Panathinaikos vs CSKA Sofia prediction, tips and odds
- one sided
- high stakes
- rotation risk
- no strong shape
- league
- Panathinaikos: high
- CSKA Sofia: normal
- Kick-off
- your local time
- Competition
- UEFA Conference League
Our prediction
Viktor Christiansen (out), Salah-Eddine (out), Sverrir Ingason (out), Moussa Sissoko (out), Azzedine Ounahi (out), Pavlos Pantelidis (out)
De-vigged from the bookmakers — not our model.
- goals per meeting
- 1.8goals per meeting
- with both teams scoring
- 1/4with both teams scoring
- over 2.5 goals
- 1/4over 2.5 goals
- likeliest half-time score
- 0–0likeliest half-time score
Our picks
- Panathinaikos come throughOur pickPanathinaikos1.47
- Goals stay downOur pickUnder 5.5 GoalsPrice hidden until revealed
Implied by the bookmakers’ own prices, with the margin removed. The engine has not published a read on this match.
How the model sees it
- 1–015%
- 2–015%
- 3–010%
- Projected goals
- 2.6
- Likeliest at half time
- 0–032%
- Competition goals a game
- 2.48
- Competition matches over 2.5
- 54%
| Stat | PAN | CSK | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| GoalsLeague 1.24 | 1.94 | 0.61 | 2.5 |
| CornersLeague 4.3 | 4.17 | 5.69 | 9.9 |
Per ninety minutes. Goals use the fitted goals model. Other stats combine each side’s rate with what its opponent allows, pulled toward the competition’s own average where the sample is thin; cards are anchored to the referee.
Form, head-to-head and trends
| Trend | PAN | CSK |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 3/5 | 2/5 |
| Both teams scored | 3/5 | 2/5 |
| Clean sheets | 2/5 | 3/5 |
| Failed to score | 0/5 | 1/5 |
- WPanathinaikos 2–1 CSKA Sofia2002-10-03 · UEFA Cup 2002/03 round 1, second leg (2-1 after extra time)3 gls
- WCSKA Sofia 0–1 Panathinaikos2002-09-19 · UEFA Cup 2002/03 round 1, first leg (played at Lovech)1 gls
- LPanathinaikos 0–1 CSKA Sofia (CFKA Sredets)1988-11-09 · European Cup Winners' Cup 1988/89 round of 16, second leg1 gls
- LCSKA Sofia (CFKA Sredets) 2–0 Panathinaikos1988-10-26 · European Cup Winners' Cup 1988/89 round of 16, first leg2 gls
Match context
- Form
- Panathinaikos WWWWWW (last six in all comps), 17 scored and 4 conceded, incl. 5-1 at Kairat and 2-0 v AEK; CSKA Sofia have not lost in six either — DWWDDW: 2-0 v Ludogorets and 3-2 at CSKA 1948 but only 0-0 v Slavia and 1-2 home loss to Monaco, scoring 10 conceding 6.
- History
- No meaningful recent history: the only prior competitive meetings are UEFA Cup 2002/03 round 1 (CSKA 0-1 PAO in Lovech, PAO 2-1 aet in Athens after 0-0 at HT and 0-1 at 90) and Cup Winners' Cup 1988/89 (CSKA Sredets 2-0, PAO 0-1). Panathinaikos are clear favourites / bigger club at a higher level; CSKA Sofia are the weaker side (Conference League 1pt from 2, losing 1-2 at home to Monaco).
- The competition
- UEFA Conference League 2026/27 league phase, matchday 3 of 6 (15 Oct – 17 Dec 2026); single table, top 8 straight to the round of 16, 9th–24th into a play-off round, so every place matters and there is no dead rubber at MD3. Panathinaikos are top of the league phase after two games (2 wins, 7-2, 6 pts, beat Borac 2-1 and Kairat 5-1 away) and are also 1st in the Greek Super League (9 games, 24 pts, 20-4). CSKA Sofia sit 23rd with 1 point from two (lost 1-2 at home to Monaco, drew 2-2 at Nordsjæl…
Team news
- Viktor Christiansen — out (def)
- Salah-Eddine — out (def)
- Sverrir Ingason — out (def)
- Moussa Sissoko — out (mid)
- Azzedine Ounahi — out (mid)
- Pavlos Pantelidis — out (def)
- Leo Pereira — out (fwd)
- Joel Zwarts — doubtful (fwd)
UEFA Conference League table and leaders
| # | Club | PL | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Strasbourg | 6 | — | 16 |
| 2 | Raków Częstochowa | 6 | — | 14 |
| 3 | AEK Athens | 6 | — | 13 |
| 4 | Sparta Praha | 6 | — | 13 |
| 5 | Rayo Vallecano | 6 | — | 13 |
| 6 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 6 | — | 13 |
Top 6 shown · as read when this competition was last scouted.
- 1Ismaïla SarrCrystal Palace9 goals
- 2Marius MouandilmadjiSamsunspor8 goals
- 3Mikael IshakLech Poznań8 goals
- 4Sven MijnansAZ Alkmaar6 goals
- 5Toni FrukRijeka5 goals
- 1Carlo HolseSamsunspor5 assists
- 2Kees SmitAZ Alkmaar5 assists
- 3Julio EncisoStrasbourg4 assists
- 4Daichi KamadaCrystal Palace4 assists
- 5Kauã EliasShakhtar Donetsk4 assists
- 1Mainz 056 clean sheets
- 2AEK Larnaca6 clean sheets
- 3Samsunspor6 clean sheets
- 4Crystal Palace6 clean sheets
- 5AZ Alkmaar6 clean sheets
UEFA.com season stats, Wikipedia league-phase table, GoalStatsLab totals
More UEFA Conference League tips this weekend
- KuPS vs Gent · Full time result · Gent1.68
- Midtjylland vs Ajax · Full time · Under 5.5 Goals1.12
- Atalanta vs Kairat Almaty · Full time result · Atalanta1.17
- Lincoln Red Imps vs Hajduk Split · Full time result · Hajduk Split1.39
- Trabzonspor vs Freiburg · Full time · Under 5.5 Goals1.11
- Mjallby vs Borac Banja Luka · Full time · Under 4.5 Goals1.14
Frequently asked questions
What is our Panathinaikos vs CSKA Sofia prediction?
We project 1–0. The bookmakers' own prices imply Panathinaikos 67%, the draw 21% and CSKA Sofia 12%.
What is the best bet for Panathinaikos vs CSKA Sofia?
Our tip is Full time result · Panathinaikos at 1.47. This one is implied by the bookmakers' prices rather than published by our engine.
What time does Panathinaikos vs CSKA Sofia kick off?
Panathinaikos vs CSKA Sofia kicks off at Thu 20:00 in the UEFA Conference League.
Who is out for Panathinaikos vs CSKA Sofia?
Reported absences: Viktor Christiansen (out), Salah-Eddine (out), Sverrir Ingason (out), Moussa Sissoko (out), Azzedine Ounahi (out), Pavlos Pantelidis (out), Leo Pereira (out), Joel Zwarts (doubtful).
What happened the last time Panathinaikos vs CSKA Sofia met?
Panathinaikos 2–1 CSKA Sofia (2002-10-03 · UEFA Cup 2002/03 round 1, second leg (2-1 after extra time)). Over their last 4 meetings it is 2 wins for Panathinaikos, 0 draws and 2 for CSKA Sofia.
Are these tips free?
The prediction, the match data and our lead tip are free on every match page. The confidence behind each call — our probability, the edge and the engine's own read — is where a coin is spent.