Diego López — out (fwd)
- Sergi Canós — out (fwd)
- José Copete — doubtful (def)
- Dimitri Foulquier — doubtful (def)
- Carlos Romero — out (def)
- Nathan Saliba — doubtful (mid)
- Nicolas Pépé — out (fwd)
More tips this week
- Rayo Vallecano vs Elche · Full time · Over 1.5 Goals1.31
- Racing Santander vs Espanyol · Full time · Under 5.5 Goals1.08
- Atletico Madrid vs Deportivo · Full time result · Atletico Madrid1.30
- Tigre vs Atl Tucuman · Full time result · Tigre2.02
- Western Sydney (W) vs Brisbane Roar FC (W)
- Newcastle Jets vs Macarthur FC · Half time · Under 2.5 Goals1.23
Frequently asked questions
What is our Valencia vs Villarreal prediction?
We project 1–1. Our model gives Valencia 28%, the draw 25% and Villarreal 47%.
What is the best bet for Valencia vs Villarreal?
Our tip is Full time · Under 5.5 Goals at 1.07.
What time does Valencia vs Villarreal kick off?
Valencia vs Villarreal kicks off at Sat 16:30 in the Spanish La Liga.
Who is out for Valencia vs Villarreal?
Reported absences: Umar Sadiq (out), Diego López (out), Sergi Canós (out), José Copete (doubtful), Dimitri Foulquier (doubtful), Carlos Romero (out), Nathan Saliba (doubtful), Nicolas Pépé (out).
What happened the last time Valencia vs Villarreal met?
Villarreal 2–1 Valencia (2026-02-22 · La Liga). Over their last 6 meetings it is 1 wins for Valencia, 2 draws and 3 for Villarreal.
Are these tips free?
The prediction, the match data and our lead tip are free on every match page. The confidence behind each call — our probability, the edge and the engine's own read — is where a coin is spent.