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German Bundesliga

Hoffenheim vs Leverkusen prediction, tips and odds

Bundesliga's 3.71-goal round meets two leaky defences in Sinsheim, with Leverkusen's forward line down to Schick alone
  • goals fest
  • both score
  • high ceiling
  • league
  • Hoffenheim: high
  • Leverkusen: high
Kick-off
your local time
Competition
German Bundesliga

Our prediction

Hoffenheim
13th · 6 pts
FormW, L, L, W, L

Albian Hajdari (out), Patrick Wimmer (out), Nathan De Cat (out)

Leverkusen
4th · 13 pts
FormW, W, W, D, W

Martin Terrier (out), Eliesse Ben Seghir (out), Christian Kofane (out), Guela Doue (out), Kennet Eichhorn (out), Montrell Culbreath (doubtful)

Our prediction
1–24.1 goals projected
HOF 36%Draw 20%LEV 44%
goals per meeting
3.5goals per meeting
with both teams scoring
5/6with both teams scoring
over 2.5 goals
5/6over 2.5 goals
likeliest half-time score
0–0likeliest half-time score

Our picks

Rating hidden until revealed
  • Goals keep comingOur pickOver 2.5 Goals
    1.37
  • Goals before the breakOur pickOver 0.5 Goals
    Price hidden until revealed
Unlock all tips · 1 coin

How the model sees it

Result probability
HOF 36%Draw 20%LEV 44%
Likeliest scorelines
  • 1–27%
  • 2–27%
  • 1–17%
Projected goals
4.1
Likeliest at half time
0–016%
Competition goals a game
3.71
Competition matches over 2.5
74%
Projected stats
Projected match statistics for Hoffenheim against Leverkusen
StatHOFLEVTotal
Goals1.952.164.1
Expected goals (xG)1.651.773.4
Corners5.155.7410.9

Per ninety minutes. Goals use the fitted goals model. Other stats combine each side’s rate with what its opponent allows, pulled toward the competition’s own average where the sample is thin; cards are anchored to the referee.

Form, head-to-head and trends

Last five
HoffenheimW, L, L, W, L
LeverkusenW, W, W, D, W
How each side’s recent matches have gone
TrendHOFLEV
Over 2.5 goals5/54/5
Both teams scored5/53/5
Clean sheets0/52/5
Failed to score0/50/5
Head-to-head · last 6
2
HOF wins
0
Draws
4
LEV wins
  • WHoffenheim 1–0 Leverkusen2026-01-17 · Bundesliga1 gls
  • WLeverkusen 1–2 Hoffenheim2025-08-23 · Bundesliga3 gls
  • LLeverkusen 3–1 Hoffenheim2025-02-02 · Bundesliga4 gls
  • LHoffenheim 1–4 Leverkusen2024-09-14 · Bundesliga5 gls
  • LLeverkusen 2–1 Hoffenheim2024-03-30 · Bundesliga3 gls
3.5goals per meeting5/6with both teams scoring5/6over 2.5 goals

Match context

  • Showery, ~10-15C in Sinsheim; showers around kickoff, wet pitch possible
Form
Hoffenheim LWWLW in the league (2-0-4, 11:14, 13th): 1-2 win at Gladbach, 2-3 home loss to Hamburg, 1-3 loss at Paderborn, 2-1 win v Stuttgart, 2-3 home loss to Dortmund; they scored in all six. Leverkusen unbeaten in five (4-1-1, 16:9, 4th): 2-1 v Freiburg, 4-3 win at Mainz, 2-…
History
Regular Bundesliga rivals (16+ league meetings, no meaningful cup history). Last six league meetings, most recent first: Jan 2026 Hoffenheim 1-0 Leverkusen (HT 1-0); Aug 2025 Leverkusen 1-2 Hoffenheim; Feb 2025 Leverkusen 3-1 Hoffenheim; Sep 2024 Hoffenheim 1-4 Leverkusen (HT 1-2); Mar 2024 Leverkusen 2-1 Hoffenheim; Nov 2023 Hoffenheim 2-3 Leverkusen (HT 0-2). Leverkusen are historically the bigger club (2024 champions) but Hoffenheim won three of the last five league H2Hs and swept both 2025-…
The competition
German Bundesliga (1st tier, 18 clubs), 2026/27 season, Matchday 7 — an ordinary league round. Leverkusen sit 4th on 13 pts (4-1-1, 16:9) after a 2-1 home win over Freiburg; Hoffenheim are 13th on 6 pts (2-0-4, 11:14) after a 1-2 win at winless Gladbach. Leverkusen are playing to stay in the Champions League places, Hoffenheim to pull clear of the lower-middle scrap. Both played Europa League on 22 Oct (Hoffenheim 3-0 v Lyon at home, Leverkusen 2-0 at OFI Crete), so both are three days off a Eu…

Team news

Hoffenheim
  • Albian Hajdari — out (def)
  • Patrick Wimmer — out (mid)
  • Nathan De Cat — out (mid)
Leverkusen
  • Martin Terrier — out (fwd)
  • Eliesse Ben Seghir — out (fwd)
  • Christian Kofane — out (fwd)
  • Guela Doue — out (def)
  • Kennet Eichhorn — out (mid)
  • Montrell Culbreath — doubtful (unknown)

German Bundesliga table and leaders

German Bundesliga standings
#ClubPLGDPts
1Bayern Munich6—14
2Borussia Dortmund6—14
3SC Freiburg6—13
4Bayer Leverkusen6—13
5Mainz 056—10
11Eintracht Frankfurt6—8

Top 6 shown · as read when this competition was last scouted.

  1. 1Niclas FüllkrugWerder Bremen6 goals
  2. 2Patrik SchickBayer Leverkusen6 goals
  3. 3Phillip TietzMainz 054 goals
  4. 4Jonathan BurkardtEintracht Frankfurt4 goals
  5. 5Michael GregoritschFC Augsburg4 goals
  6. 6Harry KaneBayern München4 goals

ESPN Bundesliga scoring stats (as of 2026-10-25) and SoccerNews top scorers/assists (updated 17 Oct 2026); clean-sheet table not surfaced.

More tips this week

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Model output is a projection, not a guarantee. Prices move; the one shown was available when this page was last built.

Frequently asked questions

What is our Hoffenheim vs Leverkusen prediction?

We project 1–2. Our model gives Hoffenheim 36%, the draw 20% and Leverkusen 44%.

What is the best bet for Hoffenheim vs Leverkusen?

Our tip is Full time · Over 2.5 Goals at 1.37.

What time does Hoffenheim vs Leverkusen kick off?

Hoffenheim vs Leverkusen kicks off at Sun 14:30 in the German Bundesliga.

Who is out for Hoffenheim vs Leverkusen?

Reported absences: Albian Hajdari (out), Patrick Wimmer (out), Nathan De Cat (out), Martin Terrier (out), Eliesse Ben Seghir (out), Christian Kofane (out), Guela Doue (out), Kennet Eichhorn (out), Montrell Culbreath (doubtful).

What happened the last time Hoffenheim vs Leverkusen met?

Hoffenheim 1–0 Leverkusen (2026-01-17 · Bundesliga). Over their last 6 meetings it is 2 wins for Hoffenheim, 0 draws and 4 for Leverkusen.

Are these tips free?

The prediction, the match data and our lead tip are free on every match page. The confidence behind each call — our probability, the edge and the engine's own read — is where a coin is spent.