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Spanish Copa del Rey

CD Cieza vs Granada prediction, tips and odds

Fourth-tier Cieza, unbeaten in five and with a full house expected at La Arboleja, host a Granada side four points off the Segunda top two for a place in the Copa del Rey second round.
  • one sided
  • high stakes
  • high ceiling
  • both score
  • slow start
  • cup
  • Leg single
  • CD Cieza: high
  • Granada: normal
Kick-off
your local time
Competition
Spanish Copa del Rey

Our prediction

FormW, W, W, D, L
FormW, W, W, W, L

Pedro Alemañ (out), Alejandro Marqués (out), José Arnaiz (doubtful)

Our prediction
1–12.9 goals projected
CD 28%Draw 24%GRA 48%
likeliest half-time score
0–0likeliest half-time score

Our picks

Rating hidden until revealed
  • CD Cieza keep it closeOur pickCD Cieza starts 2.5 goals ahead
    1.15
  • Goals keep comingOur pickOver 2.5 Goals
    Price hidden until revealed

How the model sees it

Result probability
CD 28%Draw 24%GRA 48%
Likeliest scorelines
  • 1–111%
  • 0–19%
  • 1–29%
Projected goals
2.9
Likeliest at half time
0–028%
Projected stats
Projected match statistics for CD Cieza against Granada
StatCD GRATotal
Goals1.21.662.9

Per ninety minutes. Goals use the fitted goals model. Other stats combine each side’s rate with what its opponent allows, pulled toward the competition’s own average where the sample is thin; cards are anchored to the referee.

Form, head-to-head and trends

Last five
CD CiezaW, W, W, D, L
GranadaW, W, W, W, L
How each side’s recent matches have gone
TrendCD GRA
Over 2.5 goals3/53/5
Both teams scored3/53/5
Clean sheets1/52/5
Failed to score1/50/5

Match context

Form
Cieza WWDWW-ish unbeaten run (3-1 Intercity, 4-2 at UCAM, 1-1 Baleares, 1-0 Elche Ilicitano, 1-1 at Alcoyano) scoring freely; Granada WWWW L-free league run until Andorra (2-3) then W 3-2, 2-0, 2-1.
History
No meaningful recent history: I found no verified past meeting between CD Cieza and Granada. Preview/H2H pages for this tie (FotMob, thescore, 101tv, Ideal, LaLiga) frame it as a first competitive encounter — a Copa del Rey first-round (single-leg) tie at La Arboleja, not a league fixture, so even the competition context makes any h2h read weak. Stature gap is large: Granada are a LaLiga Hypermotion (second-tier) side — 5th, 6-2-3 in 2026-27 under Pacheta, 2025-26 ended mid-table in the second…
The competition
Copa del Rey 2026-27, first round (single-leg knockout; lower-division host). Fourth-tier CD Cieza (Segunda Federación Group 3, 4th on 14 pts from 7, 14 GF / 6 GA) host Segunda División (second tier) Granada, who sit 5th on 20 pts (6W-2D-3L, 18-14) after four straight league wins. Nothing at stake in the league for either — a knockout cup night against a side two tiers up, with a potential tie against a La Liga club in the next round for the winner. Granada are heavy favourites.

Team news

CD Cieza

No absences reported.

Granada
  • Pedro Alemañ — out (mid)
  • Alejandro Marqués — out (fwd)
  • José Arnaiz — doubtful (fwd)

18+Bet what you can afford to lose.

Model output is a projection, not a guarantee. Prices move; the one shown was available when this page was last built.

Frequently asked questions

What is our CD Cieza vs Granada prediction?

We project 1–1. Our model gives CD Cieza 28%, the draw 24% and Granada 48%.

What is the best bet for CD Cieza vs Granada?

Our tip is CD Cieza starts 2.5 goals ahead at 1.15.

What time does CD Cieza vs Granada kick off?

CD Cieza vs Granada kicks off at Thu 18:30 in the Spanish Copa del Rey.

Who is out for CD Cieza vs Granada?

Reported absences: Pedro Alemañ (out), Alejandro Marqués (out), José Arnaiz (doubtful).

Are these tips free?

The prediction, the match data and our lead tip are free on every match page. The confidence behind each call — our probability, the edge and the engine's own read — is where a coin is spent.