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German Cup

FC Koln vs Union Berlin prediction, tips and odds

Köln host Union Berlin in a single-leg cup tie with little league form between them, and Köln missing key strikers Dallinga and Skhiri
  • high stakes
  • weakened side
  • no strong shape
  • cup
  • Leg single
  • FC Koln: high
  • Union Berlin: high
Kick-off
your local time
Competition
German Cup

Our prediction

FC Koln
12th · 7 pts
FormD, L, W, D, L

Ragnar Ache (doubtful), Thijs Dallinga (out), Imad Rondic (out), Ellyes Skhiri (out), Rav van den Berg (out)

Union Berlin
17th · 6 pts
FormD, D, W, L, L

Felix Uduokhai (out), Stanley Nsoki (out), Josip Juranovic (doubtful), Andrej Ilic (out), Alexander Markgraf (out)

Our prediction
1–12.3 goals projected
FC 43%Draw 28%UNI 29%
goals per meeting
2.7goals per meeting
with both teams scoring
4/6with both teams scoring
over 2.5 goals
4/6over 2.5 goals
likeliest half-time score
0–0likeliest half-time score

Our picks

Rating hidden until revealed
  • Goals stay downOur pickUnder 5.5 Goals
    1.08
  • Union Berlin keep it closeOur pickUnion Berlin starts 2 goals ahead
    Price hidden until revealed
Unlock all tips · 1 coin

How the model sees it

Result probability
FC 43%Draw 28%UNI 29%
Likeliest scorelines
  • 1–113%
  • 1–013%
  • 0–110%
Projected goals
2.3
Likeliest at half time
0–035%
Projected stats
Projected match statistics for FC Koln against Union Berlin
StatFC UNITotal
Goals1.311.022.3
Expected goals (xG)1.761.593.4
Shots14.914.429.3
Corners5.644.9910.6
Fouls10.811.221.9

Per ninety minutes. Goals use the fitted goals model. Other stats combine each side’s rate with what its opponent allows, pulled toward the competition’s own average where the sample is thin; cards are anchored to the referee.

Form, head-to-head and trends

Last five
FC KolnD, L, W, D, L
Union BerlinD, D, W, L, L
How each side’s recent matches have gone
TrendFC UNI
Over 2.5 goals2/52/5
Both teams scored3/52/5
Clean sheets1/52/5
Failed to score2/52/5
Head-to-head · last 6
0
FC wins
2
Draws
4
UNI wins
  • DUnion Berlin 2–2 Köln2026-05-02 · Bundesliga4 gls
  • LKöln 0–1 Union Berlin2025-12-20 · Bundesliga1 gls
  • LUnion Berlin 1–0 Köln2022-04-01 · Bundesliga1 gls
  • DKöln 2–2 Union Berlin2021-11-07 · Bundesliga4 gls
  • LUnion Berlin 2–1 Köln2021-03-13 · Bundesliga3 gls
2.7goals per meeting4/6with both teams scoring4/6over 2.5 goals

Match context

Form
Köln recent: 0-0 Schalke, 0-1 at Frankfurt, 2-1 Gladbach, 1-1 Werder, 1-4 at Stuttgart, 3-2 Hoffenheim — low-scoring lately. Union Berlin: 1-1 at Augsburg, 0-0 Dortmund, 1-0 Elversberg, 1-3 Schalke, 0-4 at Leverkusen, 3-3 Frankfurt — few goals scored, many conceded.
History
Frequent Bundesliga opponents in recent seasons, and the record is remarkably close and low-scoring: Köln have not beaten Union in the last six league meetings (Union 3 wins, 3 draws, including Union's Feb 2023 0-0 at home and Köln's 3-2 home win in 2023/24 per some lists — see meetings; verified set below). Recent: Union 2-2 Köln (May 2026, HT 0-1), Köln 0-1 Union (Dec 2025, HT 0-0, late 90+1 winner), Union 1-0 Köln (Apr 2022), Köln 2-2 Union (Nov 2021), Union 2-1 Köln (Mar 2021), Köln 1-2 Uni…
The competition
DFB-Pokal (German Cup) 2026/27, Round of 32 (last 32) — a single-leg knockout tie, extra time and penalties if level. Both clubs are Bundesliga sides: Köln sit mid-table (12th, 7 pts from 7), while Union Berlin are 17th (6 pts from 7, GD -12) and fighting a relegation scrap, so the cup is a rotation risk for the visitors. Köln are at home; winner goes into the Round of 16 draw.

Team news

FC Koln
  • Ragnar Ache — doubtful (fwd)
  • Thijs Dallinga — out (fwd)
  • Imad Rondic — out (fwd)
  • Ellyes Skhiri — out (mid)
  • Rav van den Berg — out (def)
Union Berlin
  • Felix Uduokhai — out (def)
  • Stanley Nsoki — out (def)
  • Josip Juranovic — doubtful (def)
  • Andrej Ilic — out (fwd)
  • Alexander Markgraf — out (def)

German Cup table

German Cup standings
#ClubPLGDPts
121. FC Koln7—7
17Union Berlin7—6
1Bayern Munich7—17
2Borussia Dortmund7—17
4Bayer 04 Leverkusen7——
14VfB Stuttgart7—6

Top 6 shown · as read when this competition was last scouted.

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Model output is a projection, not a guarantee. Prices move; the one shown was available when this page was last built.

Frequently asked questions

What is our FC Koln vs Union Berlin prediction?

We project 1–1. Our model gives FC Koln 43%, the draw 28% and Union Berlin 29%.

What is the best bet for FC Koln vs Union Berlin?

Our tip is Full time · Under 5.5 Goals at 1.08.

What time does FC Koln vs Union Berlin kick off?

FC Koln vs Union Berlin kicks off at Tue 19:45 in the German Cup.

Who is out for FC Koln vs Union Berlin?

Reported absences: Ragnar Ache (doubtful), Thijs Dallinga (out), Imad Rondic (out), Ellyes Skhiri (out), Rav van den Berg (out), Felix Uduokhai (out), Stanley Nsoki (out), Josip Juranovic (doubtful), Andrej Ilic (out), Alexander Markgraf (out).

What happened the last time FC Koln vs Union Berlin met?

Union Berlin 2–2 Köln (2026-05-02 · Bundesliga). Over their last 6 meetings it is 0 wins for FC Koln, 2 draws and 4 for Union Berlin.

Are these tips free?

The prediction, the match data and our lead tip are free on every match page. The confidence behind each call — our probability, the edge and the engine's own read — is where a coin is spent.