Shakhtar vs Sporting Lisbon prediction, tips and odds
- high ceiling
- one sided
- no strong shape
- league
- Shakhtar: high
- Sporting Lisbon: high
- Kick-off
- your local time
- Competition
- UEFA Champions League
- Referee
- Ivan Kružliak (SVK)
- 4.9 cards a game
Our prediction
Zeno Debast (doubtful), Nuno Santos (out), Rodrigo Zalazar (doubtful), Nestory Irankunda (doubtful)
De-vigged from the bookmakers — not our model.
- goals per meeting
- 1.0goals per meeting
- with both teams scoring
- 0/2with both teams scoring
- over 2.5 goals
- 0/2over 2.5 goals
- likeliest half-time score
- 0–0likeliest half-time score
Our picks
- Sporting Lisbon come throughOur pickSporting Lisbon2.10
- Goals stay downOur pickUnder 5.5 GoalsPrice hidden until revealed
Implied by the bookmakers’ own prices, with the margin removed. The engine has not published a read on this match.
How the model sees it
- 1–112%
- 0–112%
- 1–29%
- Projected goals
- 2.6
- Likeliest at half time
- 0–031%
- Competition goals a game
- 3.47
| Stat | SHA | SPO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| GoalsLeague 1.74 | 1.05 | 1.55 | 2.6 |
| Expected goals (xG) | 1.06 | 1.38 | 2.4 |
| Corners | 4.17 | 4.03 | 8.2 |
Per ninety minutes. Goals use the fitted goals model. Other stats combine each side’s rate with what its opponent allows, pulled toward the competition’s own average where the sample is thin; cards are anchored to the referee.
Form, head-to-head and trends
| Trend | SHA | SPO |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 2/5 | 3/5 |
| Both teams scored | 1/5 | 3/5 |
| Clean sheets | 3/5 | 2/5 |
| Failed to score | 2/5 | 0/5 |
- LSporting CP 1–0 Shakhtar Donetsk2008-11-04 · UEFA Champions League group stage1 gls
- LShakhtar Donetsk 0–1 Sporting CP2008-10-22 · UEFA Champions League group stage1 gls
Match context
- Form
- Shakhtar WWDWL (last: 2-0 Obolon, 3-0 Dynamo in the cup) but low-scoring — three of five under 2.5, two 0-0/1-0-type games, no HT goals in two of three stated halves. Sporting WLWLW: 2-0 Casa Pia, 2-1 Marítimo, but 1-2 at home to Académico Viseu and 2-3 at home to LASK — concedi…
- History
- Only two competitive meetings ever: both in the 2008-09 Champions League group stage, both won 1-0 by Sporting (Shakhtar 0-1 Sporting in Donetsk, 22 Oct 2008; Sporting 1-0 Shakhtar in Lisbon, 4 Nov 2008) — both 0-0 at half-time, both decided by a single late goal (Liedson 76', Derlei 73'). That is slim and 18 years old, so little predictive weight; the names don't carry recent rivalry. Stature: Sporting are the stronger side now (3rd in Primeira Liga, 6 pts after 3 CL games, tipped favourites),…
- The competition
- UEFA Champions League 2026/27, 36-team league phase, matchday 4 of 8 (3 Nov 2026) — an ordinary single league-phase round, no knockout leg. Table on file is after 8 rounds of last season's phase and is the reference for standing: Sporting CP listed 7th (P8, 16 pts), Shakhtar not in the top 24 shown. Current 2026/27 phase form: Sporting opened W (3-1 Galatasaray), W (2-0 at Lens), then lost 2-3 at home to LASK — 6 pts from 3; Shakhtar drew 1-1 at PSV, beat AEK 3-1 at home, lost 0-1 at Inter — 4…
- Referee cards
- 4.9a game
- Shakhtar cards
- 2.2a game
- Sporting Lisbon cards
- 2.0a game
Team news
- Pedrinho — out (fwd)
- Eguinaldo — out (fwd)
- Marlon Santos — out (mid)
- Zeno Debast — doubtful (def)
- Nuno Santos — out (def)
- Rodrigo Zalazar — doubtful (mid)
- Nestory Irankunda — doubtful (fwd)
UEFA Champions League table and leaders
| # | Club | PL | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 8 | — | 24 |
| 2 | Bayern Munich | 8 | — | 21 |
| 3 | Liverpool | 8 | — | 18 |
| 4 | Tottenham Hotspur | 8 | — | 17 |
| 5 | Barcelona | 8 | — | 16 |
| 6 | Chelsea | 8 | — | 16 |
Top 6 shown · as read when this competition was last scouted.
- 1Kylian MbappéReal Madrid15 goals
- 2Harry KaneBayern München14 goals
- 3Julián ÁlvarezAtlético Madrid10 goals
- 4Anthony GordonNewcastle United10 goals
- 5Khvicha KvaratskheliaParis Saint-Germain10 goals
- 1Michael OliseBayern München8 assists
- 2Vinícius JúniorReal Madrid8 assists
- 3Achraf HakimiParis Saint-Germain6 assists
- 4Khvicha KvaratskheliaParis Saint-Germain6 assists
- 5Leandro TrossardArsenal5 assists
- 6Antoine GriezmannAtlético Madrid5 assists
- 1David RayaArsenal9 clean sheets
- 2Guglielmo VicarioTottenham Hotspur6 clean sheets
- 3Anatoliy TrubinBenfica4 clean sheets
UEFA.com season stats + top scorer/assist articles; clean sheets via UEFA/Fox Sports keeper table
More UEFA Champions League tips this weekend
- Galatasaray vs Stuttgart · Half time · Under 3.5 Goals1.08
- LASK Linz vs Slovan Bratislava · Full time result · LASK Linz1.42
- Atletico Madrid vs Bayern Munich · Half time · Under 3.5 Goals1.06
- Feyenoord vs Inter · Half time · Under 2.5 Goals1.25
- Man Utd vs Roma · Roma · Draw no bet2.24
- Bodo Glimt vs Lille · Full time · Under 5.5 Goals1.12
Frequently asked questions
What is our Shakhtar vs Sporting Lisbon prediction?
We project 1–1. The bookmakers' own prices imply Shakhtar 27%, the draw 26% and Sporting Lisbon 47%.
What is the best bet for Shakhtar vs Sporting Lisbon?
Our tip is Full time result · Sporting Lisbon at 2.10. This one is implied by the bookmakers' prices rather than published by our engine.
What time does Shakhtar vs Sporting Lisbon kick off?
Shakhtar vs Sporting Lisbon kicks off at Tue 17:45 in the UEFA Champions League.
Who is out for Shakhtar vs Sporting Lisbon?
Reported absences: Pedrinho (out), Eguinaldo (out), Marlon Santos (out), Zeno Debast (doubtful), Nuno Santos (out), Rodrigo Zalazar (doubtful), Nestory Irankunda (doubtful).
What happened the last time Shakhtar vs Sporting Lisbon met?
Sporting CP 1–0 Shakhtar Donetsk (2008-11-04 · UEFA Champions League group stage). Over their last 2 meetings it is 0 wins for Shakhtar, 0 draws and 2 for Sporting Lisbon.
Are these tips free?
The prediction, the match data and our lead tip are free on every match page. The confidence behind each call — our probability, the edge and the engine's own read — is where a coin is spent.