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German Cup

Dortmund vs Werder Bremen prediction, tips and odds

Cup leaders Dortmund host a Werder side unbeaten in six and 2-2 here earlier this month, four days before a trip to Bayern
  • high stakes
  • rotation risk
  • no strong shape
  • cup
  • Leg single
  • Dortmund: high
  • Werder Bremen: normal
Kick-off
your local time
Competition
German Cup

Our prediction

Dortmund
2nd · 17 pts
FormW, W, L, D, W

Emre Can (out), Giannis Konstantelias (out), Konstantinos Karetsas (out), Justin Lerma (out), Kauã Prates (doubtful)

Werder Bremen
6th · 12 pts
FormW, D, D, W, W

Jens Stage (out), Felix Agu (out), Salim Musah (out), Skelly Alvero (out), Justin Njinmah (out)

Our prediction
2–03.0 goals projected
DOR 64%Draw 20%WER 16%
goals per meeting
2.7goals per meeting
with both teams scoring
3/6with both teams scoring
over 2.5 goals
4/6over 2.5 goals
likeliest half-time score
0–0likeliest half-time score

Our picks

Rating hidden until revealed
  • Dortmund come throughOur pickDortmund
    1.44
  • Werder Bremen keep it closeOur pickWerder Bremen starts 3 goals ahead
    Price hidden until revealed

Implied by the bookmakers’ own prices, with the margin removed. The engine has not published a read on this match.

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How the model sees it

Result probability
DOR 64%Draw 20%WER 16%
Likeliest scorelines
  • 2–010%
  • 1–010%
  • 2–110%
Projected goals
3.0
Likeliest at half time
0–026%
Projected stats
Projected match statistics for Dortmund against Werder Bremen
StatDORWERTotal
Goals2.070.953.0
Expected goals (xG)1.561.232.8
Shots14.613.327.9
Shots on target5.695.0810.8
Corners5.054.459.5
Fouls10.910.921.8

Per ninety minutes. Goals use the fitted goals model. Other stats combine each side’s rate with what its opponent allows, pulled toward the competition’s own average where the sample is thin; cards are anchored to the referee.

Form, head-to-head and trends

Last five
DortmundW, W, L, D, W
Werder BremenW, D, D, W, W
How each side’s recent matches have gone
TrendDORWER
Over 2.5 goals2/55/5
Both teams scored2/55/5
Clean sheets2/50/5
Failed to score1/50/5
Head-to-head · last 6
3
DOR wins
3
Draws
0
WER wins
  • DBorussia Dortmund 2–2 Werder Bremen2026-10-09 · Bundesliga4 gls
  • WWerder Bremen 0–2 Borussia Dortmund2026-05-16 · Bundesliga2 gls
  • WBorussia Dortmund 3–0 Werder Bremen2026-01-13 · Bundesliga3 gls
  • DBorussia Dortmund 2–2 Werder Bremen2025-01-25 · Bundesliga4 gls
  • DWerder Bremen 0–0 Borussia Dortmund2024-08-31 · Bundesliga0 gls
2.7goals per meeting3/6with both teams scoring4/6over 2.5 goals

Match context

Form
Dortmund unbeaten in the league and top (W over Frankfurt 1-0, W 2-0 Union, W 1-0 at Stuttgart) but beaten 1-0 at Bodø/Glimt in the CL and pegged back 2-2 by Bremen; Bremen W3-2 Mainz, D2-2 Paderborn, D2-2 at Dortmund, W3-2 Augsburg — five unbeaten, high-scoring both ways.
History
Dortmund are the clearly bigger club (ESPN: 2nd in 2026-27 Bundesliga; Elo ~1829 vs Bremen ~1585) and have dominated this fixture in the league: 6 wins, 3 draws, 1 loss in the last 10 meetings, 19-7-4 over the last 30 (avg 3.4 goals/game). Bremen are mid/upper-table and winless in the last five vs BVB but have drawn three of them, including the most recent league game 2-2 in Dortmund (Oct 2026) after trailing 0-2 in the 85th minute. These are regular Bundesliga opponents — no cup history found…
The competition
DFB-Pokal 2026/27, second round (last 32), single-leg knockout at Signal Iduna Park on 27 Oct 2026, 20:45 CET; a draw after 90 minutes goes to extra time and penalties. Both clubs are Bundesliga sides: Dortmund lead the top flight on 17 points from 7 (5-2-0, 12:4) after a 1-0 win over Frankfurt, Werder are a solid mid-table side (6th, 12 pts, 3-3-1) who drew 2-2 in Dortmund in the league on 9 Oct. Winner goes into the round of 16 (1-2 Dec); no dead rubber — both name strong sides but Dortmund a…

Team news

Dortmund
  • Emre Can — out (mid)
  • Giannis Konstantelias — out (mid)
  • Konstantinos Karetsas — out (mid)
  • Justin Lerma — out (mid)
  • Kauã Prates — doubtful (def)
Werder Bremen
  • Jens Stage — out (mid)
  • Felix Agu — out (def)
  • Salim Musah — out (mid)
  • Skelly Alvero — out (mid)
  • Justin Njinmah — out (fwd)

German Cup table

German Cup standings
#ClubPLGDPts
1Bayern Munich7—17
2Dortmund7—17
3Freiburg7—13
4Bayer Leverkusen7—13
6Werder Bremen7—12
18Borussia Mönchengladbach7—3

as read when this competition was last scouted.

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Model output is a projection, not a guarantee. Prices move; the one shown was available when this page was last built.

Frequently asked questions

What is our Dortmund vs Werder Bremen prediction?

We project 2–0. Our model gives Dortmund 64%, the draw 20% and Werder Bremen 16%.

What is the best bet for Dortmund vs Werder Bremen?

Our tip is Full time result · Dortmund at 1.44. This one is implied by the bookmakers' prices rather than published by our engine.

What time does Dortmund vs Werder Bremen kick off?

Dortmund vs Werder Bremen kicks off at Tue 19:45 in the German Cup.

Who is out for Dortmund vs Werder Bremen?

Reported absences: Emre Can (out), Giannis Konstantelias (out), Konstantinos Karetsas (out), Justin Lerma (out), Kauã Prates (doubtful), Jens Stage (out), Felix Agu (out), Salim Musah (out), Skelly Alvero (out), Justin Njinmah (out).

What happened the last time Dortmund vs Werder Bremen met?

Borussia Dortmund 2–2 Werder Bremen (2026-10-09 · Bundesliga). Over their last 6 meetings it is 3 wins for Dortmund, 3 draws and 0 for Werder Bremen.

Are these tips free?

The prediction, the match data and our lead tip are free on every match page. The confidence behind each call — our probability, the edge and the engine's own read — is where a coin is spent.