Frosinone vs Lecce prediction, tips and odds
- league
- Frosinone: normal
- Lecce: normal
- Kick-off
- your local time
- Competition
- Italian Serie A
Our prediction
Kialonda Gaspar (out), Tiago Gabriel (doubtful), Santiago Pierotti (out), Ivan Ilic (out), Lassana Coulibaly (out), Medon Berisha (doubtful), Corrie Ndaba (doubtful), Konan N'Dri (doubtful), Amar Fatah (doubtful)
- goals per meeting
- 2.2goals per meeting
- with both teams scoring
- 3/6with both teams scoring
- over 2.5 goals
- 3/6over 2.5 goals
- likeliest half-time score
- 0–0likeliest half-time score
Our picks
- Frosinone come throughOur pickFrosinone1.75
- Lecce keep it closeOur pickLecce starts 3 goals aheadPrice hidden until revealed
Implied by the bookmakers’ own prices, with the margin removed. The engine has not published a read on this match.
How the model sees it
- 2–110%
- 1–19%
- 2–07%
- Projected goals
- 3.4
- Likeliest at half time
- 0–022%
- Competition goals a game
- 2.43
| Stat | FRO | LEC | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| GoalsLeague 1.21 | 2.08 | 1.29 | 3.4 |
| Shots | 15.8 | 15.0 | 30.8 |
| Corners | 4.85 | 5.49 | 10.3 |
Per ninety minutes. Goals use the fitted goals model. Other stats combine each side’s rate with what its opponent allows, pulled toward the competition’s own average where the sample is thin; cards are anchored to the referee.
Form, head-to-head and trends
| Trend | FRO | LEC |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 4/5 | 3/5 |
| Both teams scored | 2/5 | 2/5 |
| Clean sheets | 2/5 | 1/5 |
| Failed to score | 1/5 | 2/5 |
- DFrosinone 1–1 Lecce2024-03-03 · Serie A2 gls
- LLecce 2–1 Frosinone2023-12-16 · Serie A3 gls
- LLecce 1–0 Frosinone2022-04-02 · Serie B1 gls
- DFrosinone 0–0 Lecce2021-11-20 · Serie B0 gls
- LFrosinone 0–3 Lecce2021-03-20 · Serie B3 gls
Match context
- Form
- Frosinone WLDWW-ish but high-scoring: 4-4 at Atalanta, 4-2 v Sassuolo (HT 3-2), 0-3 at Napoli (HT 0-2), 2-0 v Como, 3-0 at Fiorentina. Lecce WDLWL: 0-2 v Juventus, 3-0 at Udinese (HT 2-0), 1-2 v Bologna, 0-1 at Cagliari, 3-2 v Monza.
- History
- Frequent, well-matched Serie B/Serie A opponents rather than one-sided. Recent meetings are low-scoring and tight: 2023/24 Serie A pair saw Lecce win 2-1 at home (Dec 2023) and a 1-1 draw at the Stirpe (Mar 2024); 2021/22 Serie B gave Lecce 1-0 at home and a 0-0 in Frosinone; 2020/21 Serie B had Lecce 3-0 away at Frosinone and a 2-2 in Lecce. Sofascore/FootyStats totals: Lecce 5 wins, 4 draws, Frosinone 1 (Frosinone's only win was the 2014 play-off final, then Lega Pro/Serie B). Overall stature…
- The competition
- Serie A 2026/27 (Italy's top flight, elite standard), Matchday 9, a single league round at Stadio Benito Stirpe — nothing dead about it. Frosinone are the season's surprise: 6th on 14 points after 8 games (4W 2D 2L), level with Juventus, in a tight European-place scrum behind Inter/Napoli/Roma (the table of record above is last season's final one; both clubs are in the current top flight, Lecce in their familiar lower-table role). Lecce sit mid-lower (12th on 9 points before this round per BBC,…
Team news
- Florian Grillitsch — out (mid)
- Kialonda Gaspar — out (def)
- Tiago Gabriel — doubtful (def)
- Santiago Pierotti — out (fwd)
- Ivan Ilic — out (mid)
- Lassana Coulibaly — out (mid)
- Medon Berisha — doubtful (mid)
- Corrie Ndaba — doubtful (def)
- Konan N'Dri — doubtful (fwd)
- Amar Fatah — doubtful (fwd)
Italian Serie A table and leaders
| # | Club | PL | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter | 38 | — | 87 |
| 2 | Napoli | 38 | — | 76 |
| 3 | Roma | 38 | — | 73 |
| 4 | Como | 38 | — | 71 |
| 5 | Milan | 38 | — | 70 |
| 6 | Juventus | 38 | — | 69 |
Top 6 shown · as read when this competition was last scouted.
- 1Lautaro MartínezInter17 goals
- 2Anastasios DouvikasComo14 goals
- 3Doyell MalenRoma14 goals
- 4Marcus ThuramInter13 goals
- 5Nico PazComo12 goals
- 1Federico DimarcoInter16 assists
- 1Jean ButezComo19 clean sheets
- 2Mile SvilarRoma18 clean sheets
Scorers: matchcalendar/FBref final 2025-26 list; assists: FBref season summary; clean sheets: FBref/StatMuse 2025-26 keeper table.
More tips this week
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Frequently asked questions
What is our Frosinone vs Lecce prediction?
We project 2–1. Our model gives Frosinone 56%, the draw 21% and Lecce 23%.
What is the best bet for Frosinone vs Lecce?
Our tip is Full time result · Frosinone at 1.75. This one is implied by the bookmakers' prices rather than published by our engine.
What time does Frosinone vs Lecce kick off?
Frosinone vs Lecce kicks off at Thu 17:30 in the Italian Serie A.
Who is out for Frosinone vs Lecce?
Reported absences: Florian Grillitsch (out), Kialonda Gaspar (out), Tiago Gabriel (doubtful), Santiago Pierotti (out), Ivan Ilic (out), Lassana Coulibaly (out), Medon Berisha (doubtful), Corrie Ndaba (doubtful), Konan N'Dri (doubtful), Amar Fatah (doubtful).
What happened the last time Frosinone vs Lecce met?
Frosinone 1–1 Lecce (2024-03-03 · Serie A). Over their last 6 meetings it is 0 wins for Frosinone, 3 draws and 3 for Lecce.
Are these tips free?
The prediction, the match data and our lead tip are free on every match page. The confidence behind each call — our probability, the edge and the engine's own read — is where a coin is spent.