Lillestrom vs Plzen prediction, tips and odds
- high stakes
- goals fest
- high ceiling
- both score
- even match
- league
- Lillestrom: high
- Plzen: high
- Kick-off
- your local time
- Competition
- UEFA Europa League
Our prediction
Espen Garnås (out), Camil Jebara (out), Vebjorn Hoff (out), Kristoffer Tonnessen (out)
De-vigged from the bookmakers — not our model.
- likeliest half-time score
- 0–0likeliest half-time score
Our picks
- Lillestrom come throughOur pickHome or Draw1.75
- Goals keep comingOur pickOver 2.5 GoalsPrice hidden until revealed
Implied by the bookmakers’ own prices, with the margin removed. The engine has not published a read on this match.
How the model sees it
- 1–111%
- 1–29%
- 2–18%
- Projected goals
- 3.1
- Likeliest at half time
- 0–024%
- Competition goals a game
- 2.71
- Competition matches over 2.5
- 53%
| Stat | LIL | PLZ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| GoalsLeague 1.35 | 1.42 | 1.72 | 3.1 |
| Expected goals (xG)League 1.4 | 1.5 | 1.52 | 3.0 |
| Shots | 13.4 | 15.1 | 28.5 |
| Shots on target | 4.99 | 5.43 | 10.4 |
| CornersLeague 4.6 | 5.64 | 4.27 | 9.9 |
| Fouls | 11.3 | 12.6 | 23.9 |
Per ninety minutes. Goals use the fitted goals model. Other stats combine each side’s rate with what its opponent allows, pulled toward the competition’s own average where the sample is thin; cards are anchored to the referee.
Form, head-to-head and trends
| Trend | LIL | PLZ |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 3/5 | 5/5 |
| Both teams scored | 2/5 | 4/5 |
| Clean sheets | 2/5 | 1/5 |
| Failed to score | 1/5 | 0/5 |
Match context
- Cold night in Lillestrøm (around 0-8C), dry, light wind per forecasts; no source flags conditions as disruptive.
- Form
- Lillestrom WWWLW: three straight wins 3-2 Brann, 2-1 Sogndal (cup), 1-0 at Start around a 0-6 home hammering by Real Sociedad. Plzen WLWLW: 4-0 at Ostrava and 6-1 in the cup, but 1-2 home losses to Pardubice and Levski; 15 scored in their last 5.
- History
- No prior meetings between Lillestrom (Lillestrøm SK) and Viktoria Plzen: APWin's H2H section states they have faced each other on 0 occasions (0 LSK wins, 0 Plzen wins, 0 draws), and no earlier UEFA tie between the clubs turned up in searches. So there is no meaningful recent head-to-head to lean on. Stature/level: Plzen are the more established continental side (regular Europa League knockout-stage participants, Czech Chance Liga; 9th domestically at time of writing) but are having a poor 2026…
- The competition
- UEFA Europa League 2026/27, league phase, Matchday 4 of 8 (single 36-team table; top 8 go straight to the last 16, 9-24 to a knockout play-off, 25-36 are eliminated). Lillestrøm are 31st with 1 point from 3 (GF 2 / GA 9, GD -7) after a 1-1 draw at Sparta Prague and a 6-0 home thrashing by Real Sociedad; Plzeň are 33rd with 0 points from 3 (GF 2 / GA 7) after three straight losses. Both are effectively in last-chance territory for a play-off spot, so this is a must-win more than a dead rubber —…
Team news
- Espen Garnås — out (def)
- Camil Jebara — out (mid)
- Vebjorn Hoff — out (unknown)
- Kristoffer Tonnessen — out (unknown)
- Václav Jemelka — out (def)
- Jan Paluska — out (def)
UEFA Europa League table and leaders
| # | Club | PL | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lyon | 8 | — | 21 |
| 2 | Aston Villa | 8 | — | 21 |
| 3 | FC Midtjylland | 8 | — | 19 |
| 4 | Real Betis | 8 | — | 17 |
| 5 | FC Porto | 8 | — | 17 |
| 6 | Braga | 8 | — | 17 |
Top 6 shown · as read when this competition was last scouted.
- 1Igor JesusNottingham Forest7 goals
- 2Petar StanićLudogorets7 goals
- 3AntonyReal Betis6 goals
- 4Kerem AktürkoğluFenerbahçe6 goals
- 5Vincenzo GrifoSC Freiburg5 goals
- 1Deniz UndavVfB Stuttgart6 assists
- 2Emiliano BuendíaAston Villa6 assists
- 3Morgan RogersAston Villa5 assists
- 4Ricardo HortaBraga5 assists
- 5Andrija ŽivkovićPAOK5 assists
- 1Aston Villa9 clean sheets
- 2Nottingham Forest7 clean sheets
- 3Braga7 clean sheets
- 4FC Midtjylland5 clean sheets
- 5Viktoria Plzeň5 clean sheets
UEFA.com 2025/26 stats: 512 goals / 189 matches = 2.71; over-2.5 52.8% (GoalStatsLab); table stat32/Tribuna; leaders UEFA.com, ESPN, Statz
More UEFA Europa League tips this weekend
- Anderlecht vs Red Bull Salzburg · Full time · Over 1.5 Goals1.21
- AC Milan vs Ferencvaros · Full time result · AC Milan1.38
- NEC Nijmegen vs Omonia · Full time · Over 1.5 Goals1.20
- Crystal Palace vs Hoffenheim · Full time · Under 5.5 Goals1.11
- Sparta Prague vs Bournemouth · Full time result · Bournemouth1.55
- Real Sociedad vs Lyon · Full time result · Real Sociedad1.73
Frequently asked questions
What is our Lillestrom vs Plzen prediction?
We project 1–1. The bookmakers' own prices imply Lillestrom 31%, the draw 25% and Plzen 44%.
What is the best bet for Lillestrom vs Plzen?
Our tip is Home or Draw at 1.75. This one is implied by the bookmakers' prices rather than published by our engine.
What time does Lillestrom vs Plzen kick off?
Lillestrom vs Plzen kicks off at Thu 17:45 in the UEFA Europa League.
Who is out for Lillestrom vs Plzen?
Reported absences: Espen Garnås (out), Camil Jebara (out), Vebjorn Hoff (out), Kristoffer Tonnessen (out), Václav Jemelka (out), Jan Paluska (out).
Are these tips free?
The prediction, the match data and our lead tip are free on every match page. The confidence behind each call — our probability, the edge and the engine's own read — is where a coin is spent.