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Spanish Copa del Rey

Guijuelo vs Sporting Gijon prediction, tips and odds

Fourth-tier Guijuelo, winners of three straight, host a Sporting Gijón side that has never conceded to them — but arrives four days after a 0-4 loss with much of its defence and midfield left at home.
  • one sided
  • high stakes
  • rotation risk
  • cup
  • Leg single
  • Guijuelo: high
  • Sporting Gijon: normal
Kick-off
your local time
Competition
Spanish Copa del Rey

Our prediction

Guijuelo
8th · 12 pts
FormW, W, W, L
Sporting Gijon
8th · 19 pts
FormL, W, W, W, L

Nikita Iosifov (out), Konrad de la Fuente (out), Andrés Ferrari (out), Manu Rodríguez (out), Antonio Casas (out), Guille Rosas (out), Pablo García (out), Cuenca (out), César Gelabert (out), Corredera (out)

Our prediction
1–12.7 goals projected
GUI 33%Draw 25%SPO 42%
goals per meeting
4.0goals per meeting
with both teams scoring
0/2with both teams scoring
over 2.5 goals
2/2over 2.5 goals
likeliest half-time score
0–0likeliest half-time score

Our picks

Rating hidden until revealed
  • Sporting Gijon come throughOur pickSporting Gijon
    1.44
  • Guijuelo keep it closeOur pickGuijuelo starts 3 goals ahead
    Price hidden until revealed

Implied by the bookmakers’ own prices, with the margin removed. The engine has not published a read on this match.

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How the model sees it

Result probability
GUI 33%Draw 25%SPO 42%
Likeliest scorelines
  • 1–112%
  • 0–19%
  • 1–29%
Projected goals
2.7
Likeliest at half time
0–029%
Competition goals a game
2.51
Competition matches over 2.5
44%
Projected stats
Projected match statistics for Guijuelo against Sporting Gijon
StatGUISPOTotal
Goals1.291.452.7

Per ninety minutes. Goals use the fitted goals model. Other stats combine each side’s rate with what its opponent allows, pulled toward the competition’s own average where the sample is thin; cards are anchored to the referee.

Form, head-to-head and trends

Last five
GuijueloW, W, W, L
Sporting GijonL, W, W, W, L
How each side’s recent matches have gone
TrendGUISPO
Over 2.5 goals2/43/5
Both teams scored2/42/5
Clean sheets2/41/5
Failed to score0/42/5
Head-to-head · last 2
0
GUI wins
0
Draws
2
SPO wins
  • LGuijuelo 0–3 Sporting Gijon2023-11-01 · Copa del Rey (1st round)3 gls
  • LGuijuelo 0–5 Sporting Gijon2017-07-19 · Club friendly5 gls
4.0goals per meeting0/2with both teams scoring2/2over 2.5 goals

Match context

Form
Guijuelo WWW then a 1-2 home loss (1-0, 5-1, 2-0 wins, scoring 2.7/game over three); Sporting Gijón LWWWL in LaLiga2 — seven points from four games then a 0-4 hammering at Castellón on 25 Oct.
History
No league history: the only two verifiable meetings are both at Guijuelo's Municipal ground and both won by Sporting Gijon — a 0-5 friendly (19/20 Jul 2017, HT 0-2) and a 0-3 Copa del Rey first-round tie on 1 Nov 2023 (HT 0-0, three second-half goals). Guijuelo have never scored against Sporting (0-8 aggregate) and BTTS failed in both. Stature gap is wide: Sporting are a Segunda División side (recently losing 0-4 at Castellón), Guijuelo a Tercera Federación (4th tier) club. History is thin and…
The competition
Spanish Copa del Rey 2026-27, single-match knockout round at Guijuelo's Estadio Municipal (1,500 capacity), the club's first Copa home tie of the season (listed by Goal as "Copa del Rey – Game Week 1"). Guijuelo are a Tercera RFEF (4th tier, Group 8) side sitting ~8th in Group 8 after seven league games (12 pts), so this is a fourth-tier club hosting a Segunda División side; Guijuelo were Group 8 runners-up last season. Sporting Gijón are a LaLiga2 (Segunda) club, 8th on 19 pts from 11 games, c…

Team news

Guijuelo

No absences reported.

Sporting Gijon
  • Nikita Iosifov — out (unknown)
  • Konrad de la Fuente — out (fwd)
  • Andrés Ferrari — out (fwd)
  • Manu Rodríguez — out (unknown)
  • Antonio Casas — out (fwd)
  • Guille Rosas — out (def)
  • Pablo García — out (def)
  • Cuenca — out (def)
  • César Gelabert — out (mid)
  • Corredera — out (mid)

Spanish Copa del Rey table

Spanish Copa del Rey standings
#ClubPLGDPts
8Guijuelo (Tercera RFEF Grp 8)7—12
8Sporting Gijon (Segunda División)11—19

as read when this competition was last scouted.

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Model output is a projection, not a guarantee. Prices move; the one shown was available when this page was last built.

Frequently asked questions

What is our Guijuelo vs Sporting Gijon prediction?

We project 1–1. Our model gives Guijuelo 33%, the draw 25% and Sporting Gijon 42%.

What is the best bet for Guijuelo vs Sporting Gijon?

Our tip is Full time result · Sporting Gijon at 1.44. This one is implied by the bookmakers' prices rather than published by our engine.

What time does Guijuelo vs Sporting Gijon kick off?

Guijuelo vs Sporting Gijon kicks off at Thu 19:00 in the Spanish Copa del Rey.

Who is out for Guijuelo vs Sporting Gijon?

Reported absences: Nikita Iosifov (out), Konrad de la Fuente (out), Andrés Ferrari (out), Manu Rodríguez (out), Antonio Casas (out), Guille Rosas (out), Pablo García (out), Cuenca (out), César Gelabert (out), Corredera (out).

What happened the last time Guijuelo vs Sporting Gijon met?

Guijuelo 0–3 Sporting Gijon (2023-11-01 · Copa del Rey (1st round)). Over their last 2 meetings it is 0 wins for Guijuelo, 0 draws and 2 for Sporting Gijon.

Are these tips free?

The prediction, the match data and our lead tip are free on every match page. The confidence behind each call — our probability, the edge and the engine's own read — is where a coin is spent.