RB Leipzig vs Man City prediction, tips and odds
- goals fest
- both score
- high ceiling
- early goal
- high stakes
- league
- RB Leipzig: high
- Man City: high
- Kick-off
- your local time
- Competition
- UEFA Champions League
- Referee
- Marco Guida
- 3.9 cards a game
Our prediction
Marc Guiu (out), Assan Ouédraogo (out), Max Finkgräfe (out), Leopold Zingerle (out), Christopher Nkunku (doubtful), Maxime Estève (doubtful)
Antoine Semenyo (out), John Stones (out), Nathan Aké (doubtful), Jérémy Doku (doubtful)
De-vigged from the bookmakers — not our model.
- goals per meeting
- 5.4goals per meeting
- with both teams scoring
- 4/5with both teams scoring
- over 2.5 goals
- 4/5over 2.5 goals
- likeliest half-time score
- 0–1likeliest half-time score
Our picks
- Man City come throughOur pickMan City1.59
- Erling HaalandOur pickErling HaalandPrice hidden until revealed
Implied by the bookmakers’ own prices, with the margin removed. The engine has not published a read on this match.
How the model sees it
- 1–29%
- 1–18%
- 0–28%
- Projected goals
- 3.6
- Likeliest at half time
- 0–121%
- Competition goals a game
- 3.47
| Stat | RB | MAN | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| GoalsLeague 1.74 | 1.22 | 2.42 | 3.6 |
| Expected goals (xG)League 1.61 | 1.65 | 1.75 | 3.4 |
| CornersLeague 4.9 | 4.76 | 5.7 | 10.5 |
| Cards | 1.85 | 2.08 | 3.9 |
| Fouls | 12.4 | 12.3 | 24.7 |
Per ninety minutes. Goals use the fitted goals model. Other stats combine each side’s rate with what its opponent allows, pulled toward the competition’s own average where the sample is thin; cards are anchored to the referee.
Form, head-to-head and trends
| Trend | RB | MAN |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 4/5 | 4/5 |
| Both teams scored | 3/5 | 4/5 |
| Clean sheets | 2/5 | 0/5 |
| Failed to score | 0/5 | 1/5 |
- LMan City 3–2 RB Leipzig2023-11-28 · UEFA Champions League group stage5 gls
- LRB Leipzig 1–3 Man City2023-10-04 · UEFA Champions League group stage4 gls
- LMan City 7–0 RB Leipzig2023-03-14 · UEFA Champions League round of 16 second leg7 gls
- DRB Leipzig 1–1 Man City2023-02-22 · UEFA Champions League round of 16 first leg2 gls
- LMan City 6–3 RB Leipzig2021-09-15 · UEFA Champions League group stage9 gls
Match context
- Cold, dry evening in Leipzig (~9C, partly cloudy, ~10-12 mph wind); no source flagged conditions as material.
- Form
- Leipzig WLWWL (Schalke 2-0, Essen 2-1, Elversberg 4-0, then 1-4 at Real Madrid and 1-6 at Bayern) — scoring freely at home but hammered away by elite sides; Man City LLDWW (0-1 Brighton, 2-2 Brighton in cup, 1-2 Villa, 5-1 AEK, 3-2 Ipswich) — wins but leaking goals, no clean she…
- History
- All six meetings have come in the Champions League since 2021 (no other competitions): City won 4, Leipzig 1, one draw. Most recent: Man City 3-2 Leipzig (28 Nov 2023, City came from 0-2 down, Openda scoring twice before the break). Before that Leipzig 1-3 City (Oct 2023), City 7-0 Leipzig at the Etihad (Mar 2023, agg 8-1, HT 3-0), Leipzig 1-1 City (Feb 2023 R16 first leg, 0-0 at HT), and Leipzig 2-1 City (2021-22 group second leg), City 6-3 Leipzig (Sep 2021, HT 3-1). No league meetings exist.…
- The competition
- UEFA Champions League 2026/27 league phase, matchday 4 of 8 (36 teams, one table). RB Leipzig sit 30th with 3 pts from 3 games (1W 2L, 3-8), inside the elimination zone and badly in need of points to keep knockout play-off hopes alive. Man City are 10th on 6 pts (2W 1L, 9-5), three points off the top eight and chasing direct round-of-16 qualification. Both league positions come from live 2026/27 league-phase tables (the on-file 8-game table is a different snapshot); this is a group-stage league…
- Referee cards
- 3.9a game
- RB Leipzig cards
- 1.2a game
Team news
- Marc Guiu — out (fwd)
- Assan Ouédraogo — out (mid)
- Max Finkgräfe — out (def)
- Leopold Zingerle — out (gk)
- Christopher Nkunku — doubtful (fwd)
- Maxime Estève — doubtful (def)
- Antoine Semenyo — out (fwd)
- John Stones — out (def)
- Nathan Aké — doubtful (def)
- Jérémy Doku — doubtful (fwd)
UEFA Champions League table and leaders
| # | Club | PL | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 8 | — | 24 |
| 2 | Bayern München | 8 | — | 21 |
| 3 | Liverpool | 8 | — | 18 |
| 4 | Tottenham Hotspur | 8 | — | 17 |
| 5 | Barcelona | 8 | — | 16 |
| 6 | Chelsea | 8 | — | 16 |
Top 6 shown · as read when this competition was last scouted.
- 1Kylian MbappéReal Madrid15 goals
- 2Harry KaneBayern München14 goals
- 3Khvicha KvaratskheliaParis Saint-Germain10 goals
- 4Julián ÁlvarezAtlético Madrid10 goals
- 5Anthony GordonNewcastle United10 goals
- 1Michael OliseBayern München6 assists
- 2Achraf HakimiParis Saint-Germain6 assists
- 3Khvicha KvaratskheliaParis Saint-Germain6 assists
- 4Vinícius JúniorReal Madrid5 assists
- 5Serge GnabryBayern München5 assists
- 1David RayaArsenal9 clean sheets
- 2Guglielmo VicarioTottenham Hotspur6 clean sheets
- 3AlissonLiverpool4 clean sheets
- 4Nick PopeNewcastle United4 clean sheets
- 5Thibaut CourtoisReal Madrid4 clean sheets
Top scorers/assists: UEFA.com season stats, ESPN, StatMuse and BeSoccer (whole 2025/26 campaign). Clean sheets: StatMuse keeper table, season end.
More UEFA Champions League tips this weekend
- Fenerbahce vs Liverpool · Full time result · Liverpool1.53
- AEK Athens vs Real Madrid · Full time result · Real Madrid1.22
- Slavia Prague vs Arsenal · Full time result · Arsenal1.26
- Dortmund vs Betis · Full time result · Dortmund1.78
- Lens vs Como · Full time · Under 5.5 Goals1.10
- PSV vs Club Brugge · PSV starts 1 goal ahead1.20
Frequently asked questions
What is our RB Leipzig vs Man City prediction?
We project 1–2. The bookmakers' own prices imply RB Leipzig 17%, the draw 20% and Man City 63%.
What is the best bet for RB Leipzig vs Man City?
Our tip is Full time result · Man City at 1.59. This one is implied by the bookmakers' prices rather than published by our engine.
What time does RB Leipzig vs Man City kick off?
RB Leipzig vs Man City kicks off at Wed 20:00 in the UEFA Champions League.
Who is out for RB Leipzig vs Man City?
Reported absences: Marc Guiu (out), Assan Ouédraogo (out), Max Finkgräfe (out), Leopold Zingerle (out), Christopher Nkunku (doubtful), Maxime Estève (doubtful), Antoine Semenyo (out), John Stones (out), Nathan Aké (doubtful), Jérémy Doku (doubtful).
What happened the last time RB Leipzig vs Man City met?
Man City 3–2 RB Leipzig (2023-11-28 · UEFA Champions League group stage). Over their last 5 meetings it is 0 wins for RB Leipzig, 1 draw and 4 for Man City.
Are these tips free?
The prediction, the match data and our lead tip are free on every match page. The confidence behind each call — our probability, the edge and the engine's own read — is where a coin is spent.