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US MLS

Los Angeles FC vs Minnesota Utd prediction, tips and odds

LAFC, chasing a top-four seed, host a Minnesota side that may be eliminated with defeat — and one that has conceded 14 goals in five away games.
  • both score
  • high stakes
  • high ceiling
  • league
  • Los Angeles FC: normal
  • Minnesota Utd: must win
Kick-off
your local time
Competition
US MLS

Our prediction

Los Angeles FC
6th · 46 pts
FormD, D, W, D, L

Timothy Tillman (out), Thayllon (out), Yevhen Cheberko (doubtful)

FormW, D, W, D, D

Wil Trapp (out), Peter Stroud (out), Kayne Rizvanovich (out), Alec Smir (doubtful)

Our prediction
1–13.0 goals projected
LOS 55%Draw 23%MIN 22%

De-vigged from the bookmakers — not our model.

goals per meeting
2.2goals per meeting
with both teams scoring
1/6with both teams scoring
over 2.5 goals
1/6over 2.5 goals
likeliest half-time score
0–0likeliest half-time score

Our picks

Rating hidden until revealed
  • Los Angeles FC come throughOur pickLos Angeles FC
    1.81
  • Los Angeles FC avoid defeatOur pickLos Angeles FC starts 1.5 goals ahead
    Price hidden until revealed

Implied by the bookmakers’ own prices, with the margin removed. The engine has not published a read on this match.

How the model sees it

The market's readNot our model
LOS 55%Draw 23%MIN 22%
Likeliest scorelines
  • 1–110%
  • 2–110%
  • 1–010%
Projected goals
3.0
Likeliest at half time
0–026%
Competition goals a game
3.25
Projected stats
Projected match statistics for Los Angeles FC against Minnesota Utd
StatLOSMINTotal
GoalsLeague 1.621.981.033.0
Expected goals (xG)League 1.561.561.493.0
ShotsLeague 13.213.413.526.9
Shots on targetLeague 5.34.874.679.5
CornersLeague 5.05.815.311.1
FoulsLeague 11.811.211.722.9

Per ninety minutes. Goals use the fitted goals model. Other stats combine each side’s rate with what its opponent allows, pulled toward the competition’s own average where the sample is thin; cards are anchored to the referee.

Form, head-to-head and trends

Last five
Los Angeles FCD, D, W, D, L
Minnesota UtdW, D, W, D, D
How each side’s recent matches have gone
TrendLOSMIN
Over 2.5 goals2/54/5
Both teams scored4/54/5
Clean sheets0/51/5
Failed to score1/51/5
Head-to-head · last 6
5
LOS wins
0
Draws
1
MIN wins
  • WMinnesota United 0–1 Los Angeles FC2026-04-25 · MLS Regular Season1 gls
  • WMinnesota United 0–1 Los Angeles FC2025-07-16 · MLS Regular Season1 gls
  • WLos Angeles FC 1–0 Minnesota United2025-02-22 · MLS Regular Season1 gls
  • WLos Angeles FC 2–0 Minnesota United2024-05-29 · MLS Regular Season2 gls
  • LMinnesota United 2–0 Los Angeles FC2024-03-16 · MLS Regular Season2 gls
2.2goals per meeting1/6with both teams scoring1/6over 2.5 goals

Match context

  • LA forecast for Nov 1: mostly sunny, ~70F, very low rain chance, light wind — no weather impact flagged.
Form
LAFC DDLWD... in order: WDDLD? — LAFC last five L D W D D (2-2 Galaxy, 1-1 NYC, 3-1 Austin, 1-1 Vancouver, 0-1 Dallas), unbeaten in four but draw-heavy; Minnesota W D W D D (3-1 SKC, 0-0 Houston, 3-2 St. Louis, 2-2 Colorado, 2-2 Houston), unbeaten in five and scoring freely but…
History
Usual Western Conference rivals: 15 MLS meetings, LAFC 7W-5D-3W (21-16 on goals), and LAFC have won 4 of the last 5, all by clean sheets — MIN 0-1 LAFC (Apr 2026), MIN 0-1 LAFC (Jul 2025), LAFC 1-0 MIN (Feb 2025), LAFC 2-0 MIN (May 2024); the exception was MIN 2-0 at Allianz Field (Mar 2024). Every one of those five was low-scoring (1,1,1,2,2 goals total) with the winner keeping a clean sheet. Stature: LAFC are the bigger-spending, higher-profile club and sit 6th in the West on 47 pts (12-11-9,…
The competition
2026 MLS regular season, Western Conference. This is the penultimate round (Matchday 33 of 34 in the league's 38-week calendar; every club has played 32), with Decision Day on Nov 7 the following weekend — NOT a dead rubber for either side. LAFC sit 6th in the West on 47 pts (12W-11D-9L) and have already clinched a playoff place; they can still climb to 5th (and could push for a top-four seed, which earns two home games in the Round One best-of-3) so there is real incentive. Minnesota are ~12th…

Team news

Los Angeles FC
  • Timothy Tillman — out (mid)
  • Thayllon — out (unknown)
  • Yevhen Cheberko — doubtful (def)
Minnesota Utd
  • Wil Trapp — out (mid)
  • Peter Stroud — out (mid)
  • Kayne Rizvanovich — out (gk)
  • Alec Smir — doubtful (gk)

US MLS table and leaders

US MLS standings
#ClubPLGDPts
1Nashville SC31—70
2New England Revolution31—55
3Inter Miami CF31—55
4Philadelphia Union31—54
5FC Cincinnati31—50
10Columbus Crew31—38

Top 6 shown · as read when this competition was last scouted.

  1. 1Lionel MessiInter Miami CF25 goals
  2. 2Petar MusaFC Dallas19 goals

FOX Sports 2026 goalkeeping/assists stats, ESPN MLS 2026 stats, Wikipedia 2026 MLS season; as of Oct 25, 2026.

18+Bet what you can afford to lose.

Model output is a projection, not a guarantee. Prices move; the one shown was available when this page was last built.

Frequently asked questions

What is our Los Angeles FC vs Minnesota Utd prediction?

We project 1–1. The bookmakers' own prices imply Los Angeles FC 55%, the draw 23% and Minnesota Utd 22%.

What is the best bet for Los Angeles FC vs Minnesota Utd?

Our tip is Full time result · Los Angeles FC at 1.81. This one is implied by the bookmakers' prices rather than published by our engine.

What time does Los Angeles FC vs Minnesota Utd kick off?

Los Angeles FC vs Minnesota Utd kicks off at Mon 01:30 in the US MLS.

Who is out for Los Angeles FC vs Minnesota Utd?

Reported absences: Timothy Tillman (out), Thayllon (out), Yevhen Cheberko (doubtful), Wil Trapp (out), Peter Stroud (out), Kayne Rizvanovich (out), Alec Smir (doubtful).

What happened the last time Los Angeles FC vs Minnesota Utd met?

Minnesota United 0–1 Los Angeles FC (2026-04-25 · MLS Regular Season). Over their last 6 meetings it is 5 wins for Los Angeles FC, 0 draws and 1 for Minnesota Utd.

Are these tips free?

The prediction, the match data and our lead tip are free on every match page. The confidence behind each call — our probability, the edge and the engine's own read — is where a coin is spent.