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Spanish Copa del Rey

CP Mijas Las Lagunas vs Real Jaen prediction, tips and odds

Mijas Las Lagunas, unbeaten in five and scoring freely, host a division-higher Real Jaén whose last five league games produced four under-2.5-goal scorelines.
  • both score
  • high stakes
  • even match
  • cup
  • Leg single
  • CP Mijas Las Lagunas: high
  • Real Jaen: high
Kick-off
your local time
Competition
Spanish Copa del Rey

Our prediction

FormD, W, W, D, W
Real Jaen
2nd · 20 pts
FormD, W, D, D, L

Javier Gil (doubtful)

Our prediction
1–12.5 goals projected
CP 38%Draw 27%REA 35%
goals per meeting
2.5goals per meeting
with both teams scoring
1/2with both teams scoring
over 2.5 goals
1/2over 2.5 goals
likeliest half-time score
0–0likeliest half-time score

Our picks

Rating hidden until revealed
  • CP Mijas Las Lagunas keep it closeOur pickCP Mijas Las Lagunas starts 1 goal ahead
    1.35
  • Goals stay downOur pickUnder 4.5 Goals
    Price hidden until revealed

How the model sees it

Result probability
CP 38%Draw 27%REA 35%
Likeliest scorelines
  • 1–113%
  • 1–010%
  • 0–110%
Projected goals
2.5
Likeliest at half time
0–032%
Projected stats
Projected match statistics for CP Mijas Las Lagunas against Real Jaen
StatCP REATotal
Goals1.31.242.5

Per ninety minutes. Goals use the fitted goals model. Other stats combine each side’s rate with what its opponent allows, pulled toward the competition’s own average where the sample is thin; cards are anchored to the referee.

Form, head-to-head and trends

Last five
CP Mijas Las LagunasD, W, W, D, W
Real JaenD, W, D, D, L
How each side’s recent matches have gone
TrendCP REA
Over 2.5 goals4/51/5
Both teams scored5/52/5
Clean sheets0/52/5
Failed to score0/52/5
Head-to-head · last 2
1
CP wins
1
Draws
0
REA wins
  • WMijas Las Lagunas 3–0 Real Jaen2025-01-19 · Segunda Federación (STDRFEF) — listed as Tercera Federación G9 by ScoreBat3 gls
  • DReal Jaen 1–1 Mijas Las Lagunas2024-09-08 · Tercera Federación Group 92 gls
2.5goals per meeting1/2with both teams scoring1/2over 2.5 goals

Match context

  • FotMob forecast ~20C at kickoff in Estepona; no source flagged conditions as material
  • Single-leg first round Copa del Rey tie
Form
Mijas Las Lagunas WDWDW in last five (only the 1-1 vs Betis Dep. not a win, 15 goals scored in the run, 2+ in four of five); Real Jaen WDDL D, unbeaten run but only 5 goals in five, two low-scoring away games.
History
Only two meetings on record, both in Tercera Federación Group 9 in 2024/25 (before Mijas' promotion): Real Jaén 1-1 Mijas Las Lagunas (Sep 2024, HT 1-0) and Mijas Las Lagunas 3-0 Real Jaén (19 Jan 2025, HT 2-0) — one Mijas win, one draw, Jaén without a win. Stature is clearly lopsided in Jaén's favour overall: Real Jaén are a historic club (long Segunda/Segunda B past, ~3,200 national-league games) now sitting 3rd in Primera Federación (tier 3) in 2026/27, i.e. two divisions above Mijas, who ar…
The competition
Copa del Rey 2026/27, first round (single leg, 27–29 Oct 2026; 56 ties, lower-division side hosts, extra time and penalties if level after 90). CP Mijas Las Lagunas are a Segunda Federación (4th tier) side, 6th in Group 4 on 13 pts after 8 games; Real Jaén are a division above in the Primera Federación (3rd tier), 3rd in Group 2 on 16 pts after 9 games. One-off knockout; Real Jaén are the higher-ranked visitors.

Team news

CP Mijas Las Lagunas

No absences reported.

Real Jaen
  • Javier Gil — doubtful (unknown)

Spanish Copa del Rey table

Spanish Copa del Rey standings
#ClubPLGDPts
1Recreativo Huelva8—17
2Betis Deportivo Balompie8—15
4CD Badajoz8—15
5Don Benito8—14
6CP Mijas Las Lagunas8—13
7Sevilla Atletico8—12

Top 6 shown · as read when this competition was last scouted.

18+Bet what you can afford to lose.

Model output is a projection, not a guarantee. Prices move; the one shown was available when this page was last built.

Frequently asked questions

What is our CP Mijas Las Lagunas vs Real Jaen prediction?

We project 1–1. Our model gives CP Mijas Las Lagunas 38%, the draw 27% and Real Jaen 35%.

What is the best bet for CP Mijas Las Lagunas vs Real Jaen?

Our tip is CP Mijas Las Lagunas starts 1 goal ahead at 1.35.

What time does CP Mijas Las Lagunas vs Real Jaen kick off?

CP Mijas Las Lagunas vs Real Jaen kicks off at Thu 19:00 in the Spanish Copa del Rey.

Who is out for CP Mijas Las Lagunas vs Real Jaen?

Reported absences: Javier Gil (doubtful).

What happened the last time CP Mijas Las Lagunas vs Real Jaen met?

Mijas Las Lagunas 3–0 Real Jaen (2025-01-19 · Segunda Federación (STDRFEF) — listed as Tercera Federación G9 by ScoreBat). Over their last 2 meetings it is 1 wins for CP Mijas Las Lagunas, 1 draw and 0 for Real Jaen.

Are these tips free?

The prediction, the match data and our lead tip are free on every match page. The confidence behind each call — our probability, the edge and the engine's own read — is where a coin is spent.