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Spanish Copa del Rey

CD Covadonga vs Valladolid prediction, tips and odds

  • cup
  • Leg single
  • CD Covadonga: high
  • Valladolid: normal
Kick-off
your local time
Competition
Spanish Copa del Rey

Our prediction

CD Covadonga
2nd · 19 pts
FormW, W, L, W, W
Valladolid
15th · 11 pts
FormL, D, W, D, L

Miguel Rubio (doubtful), Luis Chacón (doubtful), Dani Pérez (doubtful)

Our prediction
0–12.6 goals projected
CD 21%Draw 24%VAL 55%
likeliest half-time score
0–0likeliest half-time score

Our picks

Rating hidden until revealed
  • Goals stay downOur pickUnder 4.5 Goals
    1.32
  • Valladolid come throughOur pickDraw or Away
    Price hidden until revealed

Implied by the bookmakers’ own prices, with the margin removed. The engine has not published a read on this match.

Unlock all tips · 1 coin

How the model sees it

Result probability
CD 21%Draw 24%VAL 55%
Likeliest scorelines
  • 0–113%
  • 1–112%
  • 0–210%
Projected goals
2.6
Likeliest at half time
0–031%
Projected stats
Projected match statistics for CD Covadonga against Valladolid
StatCD VALTotal
Goals0.921.662.6

Per ninety minutes. Goals use the fitted goals model. Other stats combine each side’s rate with what its opponent allows, pulled toward the competition’s own average where the sample is thin; cards are anchored to the referee.

Form, head-to-head and trends

Last five
CD CovadongaW, W, L, W, W
ValladolidL, D, W, D, L
How each side’s recent matches have gone
TrendCD VAL
Over 2.5 goals4/54/5
Both teams scored2/54/5
Clean sheets3/50/5
Failed to score0/51/5

Match context

  • Asturias forecast around 13°C at El Bayu; artificial pitch (Valladolid trained on artificial turf to adapt)
Form
Covadonga WWLWW in Tercera RFEF Grp. 2 (14 goals in 5, two 4-0 wins, but 4-2 loss at San Martín); Valladolid LDWDL in Segunda — 3-1 win over Córdoba then 2-2 at Las Palmas and 1-2 at Granada, scoring but leaking goals (16-16 in 11).
History
No meaningful recent history: CD Covadonga (Tercera RFEF Group 2 leaders, Asturias) and Real Valladolid (LaLiga Hypermotion side, former top-flight club with ~2,800 home games' worth of Primera pedigree) have never met at senior first-team level — scores24 states "Covadonga y Real Valladolid no tienen historial de partidos H2H", and Valladolid's own preview frames this first-round Copa tie as their competitive debut against an unbeaten Tercera side. The only prior link is between Covadonga and…
The competition
Copa del Rey 2026-27, first round (single-leg knockout, no second leg): a Segunda División (tier 2) side, Real Valladolid, away at Tercera RFEF Grupo 2 leaders CD Covadonga on 29 Oct 2026 (postponed from the original 27-28 Oct slot after the Toledo train accident). Home advantage goes to the lower-division club under RFEF rules. Valladolid sit 15th in LaLiga Hypermotion (11 pts, 16-16), mid-table and chasing a promotion push, while Covadonga are unbeaten and second in their group — they are pla…

Team news

CD Covadonga

No absences reported.

Valladolid
  • Miguel Rubio — doubtful (def)
  • Luis Chacón — doubtful (unknown)
  • Dani Pérez — doubtful (unknown)

Spanish Copa del Rey table

Spanish Copa del Rey standings
#ClubPLGDPts
15Real Valladolid11—11
2CD Covadonga8—19

as read when this competition was last scouted.

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Model output is a projection, not a guarantee. Prices move; the one shown was available when this page was last built.

Frequently asked questions

What is our CD Covadonga vs Valladolid prediction?

We project 0–1. Our model gives CD Covadonga 21%, the draw 24% and Valladolid 55%.

What is the best bet for CD Covadonga vs Valladolid?

Our tip is Full time · Under 4.5 Goals at 1.32. This one is implied by the bookmakers' prices rather than published by our engine.

What time does CD Covadonga vs Valladolid kick off?

CD Covadonga vs Valladolid kicks off at Thu 19:00 in the Spanish Copa del Rey.

Who is out for CD Covadonga vs Valladolid?

Reported absences: Miguel Rubio (doubtful), Luis Chacón (doubtful), Dani Pérez (doubtful).

Are these tips free?

The prediction, the match data and our lead tip are free on every match page. The confidence behind each call — our probability, the edge and the engine's own read — is where a coin is spent.