Portland Timbers vs Houston Dynamo prediction, tips and odds
- goals fest
- weakened side
- high stakes
- rotation risk
- league
- Portland Timbers: must win
- Houston Dynamo: high
- Kick-off
- your local time
- Competition
- US MLS
Our prediction
Kamal Miller (out), Jimer Fory (out), Finn Surman (doubtful), Juan Mosquera (out), Brandon Bye (out), Antony (doubtful), Trey Muse (out)
Guilherme (doubtful), Hector Herrera (doubtful), Jimmy Maurer (out)
De-vigged from the bookmakers — not our model.
- goals per meeting
- 3.2goals per meeting
- with both teams scoring
- 4/6with both teams scoring
- over 2.5 goals
- 4/6over 2.5 goals
- likeliest half-time score
- 0–0likeliest half-time score
Our picks
- Portland Timbers come throughOur pickPortland Timbers1.80
- Goals stay downOur pickUnder 5.5 GoalsPrice hidden until revealed
Implied by the bookmakers’ own prices, with the margin removed. The engine has not published a read on this match.
How the model sees it
- 1–110%
- 1–010%
- 2–110%
- Projected goals
- 2.9
- Likeliest at half time
- 0–027%
- Competition goals a game
- 3.25
| Stat | POR | HOU | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| GoalsLeague 1.62 | 1.91 | 1.0 | 2.9 |
| Expected goals (xG)League 1.56 | 1.46 | 1.18 | 2.6 |
| ShotsLeague 13.2 | 13.1 | 13.0 | 26.1 |
| Shots on targetLeague 5.3 | 4.51 | 4.52 | 9.0 |
| CornersLeague 5.0 | 4.83 | 4.89 | 9.7 |
| FoulsLeague 11.8 | 11.4 | 10.9 | 22.4 |
Per ninety minutes. Goals use the fitted goals model. Other stats combine each side’s rate with what its opponent allows, pulled toward the competition’s own average where the sample is thin; cards are anchored to the referee.
Form, head-to-head and trends
| Trend | POR | HOU |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 3/5 | 3/5 |
| Both teams scored | 3/5 | 3/5 |
| Clean sheets | 1/5 | 2/5 |
| Failed to score | 2/5 | 1/5 |
- LHouston Dynamo 3–2 Portland Timbers2026-03-14 · MLS regular season5 gls
- LHouston Dynamo 1–0 Portland Timbers2025-09-20 · MLS regular season1 gls
- WPortland Timbers 3–1 Houston Dynamo2025-03-30 · MLS regular season4 gls
- DPortland Timbers 2–2 Houston Dynamo2024-06-01 · MLS regular season4 gls
- LHouston Dynamo 1–0 Portland Timbers2024-03-17 · MLS regular season1 gls
Match context
- Clear and cold at Providence Park: ~46-51F at kickoff, 0% rain, near-calm wind (mysportsweather.com)
- Form
- Portland WWDLD in last five (win at St. Louis 3-2, 3-2 over Charlotte, 0-0 Colorado, 0-2 at LA Galaxy, 3-3 at SKC) — high-scoring but leaky. Houston unbeaten in five: W at Seattle 1-0 (HT 1-0), 0-0 Minnesota, 2-2 Dallas, 3-3 at San Diego, 2-2 at Minnesota — tight defence in the…
- History
- Two long-standing MLS Western Conference clubs who meet 2-3 times a year; 31 meetings since 2011 (Houston 11 wins, 11 draws, Portland 11 — near-even overall). Recent league H2H leans Houston: 2026 HOU 3-2 (HT 0-1), 2025 HOU 1-0 (HT 1-0) and POR 3-1 (HT 2-1), 2024 POR 2-2 (HT 1-1) and HOU 1-0 (HT 1-0), 2023 POR 1-3 (HT 0-1). Portland have won only once in the last six league meetings. Stature: near-equals by history, but in 2026 Houston are the better side (5th West, 48 pts at 31 games) while Po…
- The competition
- MLS 2026 (USA/Canada top flight, fully professional second-rank league, grade 2), late-stage regular season — this is Round 33, the Timbers' penultimate home fixture (last league match follows at Austin on Nov 7) as the regular season runs to Decision Day. Portland sit mid-table in the West (11th, 37 pts from 31 per results pages) with a playoff place realistically out of reach and nothing but pride/positioning left. Houston are 5th in the West on 48 pts (41/39) and have already clinched a play…
Team news
- Kamal Miller — out (def)
- Jimer Fory — out (def)
- Finn Surman — doubtful (def)
- Juan Mosquera — out (def)
- Brandon Bye — out (def)
- Antony — doubtful (fwd)
- Trey Muse — out (gk)
- Guilherme — doubtful (mid)
- Hector Herrera — doubtful (mid)
- Jimmy Maurer — out (gk)
US MLS table and leaders
| # | Club | PL | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 31 | — | 70 |
| 2 | New England Revolution | 31 | — | 55 |
| 3 | Inter Miami CF | 31 | — | 55 |
| 4 | Philadelphia Union | 31 | — | 54 |
| 5 | FC Cincinnati | 31 | — | 50 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew | 31 | — | 38 |
Top 6 shown · as read when this competition was last scouted.
- 1Lionel MessiInter Miami CF25 goals
- 2Petar MusaFC Dallas19 goals
- 1Son Heung-minLos Angeles FC15 assists
- 2Anders DreyerSan Diego FC14 assists
- 3Cristian EspinozaNashville SC13 assists
- 1Brian SchwakeNashville SC14 clean sheets
- 2Yohei TakaokaVancouver Whitecaps FC12 clean sheets
FOX Sports 2026 goalkeeping/assists stats, ESPN MLS 2026 stats, Wikipedia 2026 MLS season; as of Oct 25, 2026.
More tips this week
- New England Revolution vs Inter Miami CF · Half time · Under 2.5 Goals1.30
- Los Angeles FC vs Minnesota Utd · Los Angeles FC starts 1 goal ahead1.10
- Guastatoya vs Coban Imperial · Full time · Under 4.5 Goals1.12
- SV Deportivo vs RC Aruba · Full time result · RC Aruba1.29
- Cruz Azul vs Leon · Full time result · Cruz Azul1.78
- Santa Fe vs Once Caldas · Full time · Under 3.5 Goals1.36
Frequently asked questions
What is our Portland Timbers vs Houston Dynamo prediction?
We project 1–1. The bookmakers' own prices imply Portland Timbers 54%, the draw 24% and Houston Dynamo 22%.
What is the best bet for Portland Timbers vs Houston Dynamo?
Our tip is Full time result · Portland Timbers at 1.80. This one is implied by the bookmakers' prices rather than published by our engine.
What time does Portland Timbers vs Houston Dynamo kick off?
Portland Timbers vs Houston Dynamo kicks off at Mon 02:45 in the US MLS.
Who is out for Portland Timbers vs Houston Dynamo?
Reported absences: Kamal Miller (out), Jimer Fory (out), Finn Surman (doubtful), Juan Mosquera (out), Brandon Bye (out), Antony (doubtful), Trey Muse (out), Guilherme (doubtful), Hector Herrera (doubtful), Jimmy Maurer (out).
What happened the last time Portland Timbers vs Houston Dynamo met?
Houston Dynamo 3–2 Portland Timbers (2026-03-14 · MLS regular season). Over their last 6 meetings it is 1 wins for Portland Timbers, 1 draw and 4 for Houston Dynamo.
Are these tips free?
The prediction, the match data and our lead tip are free on every match page. The confidence behind each call — our probability, the edge and the engine's own read — is where a coin is spent.