Toronto FC vs DC Utd prediction, tips and odds
- league
- Toronto FC: must win
- DC Utd: must win
- Kick-off
- your local time
- Competition
- US MLS
Our prediction
Nelson Palacio (out), Walker Zimmerman (doubtful), Luka Gavran (doubtful), Franklin (out), Gomis (doubtful)
- goals per meeting
- 3.3goals per meeting
- with both teams scoring
- 5/6with both teams scoring
- over 2.5 goals
- 5/6over 2.5 goals
- likeliest half-time score
- 0–0likeliest half-time score
Our picks
- Toronto FC come throughOur pickToronto FC1.98
- Goals keep comingOur pickOver 1.5 GoalsPrice hidden until revealed
Implied by the bookmakers’ own prices, with the margin removed. The engine has not published a read on this match.
How the model sees it
- 2–19%
- 1–18%
- 2–27%
- Projected goals
- 3.6
- Likeliest at half time
- 0–019%
- Competition goals a game
- 3.25
| Stat | TOR | DC | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| GoalsLeague 1.62 | 2.17 | 1.47 | 3.6 |
| Expected goals (xG)League 1.56 | 1.42 | 1.58 | 3.0 |
| Shots on targetLeague 5.3 | 5.08 | 5.46 | 10.5 |
| CornersLeague 5.0 | 5.29 | 5.33 | 10.6 |
Per ninety minutes. Goals use the fitted goals model. Other stats combine each side’s rate with what its opponent allows, pulled toward the competition’s own average where the sample is thin; cards are anchored to the referee.
Form, head-to-head and trends
| Trend | TOR | DC |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 3/5 | 3/5 |
| Both teams scored | 3/5 | 3/5 |
| Clean sheets | 1/5 | 1/5 |
| Failed to score | 1/5 | 2/5 |
- LDC United 2–1 Toronto FC2026-07-25 · MLS regular season3 gls
- WToronto FC 2–0 DC United2025-05-10 · MLS regular season2 gls
- DDC United 2–2 Toronto FC2025-02-22 · MLS regular season4 gls
- LToronto FC 1–3 DC United2024-08-31 · MLS regular season4 gls
- DDC United 2–2 Toronto FC2024-06-01 · MLS regular season4 gls
Match context
- Forecast at BMO Field: partly cloudy night, 54F, 1% precipitation, wind 5 mph (RotoWire)
- Form
- Toronto FC W-D-W-L across their last four (2-0 at RBNY, 3-3 v Orlando, 2-1 v Montréal, 4-2 loss at Columbus) — scoring freely but leaking goals; DC United L-L-L-L, conceding 2, 2 and 4 in their latest three and scoring just once.
- History
- Near-equals in record but not in stature: Toronto FC have the bigger profile (2017 MLS Cup/double winners) yet in 2026 both are mid-to-lower table (TFC 11th, 36 pts; DCU 13th, 33 pts per BBC). Recent league meetings are tight and low-scoring at home for TFC: DCU 2-1 TFC (Jul 2026), TFC 2-0 DCU (May 2025), DCU 2-2 TFC (Feb 2025), TFC 1-3 DCU (Aug 2024), DCU 2-2 TFC (Jun 2024), TFC 2-1 DCU (May 2023). All MLS regular season; no cup/neutral meetings in the sample. Three of the last five meetings p…
- The competition
- MLS 2026 regular season, matchday 32 (of 34) — an ordinary late-season Eastern Conference round, not a playoff or cup tie. DC United (13th in the East, 33 pts from 31) have lost three straight and sit below the wild-card line, so only a slim mathematical playoff hope remains. Toronto FC are 11th on 36 pts with 48 goals for/59 against and are still chasing the Eastern Conference's final wild-card spot, so this is close to must-win for them. Both sides are in the bottom half of the table (per the…
Team news
- Nelson Palacio — out (mid)
- Walker Zimmerman — doubtful (def)
- Luka Gavran — doubtful (gk)
- Franklin — out (def)
- Gomis — doubtful (unknown)
No absences reported.
US MLS table and leaders
| # | Club | PL | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 31 | — | 70 |
| 2 | New England Revolution | 31 | — | 55 |
| 3 | Inter Miami CF | 31 | — | 55 |
| 4 | Philadelphia Union | 31 | — | 54 |
| 5 | FC Cincinnati | 31 | — | 50 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew | 31 | — | 38 |
Top 6 shown · as read when this competition was last scouted.
- 1Lionel MessiInter Miami CF25 goals
- 2Petar MusaFC Dallas19 goals
- 1Son Heung-minLos Angeles FC15 assists
- 2Anders DreyerSan Diego FC14 assists
- 3Cristian EspinozaNashville SC13 assists
- 1Brian SchwakeNashville SC14 clean sheets
- 2Yohei TakaokaVancouver Whitecaps FC12 clean sheets
FOX Sports 2026 goalkeeping/assists stats, ESPN MLS 2026 stats, Wikipedia 2026 MLS season; as of Oct 25, 2026.
More tips this week
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- Charlotte FC vs CF Montreal · Full time result · Charlotte FC1.59
- New England Revolution vs New York Red Bulls · Half time · Under 2.5 Goals1.24
- New York City vs Atlanta Utd · Full time · Over 1.5 Goals1.19
- Khaan Khuns Erchim vs Ulaangom City FC · Full time result · Khaan Khuns Erchim1.56
- Kedah FA U20 vs Penang FC U20 · Full time result · Kedah FA U201.93
Frequently asked questions
What is our Toronto FC vs DC Utd prediction?
We project 2–1. Our model gives Toronto FC 53%, the draw 21% and DC Utd 26%.
What is the best bet for Toronto FC vs DC Utd?
Our tip is Full time result · Toronto FC at 1.98. This one is implied by the bookmakers' prices rather than published by our engine.
What time does Toronto FC vs DC Utd kick off?
Toronto FC vs DC Utd kicks off at Wed 23:30 in the US MLS.
Who is out for Toronto FC vs DC Utd?
Reported absences: Nelson Palacio (out), Walker Zimmerman (doubtful), Luka Gavran (doubtful), Franklin (out), Gomis (doubtful), Sean Johnson (out), Louis Munteanu (out), Hosei Kijima (doubtful), Jackson Hopkins (doubtful).
What happened the last time Toronto FC vs DC Utd met?
DC United 2–1 Toronto FC (2026-07-25 · MLS regular season). Over their last 6 meetings it is 2 wins for Toronto FC, 2 draws and 2 for DC Utd.
Are these tips free?
The prediction, the match data and our lead tip are free on every match page. The confidence behind each call — our probability, the edge and the engine's own read — is where a coin is spent.