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Italian Serie A

Venezia vs Inter Milan prediction, tips and odds

Unbeaten Inter, scoring in 23 straight games, head to bottom-placed Venezia without captain Lautaro Martinez and with the Milan derby three days later
  • goals fest
  • high ceiling
  • one sided
  • high stakes
  • weakened side
  • league
  • Venezia: high
  • Inter Milan: high
Kick-off
your local time
Competition
Italian Serie A

Our prediction

FormL, W, L, L, L

Bartol Franjic (out), Marin Sverko (out), Thierry Correia (out), Andrea Adorante (out), Gianluca Busio (doubtful)

Inter Milan
1st · 87 pts
FormW, W, W, D, W

Lautaro Martinez (out), Benjamin Pavard (out), John Stones (out), Curtis Jones (doubtful), Luis Henrique (out)

Our prediction
0–12.9 goals projected
VEN 19%Draw 22%INT 59%
goals per meeting
2.5goals per meeting
with both teams scoring
3/6with both teams scoring
over 2.5 goals
2/6over 2.5 goals
likeliest half-time score
0–0likeliest half-time score

Our picks

Rating hidden until revealed
  • Inter Milan come throughOur pickInter Milan
    1.37
  • Venezia keep it closeOur pickVenezia starts 4 goals ahead
    Price hidden until revealed

Implied by the bookmakers’ own prices, with the margin removed. The engine has not published a read on this match.

How the model sees it

Result probability
VEN 19%Draw 22%INT 59%
Likeliest scorelines
  • 0–111%
  • 1–111%
  • 0–210%
Projected goals
2.9
Likeliest at half time
0–028%
Competition goals a game
2.43
Projected stats
Projected match statistics for Venezia against Inter Milan
StatVENINTTotal
GoalsLeague 1.210.981.882.9
Expected goals (xG)League 1.31.391.482.9
Shots13.918.232.1
Corners4.075.09.1
Fouls10.19.4919.6

Per ninety minutes. Goals use the fitted goals model. Other stats combine each side’s rate with what its opponent allows, pulled toward the competition’s own average where the sample is thin; cards are anchored to the referee.

Form, head-to-head and trends

Last five
VeneziaL, W, L, L, L
Inter MilanW, W, W, D, W
How each side’s recent matches have gone
TrendVENINT
Over 2.5 goals3/55/5
Both teams scored3/54/5
Clean sheets1/51/5
Failed to score1/50/5
Head-to-head · last 6
0
VEN wins
1
Draws
5
INT wins
  • LInter Milan 5–1 Venezia2025-12-03 · Coppa Italia Round of 166 gls
  • LVenezia 0–1 Inter Milan2025-01-12 · Serie A1 gls
  • LInter Milan 1–0 Venezia2024-11-03 · Serie A1 gls
  • LInter Milan 2–1 Venezia2022-01-22 · Serie A3 gls
  • LVenezia 0–2 Inter Milan2021-11-27 · Serie A2 gls
2.5goals per meeting3/6with both teams scoring2/6over 2.5 goals

Match context

  • Dry and mild in Venice (cloudy, ~17C, no rain forecast); no conditions flagged as significant.
Form
Inter unbeaten and top: WWW (3-1 Bologna, 3-0 Parma, 2-1 Fiorentina) after 2-2 at Roma and 5-3 v Udinese, scoring freely. Venezia W then four losses: 1-0 v Napoli but 0-1 Genoa, 1-3 Atalanta, 2-4 Fiorentina, 2-3 Frosinone — leaking goals, scoring in most.
History
Inter have dominated this fixture, unbeaten in the last eight meetings (Venezia's last win was 1-0 in 1999). Recent verified meetings: Inter 5-1 Venezia (Coppa Italia last 16, 3 Dec 2025, HT 3-0); Venezia 0-1 Inter (Serie A, 12 Jan 2025, HT 0-1, Darmian 16'); Inter 1-0 Venezia (Serie A, 3 Nov 2024, HT 0-0, Lautaro 65'); Inter 2-1 Venezia (Serie A, 22 Jan 2022); Venezia 0-2 Inter (Serie A, 27 Nov 2021); Venezia 1-1 Inter (Serie A, 27 Jan 2002). Stature mismatch: Inter are champions-class, top of…
The competition
Italian Serie A 2026-27, Matchday 9 (ordinary league round), Stadio Penzo. Per the record on file: Inter are 1st on 22 pts after 8 games (7W-1D-0L, GF23/GA10), unbeaten and chasing the title; Venezia are winless apart from one victory and sit 20th (per season table on file, P8 W1 D0 L7, GF6/GA17, 3 pts), in the relegation zone and fighting for survival. Inter played Fiorentina at home on 25 Oct (2-1) and host Milan in the derby on 31 Oct-1 Nov, so this is a congested week. Venezia lost 1-0 at G…

Team news

Venezia
  • Bartol Franjic — out (def)
  • Marin Sverko — out (def)
  • Thierry Correia — out (def)
  • Andrea Adorante — out (fwd)
  • Gianluca Busio — doubtful (mid)
Inter Milan
  • Lautaro Martinez — out (fwd)
  • Benjamin Pavard — out (def)
  • John Stones — out (def)
  • Curtis Jones — doubtful (mid)
  • Luis Henrique — out (mid)

Italian Serie A table and leaders

Italian Serie A standings
#ClubPLGDPts
1Inter38—87
2Napoli38—76
3Roma38—73
4Como38—71
5Milan38—70
6Juventus38—69

Top 6 shown · as read when this competition was last scouted.

  1. 1Lautaro MartínezInter17 goals
  2. 2Anastasios DouvikasComo14 goals
  3. 3Doyell MalenRoma14 goals
  4. 4Marcus ThuramInter13 goals
  5. 5Nico PazComo12 goals

Scorers: matchcalendar/FBref final 2025-26 list; assists: FBref season summary; clean sheets: FBref/StatMuse 2025-26 keeper table.

18+Bet what you can afford to lose.

Model output is a projection, not a guarantee. Prices move; the one shown was available when this page was last built.

Frequently asked questions

What is our Venezia vs Inter Milan prediction?

We project 0–1. Our model gives Venezia 19%, the draw 22% and Inter Milan 59%.

What is the best bet for Venezia vs Inter Milan?

Our tip is Full time result · Inter Milan at 1.37. This one is implied by the bookmakers' prices rather than published by our engine.

What time does Venezia vs Inter Milan kick off?

Venezia vs Inter Milan kicks off at Wed 17:30 in the Italian Serie A.

Who is out for Venezia vs Inter Milan?

Reported absences: Lautaro Martinez (out), Benjamin Pavard (out), John Stones (out), Curtis Jones (doubtful), Luis Henrique (out), Bartol Franjic (out), Marin Sverko (out), Thierry Correia (out), Andrea Adorante (out), Gianluca Busio (doubtful).

What happened the last time Venezia vs Inter Milan met?

Inter Milan 5–1 Venezia (2025-12-03 · Coppa Italia Round of 16). Over their last 6 meetings it is 0 wins for Venezia, 1 draw and 5 for Inter Milan.

Are these tips free?

The prediction, the match data and our lead tip are free on every match page. The confidence behind each call — our probability, the edge and the engine's own read — is where a coin is spent.