Celtic vs Besiktas prediction, tips and odds
- goals fest
- both score
- high stakes
- weakened side
- one sided
- league
- Celtic: must win
- Besiktas: normal
- Kick-off
- your local time
- Competition
- UEFA Europa League
Our prediction
Alistair Johnston (out), Yang Hyun-jun (out), Jota (out), Joël van den Berg (out), Auston Trusty (doubtful), Kieran Tierney (doubtful), Oliver Sørensen (doubtful)
De-vigged from the bookmakers — not our model.
- likeliest half-time score
- 0–0likeliest half-time score
Our picks
- Celtic keep it closeOur pickCeltic starts 2 goals ahead1.13
- Celtic come throughOur pickHome or DrawPrice hidden until revealed
How the model sees it
- 1–110%
- 1–29%
- 2–18%
- Projected goals
- 3.2
- Likeliest at half time
- 0–024%
- Competition goals a game
- 2.71
- Competition matches over 2.5
- 53%
| Stat | CEL | BES | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| GoalsLeague 1.35 | 1.49 | 1.7 | 3.2 |
| Expected goals (xG)League 1.4 | 1.58 | 1.49 | 3.1 |
| Shots | 13.9 | 10.9 | 24.8 |
| CornersLeague 4.6 | 5.55 | 5.0 | 10.6 |
| Fouls | 12.5 | 11.8 | 24.4 |
Per ninety minutes. Goals use the fitted goals model. Other stats combine each side’s rate with what its opponent allows, pulled toward the competition’s own average where the sample is thin; cards are anchored to the referee.
Form, head-to-head and trends
| Trend | CEL | BES |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 4/5 | 3/5 |
| Both teams scored | 4/5 | 3/5 |
| Clean sheets | 0/5 | 1/5 |
| Failed to score | 1/5 | 1/5 |
Match context
- Form
- Celtic LDWLD in their last five (12 scored, 8 conceded, BTTS 4/5) and 0/9 in Europe with three straight EL defeats; Besiktas DWD LW, unbeaten in Europe (W2 D1) with 9 goals in five.
- History
- No verified prior meeting found between Celtic and Besiktas. Despite targeted searching (head-to-head pages, 2007-08 Champions League draws/results, Celtic's European and friendly records 2000-2026, Celtic-friendly archives pre-2000, and Besiktas' European campaigns), neither a competitive nor a friendly fixture between the two could be confirmed. Celtic and Besiktas were in different 2007-08 Champions League groups (Celtic in Group D, Besiktas in Group A), and both sides' records show no such…
- The competition
- UEFA Europa League 2026/27 league phase, Matchday 4 of 8, single round-robin — no second leg. Celtic sit 21st/35th-tier on 0 points from 3 (3 GF/9 GA) after three straight defeats (1-3 Ferencvaros, 1-4 Benfica, 1-2 Celta Vigo) and are desperate for points to keep any play-off hope — near must-win. Besiktas are around 8th on 7 points (9 GF/5 GA, W2 D1 unbeaten) defending an automatic round-of-16 place, so it matters to them too. Celtic come in off a 2-0 league loss at Falkirk; Besiktas drew 2-2…
Team news
- Alistair Johnston — out (def)
- Yang Hyun-jun — out (fwd)
- Jota — out (fwd)
- Joël van den Berg — out (unknown)
- Auston Trusty — doubtful (def)
- Kieran Tierney — doubtful (def)
- Oliver Sørensen — doubtful (mid)
- Ümit Akdağ — out (def)
- Orkun Kökçü — doubtful (mid)
- Fabio Miretti — out (mid)
UEFA Europa League table and leaders
| # | Club | PL | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lyon | 8 | — | 21 |
| 2 | Aston Villa | 8 | — | 21 |
| 3 | FC Midtjylland | 8 | — | 19 |
| 4 | Real Betis | 8 | — | 17 |
| 5 | FC Porto | 8 | — | 17 |
| 6 | Braga | 8 | — | 17 |
Top 6 shown · as read when this competition was last scouted.
- 1Igor JesusNottingham Forest7 goals
- 2Petar StanićLudogorets7 goals
- 3AntonyReal Betis6 goals
- 4Kerem AktürkoğluFenerbahçe6 goals
- 5Vincenzo GrifoSC Freiburg5 goals
- 1Deniz UndavVfB Stuttgart6 assists
- 2Emiliano BuendíaAston Villa6 assists
- 3Morgan RogersAston Villa5 assists
- 4Ricardo HortaBraga5 assists
- 5Andrija ŽivkovićPAOK5 assists
- 1Aston Villa9 clean sheets
- 2Nottingham Forest7 clean sheets
- 3Braga7 clean sheets
- 4FC Midtjylland5 clean sheets
- 5Viktoria Plzeň5 clean sheets
UEFA.com 2025/26 stats: 512 goals / 189 matches = 2.71; over-2.5 52.8% (GoalStatsLab); table stat32/Tribuna; leaders UEFA.com, ESPN, Statz
More UEFA Europa League tips this weekend
- Anderlecht vs Red Bull Salzburg · Full time · Over 1.5 Goals1.21
- AC Milan vs Ferencvaros · Full time result · AC Milan1.38
- NEC Nijmegen vs Omonia · Full time · Over 1.5 Goals1.20
- Crystal Palace vs Hoffenheim · Full time · Under 5.5 Goals1.11
- Sparta Prague vs Bournemouth · Full time result · Bournemouth1.55
- Real Sociedad vs Lyon · Full time result · Real Sociedad1.73
Frequently asked questions
What is our Celtic vs Besiktas prediction?
We project 1–1. The bookmakers' own prices imply Celtic 31%, the draw 25% and Besiktas 44%.
What is the best bet for Celtic vs Besiktas?
Our tip is Celtic starts 2 goals ahead at 1.13.
What time does Celtic vs Besiktas kick off?
Celtic vs Besiktas kicks off at Thu 20:00 in the UEFA Europa League.
Who is out for Celtic vs Besiktas?
Reported absences: Alistair Johnston (out), Yang Hyun-jun (out), Jota (out), Joël van den Berg (out), Auston Trusty (doubtful), Kieran Tierney (doubtful), Oliver Sørensen (doubtful), Ümit Akdağ (out), Orkun Kökçü (doubtful), Fabio Miretti (out).
Are these tips free?
The prediction, the match data and our lead tip are free on every match page. The confidence behind each call — our probability, the edge and the engine's own read — is where a coin is spent.