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US MLS

Real Salt Lake vs St Louis City SC prediction, tips and odds

Must-win RSL, missing playmaker Diego Luna for the season, host a St. Louis side that won the US Open Cup after 120 minutes three days ago
  • high stakes
  • both score
  • weakened side
  • goals fest
  • league
  • Real Salt Lake: must win
  • St Louis City SC: normal
Kick-off
your local time
Competition
US MLS

Our prediction

Real Salt Lake
10th · 36 pts
FormW, L, W, L

Diego Luna (out), Justen Glad (out), Lukas Engel (doubtful), Emeka Eneli (doubtful), Luc de Fougerolles (doubtful)

St Louis City SC
2nd · 51 pts
FormL, D, W

Chris Durkin (doubtful), Célio Pompeu (out)

Our prediction
1–12.9 goals projected
REA 43%Draw 25%ST 32%
goals per meeting
3.5goals per meeting
with both teams scoring
6/6with both teams scoring
over 2.5 goals
4/6over 2.5 goals
likeliest half-time score
0–0likeliest half-time score

Our picks

Rating hidden until revealed
  • St Louis City SC keep it closeOur pickSt Louis City SC starts 2.5 goals ahead
    1.14
  • Goals stay downOur pickUnder 5.5 Goals
    Price hidden until revealed

How the model sees it

Result probability
REA 43%Draw 25%ST 32%
Likeliest scorelines
  • 1–111%
  • 2–19%
  • 1–09%
Projected goals
2.9
Likeliest at half time
0–027%
Competition goals a game
3.25
Competition matches over 2.5
64%
Projected stats
Projected match statistics for Real Salt Lake against St Louis City SC
StatREAST Total
Goals1.591.312.9
Expected goals (xG)1.631.413.0
Corners4.815.5810.4

Per ninety minutes. Goals use the fitted goals model. Other stats combine each side’s rate with what its opponent allows, pulled toward the competition’s own average where the sample is thin; cards are anchored to the referee.

Form, head-to-head and trends

Last five
Real Salt LakeW, L, W, L
St Louis City SCL, D, W
How each side’s recent matches have gone
TrendREAST
Over 2.5 goals3/42/3
Both teams scored2/41/3
Clean sheets1/42/3
Failed to score1/41/3
Head-to-head · last 6
3
REA wins
3
Draws
0
ST wins
  • DSt. Louis City SC 1–1 Real Salt Lake2026-08-01 · MLS Regular Season2 gls
  • DSt. Louis City SC 2–2 Real Salt Lake2025-10-18 · MLS Regular Season4 gls
  • WReal Salt Lake 3–2 St. Louis City SC2025-07-05 · MLS Regular Season5 gls
  • WReal Salt Lake 3–1 St. Louis City SC2024-03-30 · MLS Regular Season4 gls
  • DSt. Louis City SC 1–1 Real Salt Lake2024-02-24 · MLS Regular Season2 gls
3.5goals per meeting6/6with both teams scoring4/6over 2.5 goals

Match context

Form
RSL W-L-W-L over their last four (3-1 at SKC, 1-2 at Philadelphia, 3-0 v New England, 0-2 at Seattle), 45/48 season goals; St. Louis L-D-W (3-2 loss at Minnesota, 0-0 v Vancouver, 3-0 at NYRB), 56/41 season, after a club-record ~19-game MLS unbeaten run.
History
All 7 MLS meetings (2023-2026) are near-even: RSL 3 wins, 3 draws, STL 1 win (13-12 goals to RSL). STL's only win was the very first meeting (4-0 in Salt Lake, Mar 2023) since when they have not beaten RSL. Recent five: all featured goals for both, with three draws (1-1 Feb 2024 in St. Louis, 2-2 Oct 2025 in St. Louis, 1-1 Aug 2026 in St. Louis) and RSL home wins 3-1 and 3-2. Stature: STL are 2nd in the West on 51 pts in 2026 and just won the 2026 US Open Cup; RSL are a traditional big-spending…
The competition
MLS 2026 regular season (30-team US top flight, Eastern/Western conferences), final stretch — a Round 31 fixture. St. Louis CITY SC sit 2nd in the Western Conference on 51 pts (14-9-7, GF 56/GA 41) and have already clinched a playoff berth (plus a 2027 Concacaf Champions Cup spot via their U.S. Open Cup title on Oct 21); RSL are 10th on 36 pts (10-6-14, GF 45/GA 48) and still scrapping for a playoff place. So STL's league stakes are limited (seeding), RSL's are large.

Team news

Real Salt Lake
  • Diego Luna — out (mid)
  • Justen Glad — out (def)
  • Lukas Engel — doubtful (def)
  • Emeka Eneli — doubtful (mid)
  • Luc de Fougerolles — doubtful (def)
St Louis City SC
  • Chris Durkin — doubtful (mid)
  • Célio Pompeu — out (fwd)

US MLS table

US MLS standings
#ClubPLGDPts
1Vancouver Whitecaps30—55
2St. Louis City SC30—51
3FC Dallas30—51
10Real Salt Lake30—36
11Portland Timbers30—34
15Sporting Kansas City30—22

as read when this competition was last scouted.

18+Bet what you can afford to lose.

Model output is a projection, not a guarantee. Prices move; the one shown was available when this page was last built.

Frequently asked questions

What is our Real Salt Lake vs St Louis City SC prediction?

We project 1–1. Our model gives Real Salt Lake 43%, the draw 25% and St Louis City SC 32%.

What is the best bet for Real Salt Lake vs St Louis City SC?

Our tip is St Louis City SC starts 2.5 goals ahead at 1.14.

What time does Real Salt Lake vs St Louis City SC kick off?

Real Salt Lake vs St Louis City SC kicks off at Sun 01:30 in the US MLS.

Who is out for Real Salt Lake vs St Louis City SC?

Reported absences: Diego Luna (out), Justen Glad (out), Lukas Engel (doubtful), Emeka Eneli (doubtful), Luc de Fougerolles (doubtful), Chris Durkin (doubtful), Célio Pompeu (out).

What happened the last time Real Salt Lake vs St Louis City SC met?

St. Louis City SC 1–1 Real Salt Lake (2026-08-01 · MLS Regular Season). Over their last 6 meetings it is 3 wins for Real Salt Lake, 3 draws and 0 for St Louis City SC.

Are these tips free?

The prediction, the match data and our lead tip are free on every match page. The confidence behind each call — our probability, the edge and the engine's own read — is where a coin is spent.